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ecology: explore 10 source-linked works published from 2026 to 2026, with original documents and citations.

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Resource supply dynamics control stability and chaos in complex ecosystems

Ecological interactions are often mediated by feedbacks between organisms and their resource environments. Yet, how resource supply dynamics dictate collective dynamical phases of an ecosystem remains unclear. Here, we analyse a generalised consumer--resource model with non-reciprocal interactions to demonstrate that self-renewing versus externally-supplied resources yield fundamentally different dynamical phase diagrams. As interactions become increasingly non-reciprocal, ecosystems relying on self-renewing resources transition from stable dynamics to chaos and ultimately to infeasibility. By contrast, ecosystems with externally-supplied resources remain stable over a broader parameter range and transition to infeasibility without experiencing an intervening chaotic phase. Using the cavity method, we derive a unified stability condition applicable to a broad class of resource supply functions, explaining why externally-supplied resources can expand the stable region. We show that stability hinges crucially on the susceptibility of resources to perturbations, which depends strongly on their supply. Further, we show that external resource supply suppresses chaos in the unstable region by drastically reducing the susceptibility of resources closest to extinction. Our findings demonstrate that resource dynamics fundamentally reshape the accessible dynamical behaviours of an ecosystem, with implications for interpreting microbial community experiments.

ecology

Developments in the European parasitoid community of Dryocosmus kuriphilus

The invasive gallwasp Dryocosmus kuriphilus was first detected in Italy in 2002, although likely to have initially arrived in the late 90s. Its ability to utilise sweet chestnut species non-native to its original Chinese range has allowed it to spread rapidly, and throughout Europe via European sweet chestnut Castanea sativa. Given the severity of its impact on C. sativa crop production, particularly in Mediterranean countries, previous studies have aimed to assess damage levels caused by D. kuriphilus, the efficacy of and potential non-target effects of the introduced biocontrol agent Torymus sinensis, and the possibility of regulation by native parasitoids. As yet a broad overview and analytical synthesis of these native parasitoid communities are absent. This review focuses on important aspects of the D. kuriphilus invasion. In particular, the invasion history and currently known distribution of D. kuriphilus, and several aspects of its associated parasitoid community. For native species to plausibly suppress D. kuriphilus, we might expect rates of parasitoid attack to increase with establishment time as native populations adapt to exploit the new resource, and this is a key focus of the review. We answer the following questions: 1) What is the distribution of D. kuriphilus in Europe, and has D. kuriphilus fully utilised the available niche space within its 20+ years in Europe? 2) Which species of native parasitoids attack D. kuriphilus in Europe and what are their ecological characteristics? 3) How consistent is the parasitoid community of D. kuriphilus across its range, and are there signs of convergence over time? 4) What effect does establishment time have on the species richness and abundance of parasitoid communities? We report the following: 1) D. kuriphilus has expanded its range throughout Europe and is present in nearly every major region where sweet chestnut is present. Native and non-native naturalised chestnut forests may be less susceptible to invasion than areas of industry due to differing socioeconomic and ecological factors, though areas with large chestnut industries also tend to be in the most heavily forested areas in the non-native range of sweet chestnut. D. kuriphilus has reportedly been eradicated from some countries, and effectively eradicated in a number of countries implementing biocontrol with T. sinensis, although successive invasions from neighbouring regions are still possible, and eradication may be transient. 2) 72 parasitoid species are identified attacking D. kuriphilus in Europe (far more species than any other gallwasp in the Western Palearctic). Its members are predominantly oak gallwasp parasitoids (82% of species), followed by gall-specialists of different host plants, leaf miner parasitoids and a minority of others with differing host life stages and ecologies. Parasitoids attacking D. kuriphilus are dominated by idiobiont ectoparasitoids of the superfamily Chalcidoidea (>96%). 3) The parasitoid community is highly variable, both temporally and spatially, although the vast proportion (>95%) of parasitoids at any one time are composed of locally common generalist oak gall parasitoids. The most common members include Bootanomyia dorsalis, Eupelmus urozonus, Eurytoma brunniventris, Mesopolobus sericeus and Torymus flavipes. 4) The length of establishment time has minimal effect on the species richness, abundance, and composition of the community, suggesting that regulation by natives, if it occurs, may take longer than the 20+ years that D. kuriphilus has persisted. While little evidence of increasing parasitoid attack of D. kuriphilus is apparent, we exercise caution by stating that the heterogeneity in available data are large, and that common biocontrol interventions using T. sinensis interrupt the natural process of community development dramatically. D. kuriphilus has been present in Europe for nearly three decades and few localities have repeated years of data collection. Even fewer studies have communities with establishment times exceeding ten years. Proper biocontrol by natives may not occur within short timeframes, although studies of other gallwasp invaders find similar results over periods exceeding 40 years. Given that many countries have chosen to implement T. sinensis for biocontrol, the focus may be better spent monitoring native gall communities for potential non-target effects.

