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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.01.09.698529

Spatial inference of ancestor locations suggests northern refugia for canopy-forming kelps in the Northeast Pacific

Abstract

O_LIPockets of the formerly glaciated Pacific coastline of North America likely remained ice-free throughout the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). These areas may have served as refugia for terrestrial species, but less is known about their role in the persistence of coastal marine species. C_LIO_LIWe examined genetic diversity from >1,000 newly and previously sequenced whole genomes of canopy-forming kelps of the genera Nereocystis and Macrocystis, and built simple ecological niche models. We then reconstructed ancestral recombination graphs and modelled the geographic locations of genetic ancestors through time. C_LIO_LIWe detected high genetic diversity in both species in north-central British Columbia, in a region where suitable LGM habitat is plausible. Ancestor locations spatially converged backward in time toward this region, with multiple refugia inferred between northern Vancouver Island and southern Haida Gwaii. An expanded set of global samples for Macrocystis confirmed pre-LGM divergence with California but hinted at the possibility of subsequent gene flow. C_LIO_LIKelp forests survived in northern refugia and have continuously occupied portions of the northern Pacific coastline since the LGM. One implication of these results is their support for the Kelp Highway Hypothesis of the peopling of the Americas by a coastal route. C_LI

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BibTeXRIS

Bemmels, J. B., Kroeker, K. J., Palumbi, S. R., Bay, R. A., Gruenthal, K. M., Lindstrom, S. C., Osmond, M. M., Owens, G. L.. 2026-01-09. Spatial inference of ancestor locations suggests northern refugia for canopy-forming kelps in the Northeast Pacific. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.09.698529

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