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Vilhjalmsson, B. J.

Publications and source records attributed to Vilhjalmsson, B. J..

17 recordsLinked to original sources

Using summary data to detect and quantify ascertainment in biobanks

Non-random participation in genetic studies can bias associations between genetic variants and outcomes. Existing methods to detect ascertainment bias often require individual-level data, thus limiting their broad applicability. Here, we introduce a summary-statistics-based method to detect and quantify ascertainment bias in large-scale genetic studies. Our method estimates a parameter,{theta} , which captures deviations in the mean polygenic score (PGS) of an ascertained sample relative to its expectation across non-ascertained or differentially ascertained references. We show through extensive simulations that our method is robust to population stratification and reference misspecification unlike naive mean PGS comparison. When applied to 21 traits across 11 large-scale biobanks, our method recapitulates known patterns of ascertainment and detects new evidence of ascertainment on genetic susceptibility to depression, height and blood pressure in many biobanks. Overall, our framework enables systematic assessment of ascertainment directly from summary statistics and provides a scalable tool for evaluating representativeness in large scale genetic studies.

genetics↗

LT-FGRS: a unifying R-package for the estimation of family-based genetic liabilities at population-scale

Estimates of per-individual genetic liability from large-scale family data are routinely used in biomedical research to describe genetic etiology of traits and disorders, boost the power of gene-mapping studies, and improve risk predictions. Here we present LT-FGRS, an R package for handling population-scale pedigrees and implementing multiple state-of-the-field methods for estimating genetic liability from such data. Benchmarking in population-scale Nordic registry data demonstrates that LT-FGRS reproduces estimates from existing implementations at manageable computational cost. LT-FGRS unifies previous parallel implementations into a single framework, lowering barriers for methodological comparison and applied use. Availability and ImplementationLT-FGRS is available as an R-package on CRAN. (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=LTFGRS) Contactemp@au.dk; morten.dybdahl.krebs@regionh.dk Supplementary informationhttps://emilmip.github.io/LTFGRS

genetics↗

Inferring disease architecture and predictive ability with LDpred2-auto

LDpred2 is a widely used Bayesian method for building polygenic scores (PGS). LDpred2-auto can infer the two parameters from the LDpred model, the SNP heritability h2 and polygenicity p, so that it does not require an additional validation dataset to choose best-performing parameters. The main aim of this paper is to properly validate the use of LDpred2-auto for inferring multiple genetic parameters. Here, we present a new version of LDpred2-auto that adds an optional third parameter to its model, for modeling negative selection. We then validate the inference of these three parameters (or two, when using the previous model). We also show that LDpred2-auto provides per-variant probabilities of being causal that are well calibrated, and can therefore be used for fine-mapping purposes. We also derive a new formula to infer the out-of-sample predictive performance r2 of the resulting PGS directly from the Gibbs sampler of LDpred2-auto. Finally, we extend the set of HapMap3 variants recommended to use with LDpred2 with 37% more variants to improve the coverage of this set, and show that this new set of variants captures 12% more heritability and provides 6% more predictive performance, on average, in UK Biobank analyses.

genetics↗

Publicly Available Privacy-preserving Benchmarks for Polygenic Prediction

Recently, several new approaches for creating polygenic scores (PGS) have been developed and this trend shows no sign of abating. However, it has thus far been challenging to determine which approaches are superior, as different studies report seemingly conflicting benchmark results. This heterogeneity in benchmark results is in part due to different outcomes being used, but also due to differences in the genetic variants being used, data preprocessing, and other quality control steps. As a solution, a publicly available benchmark for polygenic prediction is presented here, which allows researchers to both train and test polygenic prediction methods using only summary-level information, thus preserving privacy. Using simulations and real data, we show that model performance can be estimated with accuracy, using only linkage disequilibrium (LD) information and genome-wide association summary statistics for target outcomes. Finally, we make this PGS benchmark - consisting of 8 outcomes, including somatic and psychiatric disorders - publicly available for researchers to download on our PGS benchmark platform (http://www.pgsbenchmark.org). We believe this benchmark can help establish a clear and unbiased standard for future polygenic score methods to compare against.