ecology

Pumping stations negatively affect the distribution of critically endangered European eel (Anguilla anguilla); a landscape-scale study using environmental DNA metabarcoding

Context Pumping stations pose a threat to fish globally through land use change, habitat fragmentation and entrainment risk, with the catadromous and critically endangered European eel particularly impacted. Objectives/methods Establish, model, assess and understand the present-day distribution of European eel and resident fishes in 152 pumping station catchments in a once extensive wetland (The Fens) using eDNA metabarcoding (855 samples over two and half years), with specific focus on anthropogenic influences on hydrological connectivity and habitat quality. A removal survey design maximised confidence in negative results while minimising time and consumable costs. Results Eel occurrence upstream of pumping stations was low (occupancy = 28.3%) and positively associated with catchment area, fish species richness and natural hydrological connectivity (gravity drainage or flooding) and negatively associated with distance from the tidal limit. Fish species richness replaced catchment area and improved model performance, potentially acting as a biotic indicator of habitat quality and connectivity. Pumped catchments with manually operated upstream water transfers had reduced eel presence, potentially linked to the direction of water flow or the timing of operation. By contrast, fish species richness increased in these catchments during summer, suggesting displacement into unsuitable long-term habitats. Physical habitat maintenance had no detectable effect on eel occurrence or fish species richness. Conclusions This study provides the first landscape-scale assessment of European eel distribution and drivers of occurrence in pumped river catchments. The highly novel and comprehensive insights have implications for European eel conservation as well as infrastructure and catchment management, including compliance with legislation (EC Regulation No. 1100/2007).

ecology

Genetic legacy in soil seedbanks after grassland conversion to plantation forests: evidence from Potentilla freyniana

Semi-natural grasslands are important ecosystems supporting biodiversity in Japan, but their area has declined rapidly due to land-use change and abandonment of traditional management practices such as mowing and burning. Although the conservation of genetic diversity is essential for the long-term persistence of grassland plants, little is known about the genetic diversity retained in soil seedbanks following conversion of grasslands to plantation forests. In this study, we compared the genetic diversity and population structure of above-ground and soil seedbank populations of the grassland perennial forb Potentilla freyniana across three sites in each of three land-use types: burned grasslands, deciduous plantation forests, and evergreen plantation forests (plantation ages approximately 21-62 years) on the Kaida Plateau, central Japan. Soil seedbank populations were obtained from soil samples through germination experiments, and genetic analyses were conducted using newly developed simple sequence repeat (SSR) markers. Genetic diversity was assessed using expected heterozygosity, allelic richness, and private allelic richness, population structure was evaluated using analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA), STRUCTURE analyses, and pairwise FST. Soil seedbank populations maintained levels of genetic diversity comparable to those of above-ground populations, and no significant differences were detected between the two population types. Furthermore, soil seedbank populations in evergreen plantation forests, where above-ground individuals of P. freyniana were absent, retained genetic diversity comparable to that observed in burned grasslands. AMOVA detected no significant genetic differentiation between above-ground and soil seedbank populations. These results suggest that high levels of genetic diversity can persist in soil seedbank populations for decades after forest establishment and highlight the potential importance of soil seedbanks as genetic resources for grassland restoration.

ecology

Historical squid biomass increase is not explained by rising temperature but rather by loss of top predators.

Squid abundance has been reported to increase globally between 1970 and 2010. This increase has been hypothesized to result from two primary factors: the loss of top predators due to overfishing and rising ocean temperatures. The decline in apex predators may lead to the expansion of squid populations either through reduced predation pressure or diminished competition with juvenile predators. Concurrently, increased temperatures could enhance the somatic growth rates of squid, thereby accelerating their population growth. However, empirically disentangling the impacts of predator loss and temperature on squid biomass remains challenging, especially in a food-web context. In this study, we used a size- and trait-based model of upper trophic levels that resolves the ecosystem structure -- biomass and trophic interactions of fish and squid -- for varying depth, temperature, and secondary production, to investigate two hypotheses of the historical expansion of squid, i.e., the effects of predator depletion from fishing and rising temperatures on squid biomass. Our model reveals that intensified fishing of squid predators -- specifically large demersal fish in shelf systems and large pelagic fish in open oceans -- leads to a slight increase in squid biomass. Conversely, elevated temperatures are associated with a decline in squid biomass. This temperature-driven reduction in biomass is attributed to an increased metabolism of squids beyond the available food supply. If historic overfishing on large marine predators continues to be curtailed, we expect a corresponding reduction in global squid biomass and fisheries potential, which could be further exacerbated by rising temperatures.

