Seabird and sea duck mortalities were lower during the second breeding season in eastern Canada following the introduction of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A H5Nx viruses

Abstract

H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b viruses have caused significant mortality events in various wild bird species across Europe, North America, South America, and Africa. In North America, the largest impacts on wild birds have been in eastern Canada, where over 40,391 wild birds were reported to have died from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) between April and September 2022. In the year following, we applied previously established methods to quantify total reported mortality in eastern Canada for a full year October 2022, to September 2023. In this study, we (i) document the spatial, temporal and taxonomic patterns of wild bird mortality in the 12 months that followed the mass mortality event in the summer of 2022 and (ii) quantify the observed differences in mortality across the breeding season (April to September) of 2022 and 2023. In eastern Canada, there was high uncertainty about whether 2023 would bring another year of devastating HPAI-linked mortalities. Mortalities in the breeding season were 93% lower in 2023 compared to 2022 but encompassed a more taxonomically diverse array of species. We found that mortalities in the fall and winter (non-breeding season) were dominated by waterfowl, while mortalities during the spring and summer (breeding season) were dominated by seabirds. Due to a low prevalence of HPAI among the subset of tested birds, we refrained from broadly attributing reported mortalities in 2023 to HPAI. However, our analysis did identify three notable mortality events linked to HPAI, involving at least 1,646 Greater Snow Geese, 232 Canada Geese, and 212 Northern Gannets. This study emphasizes the ongoing need for H5NX surveillance and mortality assessments as the patterns of mortality in wild populations continue to change.