genetics↗

Polygenic scoring accuracy varies across the genetic ancestry continuum in all human populations

Polygenic scores (PGS) have limited portability across different groupings of individuals (e.g., by genetic ancestries and/or social determinants of health), preventing their equitable use. PGS portability has typically been assessed using a single aggregate population-level statistic (e.g., R2), ignoring inter-individual variation within the population. Here we evaluate PGS accuracy at individual-level resolution, independent of its annotated genetic ancestries. We show that PGS accuracy varies between individuals across the genetic ancestry continuum in all ancestries, even within traditionally "homogeneous" genetic ancestry clusters. Using a large and diverse Los Angeles biobank (ATLAS, N= 36,778) along with the UK Biobank (UKBB, N= 487,409), we show that PGS accuracy decreases along a continuum of genetic ancestries in all considered populations and the trend is well-captured by a continuous measure of genetic distance (GD) from the PGS training data; Pearson correlation of -0.95 between GD and PGS accuracy averaged across 84 traits. When applying PGS models trained in UKBB "white British" individuals to European-ancestry individuals of ATLAS, individuals in the highest GD decile have 14% lower accuracy relative to the lowest decile; notably the lowest GD decile of Hispanic/Latino American ancestry individuals showed similar PGS performance as the highest GD decile of European ancestry ATLAS individuals. GD is significantly correlated with PGS estimates themselves for 82 out of 84 traits, further emphasizing the importance of incorporating the continuum of genetic ancestry in PGS interpretation. Our results highlight the need for moving away from discrete genetic ancestry clusters towards the continuum of genetic ancestries when considering PGS and their applications.

genetics↗

Deep integrative models for large-scale human genomics

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are expected to play a critical role in achieving precision medicine. Currently, PRS predictors are generally based on linear models using summary statistics, and more recently individual-level data. However, these predictors mainly capture additive relationships and are limited in data modalities they can use. Here, we developed a deep learning framework (EIR) for PRS prediction which includes a model, genome-local-net (GLN), specifically designed for large scale genomics data. The framework supports multi-task (MT) learning, automatic integration of other clinical and biochemical data, and model explainability. When applied to individual level data in the UK Biobank, we found that GLN outperformed LASSO for a wide range of diseases and in particularly autoimmune diseases. Furthermore, we show that this was likely due to modelling epistasis, and we showcase this by identifying widespread epistasis for Type 1 Diabetes. Furthermore, we trained PRS by integrating genotype, blood, urine and anthropometrics and found that this improved performance for 93% of 290 diseases and disorders considered. Finally, we found that including genotype data provided better calibrated PRS models compared to using measurements alone. EIR is available at https://github.com/arnor-sigurdsson/EIR.

bioinformatics↗

Accounting for age-of-onset and family history improves power in genome-wide association studies

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have revolutionized human genetics, allowing researchers to identify thousands of disease-related genes and possible drug targets. However, case-control status does not account for the fact that not all controls may have lived through their period of risk for the disorder of interest. This can be quantified by examining the age-of-onset distribution and the age of the controls or the age-of-onset for cases. The age-of-onset distribution may also depend on information such as sex and birth year. In addition, family history is not routinely included in the assessment of control status. Here we present LT-FH++, an extension of the liability threshold model conditioned on family history (LT-FH), that jointly accounts for age-of-onset and sex, as well as family history. Using simulations, we show that, when family history and the age-of-onset distribution are available, the proposed approach yields large power gains over both LT-FH and genome-wide association study by proxy (GWAX). We applied our method to four psychiatric disorders available in the iPSYCH data, and to mortality in the UK Biobank, finding 20 genome-wide significant associations with LT-FH++, compared to 10 for LT-FH and 8 for a standard case-control GWAS. As more genetic data with linked electronic health records become available to researchers, we expect methods that account for additional health information, such as LT-FH++, to become even more beneficial.