ecology

Hidden drivers of restoration: Persistent divergence in soil microbiome functional capacity post-habitat reconstruction

Ecosystems today are facing unprecedented environmental stress, leading to large-scale losses of habitat and ecosystem services. To address this, reconstructive efforts aim to restore habitat features and their natural complexity, biodiversity, and function. However, many reconstructive efforts fail to consider microbial communities, even though they play key roles in decomposition, nutrient cycling, and plant and animal health. Here, we use shotgun metagenomic sequencing to compare the structure and functional capacity of soil microbial communities from natural Everglades tree islands and islands constructed within a landscape-scale experimental Everglades restoration effort, followed by a manipulative greenhouse experiment to link tree sapling traits with microbiome functional genetic divergence. We found that constructed and natural island microbiomes exhibited strong, robust, and persistent divergence in both taxonomic and functional composition, with natural island microbial communities having greater functional genetic diversity and redundancy. Furthermore, we identified enrichment in functional pathways in constructed island microbiomes such as those involved in pollutant degradation that may reflect continued disturbance leading to shifts in microbiome functional profiles. Despite their capacity for functions such as nitrogen cycling we found to be important for supporting sapling growth, constructed island microbiomes displayed reduced functional genetic diversity and redundancy and were enriched in pathways associated with environmental disturbance, suggesting a potentially diminished capacity for long-term resilience. Overall, our assessment of soil microbial communities in reconstructed and natural habitats emphasizes how reconstructive restoration can impact microbial functional repertoires and highlights the importance of these hidden players in management and restoration of ecosystem health.

ecology

Warm temperature impedes the spread of a heritable manipulative symbiont community in spider populations

Heritable bacterial symbionts are pervasive in terrestrial arthropods, often imposing reproductive manipulations to promote their own spread within host populations. Co-infections are common, potentially allowing symbiont co-infectors to hitchhike through a host population. However, adverse thermal conditions can disrupt these communities, particularly when co-infectors vary in their thermal sensitivity. We used a multi-generation experiment to test whether warm (29 {degrees}C) conditions disrupted spread of heritable symbionts through uninfected populations of the spider, Mermessus fradeorum. We tested two common infection combinations: a single infection with a cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) inducing Rickettsiella or a feminizing co-infection that included a feminizing Wolbachia, the same Rickettsiella, and up to three apparent hitchhikers (two additional Wolbachia strains and Tisiphia). We initiated replicate populations with 1/3 of one infection type and 2/3 uninfected spiders, evaluating population infection rate over 5 spider generations under different temperature regimes. Under cool (21{degrees}C) conditions, Wolbachia feminization drove co-infection to 88% and Rickettsiella CI drove single infection to 83% of host populations. Vertical transmission for all symbionts was high (97-99%) and hitchhiking symbionts also spread effectively. Under warm conditions, feminization and CI efficacy were reduced, and symbionts suffered variably reduced vertical transmission. Warm conditions ultimately destroyed the co-infecting symbiont consortium and impeded symbiont spread. On its own, though, Rickettsiella was still able to increase, despite reduced strength of CI. We hypothesize that contrasting tensions between feminizing spread of the symbiont consortium versus environmentally driven loss of function and transmission may explain observed patterns of mixed infections in field populations of this spider.

ecology

Both environmental filtering and intraspecific variation shape small mammals' elementomes

The biogeochemical niche hypothesis (BNH) proposes the multi-elemental composition of organisms - their elementome - as a new ecological dimension. However, which ecological factors shape elementome assembly remains little known, especially in animals. Here, we studied the mandibular elementome of two sympatric small mammals - Apodemus flavicollis and Clethrionomys glareolus - to assess how intraspecific variability (ontogenetic changes in body mass and sex under the vertebrate bone hypothesis; VBH) and environmental filtering (season and habitat) shape essential and non-essential elementome assembly. Species showed moderate elementome segregation and seasonal niche partitioning, with implications for coexistence. Ontogenetic body mass predicted elemental variation and calcium substitution, with several hypermetric scalings in autumn indicating strong departures from mass-invariant homeostasis. Finally, our results suggest a dichotomy: essential elementomes were mainly driven by intraspecific variation, whereas non-essential elementomes were rather shaped by environmental filtering. Our results position animal elementomes as an integrative ecological dimension linking organismal biology, species interactions, and environmental filtering across individuals, populations, and species.

ecology

A strong-to-weak interaction shift during microbiome succession is coupled to colonizer-dependent antimicrobial resistance

