bioRxiv Science⌕ Search

Biology subjects

Wilsey, C.

Publications and source records attributed to Wilsey, C..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Where, who, and what counts under area-based conservation targets: A framework for identifying opportunities that benefit biodiversity, climate mitigation, and human communities

O_LIArea-based conservation targets, such as 30-30, if strategically applied, can increase resiliency to climate change and provide co-benefits to people and biodiversity. However, protected areas historically were not designated within the context of global change, and human communities at highest risk are often overlooked in conservation planning. C_LIO_LITo inform 30-30 conservation planning in the United States (i.e., America the Beautiful; ATB), we evaluated where US conservation opportunities exist by identifying habitats that can simultaneously benefit climate change mitigation and bird populations, as well as who lives in these areas and how conservation actions could both improve human well-being or potentially be at odds with local communities. To inform the equitable implementation of area-based conservation targets, we integrated maps of critical habitat for birds now and under a changing climate with carbon stocks and sinks and developed a prioritization framework to investigate the spatial alignment of these locations with areas identified as important for both human well-being and land-dependent human communities. C_LIO_LIAlthough nearly 30% of US lands have some level of protection, only 6% of US lands (143 million acres) are managed for biodiversity and align with Bird and Carbon (BC) priorities, and <3% of protected US lands (59 million acres) align with priorities for Birds, Carbon, and Human well-being (BCH). C_LIO_LIOf the 312 million acres of BCH priorities identified, 71% lack known protection or formal conservation plans (14% of US lands) and should be considered conservation opportunities that could simultaneously address the biodiversity and climate crises, and social inequities. Targeting these BCH areas for conservation action would contribute to more equitable benefits to marginalized communities, and could fulfill the Justice 40 commitment, which aims to allocate 40% of federal investments in climate benefits to marginalized communities (which, for the 30% goal under ATB equates to 12% of US lands). C_LIO_LIAt least 80% of all BCH priorities co-occur with Indigenous peoples and local communities (IPLCs) who have strong cultural and socioeconomic ties to the land, making it imperative to work with local communities to define what counts as conservation actions towards the 30% goal and what successful conservation outcomes that benefit biodiversity, climate change mitigation, and human communities look like. C_LI

ecology↗

Risk to North American Birds from Climate Change-Related Threats

Climate change is a significant threat to biodiversity globally, compounded by threats that could hinder species ability to respond through range shifts. However, little research has examined how future bird ranges may coincide with multiple stressors at a broad scale. Here, we assess the risk to 544 birds in the United States from future climate change threats under a mitigation-dependent global warming scenario of 1.5{degrees}C and an unmitigated scenario of 3.0{degrees}C. Threats considered included sea level rise, lake level change, human land cover conversion, and extreme weather events. We developed a gridded index of risk based on coincident threats, species richness, and richness of vulnerable species. To assign risk to individual species and habitat groups, we overlaid future bird ranges with threats to calculate the proportion of species ranges affected in both the breeding and non-breeding seasons. Nearly all species will face at least one new climate-related threat in each season and scenario analyzed. Even with lower species richness, the 3.0{degrees}C scenario had higher risk for species and groups in both seasons. With unmitigated climate change, multiple coincident threats will affect over 88% of the conterminous United States, and 97% of species could be affected by two or more climate-related threats. Some habitat groups will see up to 96% species facing three or more threats. However, climate change mitigation would reduce risk to birds from climate change-related threats across over 90% of the US. Across the threats included here, extreme weather events have the most significant influence on risk and the most extensive spatial coverage. Urbanization and sea level rise will also have disproportionate impacts on species relative to the area they cover. By incorporating threats into predictions of climate change impacts, this assessment provides a comprehensive picture of how climate change will affect birds and the places they need.

ecology↗