bioinformatics↗

lassosum2: an updated version complementing LDpred2

Publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics exhibit uneven quality, which can impact the validity of follow-up analyses. First, we present an overview of possible misspecifications that come with GWAS summary statistics. Then, in both simulations and real data analyses, we show that additional information such as imputation INFO scores, allele frequencies, and per-variant sample sizes in GWAS summary statistics can be used to detect possible issues and correct for misspecifications in the GWAS summary statistics. One important motivation for us is to improve the predictive performance of polygenic scores built from these summary statistics. Unfortunately, due to the lack of reporting standards for GWAS summary statistics, this additional information is not systematically reported. We also show that using well-matched LD references can improve model fit and translate into more accurate prediction. Finally, we discuss how to make polygenic score methods such as lassosum and LDpred2 more robust to these misspecifications to improve their predictive power.

genetics↗

Large uncertainty in individual PRS estimation impacts PRS-based risk stratification

Large-scale genome-wide association studies have enabled polygenic risk scores (PRS), which estimate the genetic value of an individual for a given trait. Since PRS accuracy is typically assessed using cohort-level metrics (e.g., R2), uncertainty in PRS estimates at individual level remains underexplored. Here we show that Bayesian PRS methods can estimate the variance of an individuals PRS and can yield well-calibrated credible intervals for the genetic value of a single individual. For real traits in the UK Biobank (N=291,273 unrelated "white British") we observe large variance in individual PRS estimates which impacts interpretation of PRS-based stratification; for example, averaging across 13 traits, only 0.8% (s.d. 1.6%) of individuals with PRS point estimates in the top decile have their entire 95% credible intervals fully contained in the top decile. We provide an analytical estimator for individual PRS variance--a function of SNP-heritability, number of causal SNPs, and sample size--and observe high concordance with individual variances estimated via posterior sampling. Finally as an example of the utility of individual PRS uncertainties, we explore a probabilistic approach to PRS-based stratification that estimates the probability of an individuals genetic value to be above a prespecified threshold. Our results showcase the importance of incorporating uncertainty in individual PRS estimates into subsequent analyses.

genomics↗

Leveraging both individual-level genetic data and GWAS summary statistics increases polygenic prediction

The accuracy of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) to predict complex diseases increases with the training sample size. PRSs are generally derived based on summary statistics from large meta-analyses of multiple genome-wide association studies (GWAS). However, it is now common for researchers to have access to large individual-level data as well, such as the UK biobank data. To the best of our knowledge, it has not yet been explored how to best combine both types of data (summary statistics and individual-level data) to optimize polygenic prediction. The most widely used approach to combine data is the meta-analysis of GWAS summary statistics (Meta-GWAS), but we show that it does not always provide the most accurate PRS. Through simulations and using twelve real case-control and quantitative traits from both iPSYCH and UK Biobank along with external GWAS summary statistics, we compare Meta-GWAS with two alternative data-combining approaches, stacked clumping and thresholding (SCT) and Meta-PRS. We find that, when large individual-level data is available, the linear combination of PRSs (Meta-PRS) is both a simple alternative to Meta-GWAS and often more accurate.

genetics↗

Fitting penalized regressions on very large genetic data using snpnet and bigstatsr

Both R packages snpnet and bigstatsr allow for fitting penalized regressions on individual-level genetic data as large as the UK Biobank. Here we benchmark bigstatsr against snpnet for fitting penalized regressions on large genetic data. We find bigstatsr to be an order of magnitude faster than snpnet when applied to the UK Biobank data (from 4.5x to 35x). We also discuss the similarities and differences between the two packages, provide theoretical insights, and make recommendations on how to fit penalized regressions in the context of genetic data.

genetics↗

Improved genetic prediction of complex traits from individual-level data or summary statistics

