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Vasconcelos, T.

Publications and source records attributed to Vasconcelos, T..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Long-term responses of life-history strategies to climatic variability in flowering plants

O_LIThe evolution of annual or perennial strategies in flowering plants may depend on a broad array of temperature and precipitation variables. Previously documented correlations between life history strategy and climate appear to be clade-specific and fail to consider the coevolution of climatic niches and life history strategies. C_LIO_LIHere we combine annual and perennial life history data with geographic distribution for 9,939 flowering plant species and utilize a recently developed method that accounts for the joint evolution of continuous and discrete traits to evaluate two hypotheses: (1) annuals tend to evolve in highly seasonal regions prone to extreme heat and drought, and (2) annuals tend to have faster rates of climatic niche evolution than perennials. C_LIO_LIWe find temperature, particularly the maximum temperature of the warmest month, is the most consistent climatic factor influencing life history evolution in flowering plants. Unexpectedly, we find that the rates of climatic niche evolution are faster in perennials than in annual lineages. C_LIO_LIWe propose that annuals are consistently favored in areas prone to extreme heat due to their ability to escape heat stress as seeds, but they tend to be outcompeted by perennials in regions where extreme heat is uncommon or nonexistent. C_LI

evolutionary biology↗

Hidden-state-only speciation and extinction models provide accurate tip estimates of diversification rates

Estimates of diversification rates at the tips of a phylogeny provide a flexible approach for correlation analyses with multiple traits and to map diversification rates in space, while also avoiding the uncertainty of deep time rate reconstructions. Available methods for tip rate estimation make different assumptions, and thus their accuracy usually depends on characteristics of the underlying model generating the tree. Here we introduce MiSSE, a trait-free, state-dependent speciation and extinction approach that can be used to estimate varying speciation, extinction, net-diversification, turnover rates, and extinction fraction at the tips of the tree. We compare the accuracy of tip rates inferred by MiSSE against similar methods and demonstrate that, due to certain characteristics of the model, the error is generally low across a broad range of speciation and extinction scenarios. MiSSE can be used alongside regular phylogenetic comparative methods in trait related diversification hypotheses, and we also describe a simple correction to avoid pseudoreplication from sister tips in analyses of independent contrasts. Finally, we demonstrate the capabilities of MiSSE, with a renewed focus on classic comparative methods, to examine correlation between plant height and turnover rates in eucalypts, a species-rich lineage of flowering plants.

evolutionary biology↗