The outcome of ecological succession is often attributed to the characteristics of the invader or the resident community, but rarely to how the community's interaction network reorganizes during assembly. Here, we track intraspecific lineage dynamics and infer time-resolved community interaction networks using Dynamic Covariance Mapping during ecological invasion of the mouse gut by a chromosomally barcoded, spectinomycin-resistant Escherichia coli K12 colonizer. The network is initially dominated by strong, predominantly inhibitory interactions, but as community diversity recovers, the distribution of interaction strengths contracts toward zero, producing a community increasingly dominated by weak and near-neutral interactions. The dominant eigenvalue of the DCM-inferred interaction matrix moves toward marginal stability predicted for dynamically assembling ecological networks. This pattern replicates across eight independent mice in two experimental cohorts, at both inter- and intra-species resolution. The ecological transition coincides with the reproducible resurgence of Paenibacillaceae to high relative abundance and persistent coexistence with E. coli under continued spectinomycin pressure. Whole-genome sequencing of recovered Paenibacillus macerans isolates identifies recurrent mutations in ribosomal protein S5 region associated with spectinomycin binding and strongly implicating this variant in resistance. Strikingly, under antibiotic pressure but without E. coli K12 invasion, resident Paenibacillaceae never blooms, indicating that expansion of the resistant population depends on the ecological context established by the colonizer. These findings show that gut microbiome succession is accompanied by a reproducible transition from strong toward weak interactions and link this network reorganization to the colonizer-dependent ecological benefit of antimicrobial resistance.

ecology

The Hidden Prior: Variance Constraints Under Data Augmentation

Data augmentation is now a standard device across capture--recapture and occupancy analysis: adding a fixed number M of all-zero encounter histories replaces a model of unknown dimension with one of fixed dimension. Although M is often treated as a computational tuning choice, it also specifies a finite superpopulation and hence a binomial support constraint on the number of undetected individuals. In a Bayesian implementation that constraint appears as an induced prior; in a likelihood implementation it is the same finite-support assumption reached by another route. That the Bernoulli specification for the inclusion indicators induces a binomial prior on abundance is established (Schofield & Barker 2014); our concern is what that choice costs in estimated uncertainty. We develop the argument using a simple closed-population abundance estimation problem. We show that augmented occupancy and Huggins conditional-likelihood analyses give numerically identical point estimates of N once M is sufficiently large. Their uncertainty estimates, however, need not agree. We distinguish two sources of discrepancy. First, when M is small relative to the number of undetected individuals, the finite binomial ceiling truncates the likelihood or posterior and suppresses uncertainty. Second, once that ceiling no longer binds, Taylor-series (Delta-method) approximations still understate variance, because the quantity of interest is a strongly non-linear function of the estimated parameters and local linearization does not reproduce its curvature. Gauss-Hermite quadrature on the unconstrained logit scale recovers much of the shortfall and approaches the MCMC posterior benchmark, though a small residual remains that does not close as M grows, reflecting the distinction between asymptotic likelihood theory and finite-sample Bayesian inference. Neither mechanism is peculiar to abundance estimation: the first follows from the augmented representation itself, the second from any derived quantity that is a non-linear function of estimated parameters. We close with framework-specific guidance for choosing M.

ecology
Compare source metadata on this page
WorkPublishedSource identifierSource
Resource supply dynamics control stability and chaos in complex ecosystems2026-09-0210.64898/2026.09.01.748502v1biorxiv
Developments in the European parasitoid community of Dryocosmus kuriphilus2026-09-0210.64898/2026.09.01.748543v1biorxiv
Pumping stations negatively affect the distribution of critically endangered European eel (Anguilla anguilla); a landscape-scale study using environmental DNA metabarcoding2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.28.746846v1biorxiv
Genetic legacy in soil seedbanks after grassland conversion to plantation forests: evidence from Potentilla freyniana2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.28.747765v1biorxiv
Historical squid biomass increase is not explained by rising temperature but rather by loss of top predators.2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.30.748117v1biorxiv
Hidden drivers of restoration: Persistent divergence in soil microbiome functional capacity post-habitat reconstruction2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.31.747609v1biorxiv
Warm temperature impedes the spread of a heritable manipulative symbiont community in spider populations2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.31.747884v1biorxiv
Both environmental filtering and intraspecific variation shape small mammals' elementomes2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.31.748240v1biorxiv
A strong-to-weak interaction shift during microbiome succession is coupled to colonizer-dependent antimicrobial resistance2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.31.748276v1biorxiv
The Hidden Prior: Variance Constraints Under Data Augmentation2026-09-0110.64898/2026.08.31.748288v1biorxiv

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