Most existing tools for constructing genetic prediction models begin with the assumption that all genetic variants contribute equally towards the phenotype. However, this represents a suboptimal model for how heritability is distributed across the genome. Therefore, we develop prediction tools that allow the user to specify the heritability model. We compare individual-level data prediction tools using 14 UK Biobank phenotypes; our new tool LDAK-Bolt-Predict outperforms the existing tools Lasso, BLUP, Bolt-LMM and BayesR for all 14 phenotypes. We compare summary statistic prediction tools using 225 UK Biobank phenotypes; our new tool LDAK-BayesR-SS outperforms the existing tools lassosum, sBLUP, LDpred and SBayesR for 223 of the 225 phenotypes. The increase in prediction accuracy from improving the heritability model tends to be substantial. For example, when using LDAK-Bolt-Predict, the proportion of phenotypic variance explained increased by on average 14% (range 5-29%), equivalent to increasing the sample size by a quarter.

genetics↗

Multitrait genetic-phenotype associations to connect disease variants and biological mechanisms

BackgroundGenome-wide association studies (GWAS) uncovered a wealth of associations between common variants and human phenotypes. These results, widely shared across the scientific community as summary statistics, fostered a flurry of secondary analysis: heritability and genetic correlation assessment, pleiotropy characterization and multitrait association test. Amongst these secondary analyses, a rising new field is the decomposition of multitrait genetic effects into distinct profiles of pleiotropy. ResultsWe conducted an integrative analysis of GWAS summary statistics from 36 phenotypes to decipher multitrait genetic architecture and its link to biological mechanisms. We started by benchmarking multitrait association tests on a large panel of phenotype sets and established the Omnibus test as the most powerful in practice. We detected 322 new associations that were not previously reported by univariate screening. Using independent significant associations, we investigated the breakdown of genetic association into clusters of variants harboring similar multitrait association profile. Focusing on two subsets of immunity and metabolism phenotypes, we then demonstrate how SNPs within clusters can be mapped to biological pathways and disease mechanisms, providing a putative insight for numerous SNPs with unknown biological function. Finally, for the metabolism set, we investigate the link between gene cluster assignment and success of drug targets in random control trials. We report additional uninvestigated drug targets classified by clusters. ConclusionsMultitrait genetic signals can be decomposed into distinct pleiotropy profiles that reveal consistent with pathways databases and random control trials. We propose this method for the mapping of unannotated SNPs to putative pathways.

genetics↗

LDpred2: better, faster, stronger

Polygenic scores have become a central tool in human genetics research. LDpred is a popular method for deriving polygenic scores based on summary statistics and a matrix of correlation between genetic variants. However, LDpred has limitations that may reduce its predictive performance. Here we present LDpred2, a new version of LDpred that addresses these issues. We also provide two new options in LDpred2: a "sparse" option that can learn effects that are exactly 0, and an "auto" option that directly learns the two LDpred parameters from data. We benchmark predictive performance of LDpred2 against the previous version on simulated and real data, demonstrating substantial improvements in robustness and predictive accuracy compared to LDpred1. We then show that LDpred2 also outperforms other polygenic score methods recently developed, with a mean AUC over the 8 real traits analyzed here of 65.1%, compared to 63.8% for lassosum, 62.9% for PRS-CS and 61.5% for SBayesR. Note that, in contrast to what was recommended in the first version of this paper, we now recommend to run LDpred2 genome-wide instead of per chromosome. LDpred2 is implemented in R package bigsnpr.

genetics↗

Linking the association between circRNAs and Alzheimer's disease progression by multi-tissue circular RNA characterization

Alzheimers Disease (AD) has devastating consequences for patients during its slow, progressive course. It is important to understand the pathology of AD onset. Recently, circular RNAs (circRNAs) have been found to participate in many human diseases including cancers and neurodegenerative conditions. In this study, we mined the published dataset on the AMP-AD Knowledge Portal from the Mount Sinai Brain Bank (MSBB) to describe the circRNA profiles at different AD stage in brain samples from four AD patients brain regions, anterior prefrontal cortex, superior temporal lobe, parahippocampal gyrus, and inferior frontal gyrus. We found in total 147 circRNAs to be differentially expressed (DE) during AD progression in the four regions. We also characterized the mRNA-circRNA co-expression network and annotated the potential function of circRNAs based on the co-expressed modules. Based on our results, we propose that parahippocampal gyrus is the most circRNA-regulated region during the AD progression. The strongest negatively AD stage-correlated module in parahippocampal gyrus were enriched in cognitive disability and pathological-associated pathways such as synapse organization and regulation of membrane potential. Finally, the regression model based on the expression pattern of DE circRNAs in the module could help to distinguish the disease severity of patients, further supported the importance of circRNAs in AD pathology. In conclusion, our finding indicates that circRNAs in parahippocampal gyrus are possible regulators of AD progression and potentially be a therapeutic target or of AD.

genomics↗

Efficient toolkit implementing best practices for principal component analysis of population genetic data

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) of genetic data is routinely used to infer ancestry and control for population structure in various genetic analyses. However, conducting PCA analyses can be complicated and has several potential pitfalls. These pitfalls include (1) capturing Linkage Disequilibrium (LD) structure instead of population structure, (2) projected PCs that suffer from shrinkage bias, (3) detecting sample outliers, and (4) uneven population sizes. In this work, we explore these potential issues when using PCA, and present efficient solutions to these. Following applications to the UK Biobank and the 1000 Genomes project datasets, we make recommendations for best practices and provide efficient and user-friendly implementations of the proposed solutions in R packages bigsnpr and bigutilsr. For example, we find that PC19 to PC40 in the UK Biobank capture complex LD structure rather than population structure. Using our automatic algorithm for removing long-range LD regions, we recover 16 PCs that capture population structure only. Therefore, we recommend using only 16-18 PCs from the UK Biobank to account for population structure confounding. We also show how to use PCA to restrict analyses to individuals of homogeneous ancestry. Finally, when projecting individual genotypes onto the PCA computed from the 1000 Genomes project data, we find a shrinkage bias that becomes large for PC5 and beyond. We then demonstrate how to obtain unbiased projections efficiently using bigsnpr. Overall, we believe this work would be of interest for anyone using PCA in their analyses of genetic data, as well as for other omics data.

genetics↗

Making the most of Clumping and Thresholding for polygenic scores

Polygenic prediction has the potential to contribute to precision medicine. Clumping and Thresh-olding (C+T) is a widely used method to derive polygenic scores. When using C+T, it is common to test several p-value thresholds to maximize predictive ability of the derived polygenic scores. Along with this p-value threshold, we propose to tune three other hyper-parameters for C+T. We implement an efficient way to derive thousands of different C+T polygenic scores corresponding to a grid over four hyper-parameters. For example, it takes a few hours to derive 123,200 different C+T scores for 300K individuals and 1M variants on a single node with 16 cores.\n\nWe find that optimizing over these four hyper-parameters improves the predictive performance of C+T in both simulations and real data applications as compared to tuning only the p-value threshold. A particularly large increase can be noted when predicting depression status, from an AUC of 0.557 (95% CI: [0.544-0.569]) when tuning only the p-value threshold in C+T to an AUC of 0.592 (95% CI: [0.580-0.604]) when tuning all four hyper-parameters we propose for C+T.\n\nWe further propose Stacked Clumping and Thresholding (SCT), a polygenic score that results from stacking all derived C+T scores. Instead of choosing one set of hyper-parameters that maximizes prediction in some training set, SCT learns an optimal linear combination of all C+T scores by using an efficient penalized regression. We apply SCT to 8 different case-control diseases in the UK biobank data and find that SCT substantially improves prediction accuracy with an average AUC increase of 0.035 over standard C+T.

genetics↗