Biology subjects

Morris, D. H.

Publications and source records attributed to Morris, D. H..

7 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Data aggregation and mechanistic modeling enable dose-response analysis of SARS-CoV-1 in non-human primates

Dose-response modeling provides estimates of infectious and lethal doses, which can be used to inform control and prevention measures. Unfortunately, data from experimental challenge studies, which are needed to perform dose-response modeling, are often sparse. For example, non-human primate (NHP) challenge studies tend to have small samples sizes and little dose variation, often with only one or two dose levels per study. Thus, it is infeasible to apply traditional dose-response modeling approaches to data from single NHP studies. To address this challenge, we developed a mechanistic Bayesian model that aggregates and analyzes NHP pathogen load data across multiple studies. Our model links dose-infectivity to pathogen kinetics, which allows us to estimate the infectious dose and evaluate dose effects on within-host viral kinetics simultaneously. With this model, we obtained the first-ever ID50 estimate for SARS-CoV-1 in NHPs using data compiled from six NHP challenge studies. Our work demonstrates the value in reusing previous data from animal experiments. Our modeling framework can be applied to other pathogens, enabling robust dose-response inference when individual challenge studies are inconclusive. Author summaryDose-response models are used to estimate pathogen doses needed to cause infection in humans, so they are useful for informing outbreak control policies. Unfortunately, performing dose-response modeling can be difficult due to limitations in the available data. If the pathogen causes significant risk of severe disease or death in humans, then controlled human infections cannot be performed. Additionally, experimental challenge studies of relevant animal models, such as non-human primates (NHPs), often have small sample sizes and limited dose ranges, which make dose-response modeling unfeasible using data from single studies. We developed an approach to aggregate data across multiple challenge studies to enable dose-response modeling in the absence of dose-response experiments. We applied our approach to data from six NHP challenge studies to perform the first-ever dose-response analysis of SARS-CoV-1 in NHPs. Our approach also included a mechanistic, mathematical model of within-host pathogen kinetics, which allowed us to assess the effect of SARS-CoV-1 dosage on patterns of viral RNA shedding. The framework we developed can be readily applied to other host-pathogen systems, and the mechanistic components of our model contribute to a growing movement towards understanding dose effects beyond simple infectivity.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2023

Stability of mpox (monkeypox) virus in bodily fluids and wastewater

ImportanceSince May 2022, human monkeypox (mpox) infections have spread rapidly outside endemic countries. On July 23, 2023, WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of international Concern because of the unprecedented global spread of mpox. Whereas there is an incomplete understanding of transmission routes, the spread of monkeypox virus (MPXV) through sexual contact networks of men who have sex with men (MSM) highlights the potential of transmission during sexual activity, either via bodily fluids or via direct contact. This research assesses the potential for MPXV to remain infectious in the environment on surfaces and in fluids under different environmental conditions. ObjectiveTo investigate the stability of MPXV on various surfaces, at different environmental conditions and in different bodily fluids (human blood, semen, serum, saliva, urine, and feces), and to assess decontamination of MPXV-contaminated wastewater via chlorination. Design, Setting, and ExposuresAll experiments involving viable MPXV were performed at the Rocky Mountains Laboratory under high containment conditions using MPXV strain hMPXV/USA/MA001. Infectious MPXV was quantified via plaque assay. Environmental decay rates were estimated using a Bayesian statistical model, with a Poisson likelihood for plaque counts. ResultsMPXV showed surface dependent stability, with faster decay at higher temperatures. Decay rates varied considerably depending on the medium in which virus was suspended, both overall MPXV displayed considerable environmental stability in bodily fluids and in particular proteinaceous fluids, such as blood and semen, lead to greater persistence. Wastewater chlorination was an effective decontamination technique. Conclusions and RelevanceMPXV retains its infectivity in the environment when it is deposited in blood, semen, and serum; environmental decay is more rapid in less proteinaceous fluids, particularly once residual liquid has evaporated. The observed persistence of MPXV implies environmental contamination in healthcare setting, could serve as vehicles of transmission and dissemination in these environments. Chlorination was effective in decontamination of wastewater. Key findings and public health implications; these results suggest that MPXV can have prolonged stability in the environment and are therefore directly relevant for hospital hygiene practices to prevent nosocomial transmission.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2023

Variability in donor lung culture and relative humidity impact the stability of 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza virus on nonporous surfaces

Respiratory viruses can transmit by multiple modes, including contaminated surfaces, commonly referred to as fomites. Efficient fomite transmission requires that a virus remain infectious on a given surface material over a wide range of environmental conditions, including different relative humidities. Prior work examining the stability of influenza viruses on surfaces has relied upon virus grown in media or eggs, which does not mimic the composition of virus-containing droplets expelled from the human respiratory tract. In this study, we examined the stability of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 (H1N1pdm09) virus on a variety of nonporous surface materials at four different humidity conditions. Importantly, we used virus grown in primary human bronchial epithelial (HBE) cultures from different donors to recapitulate the physiological microenvironment of expelled viruses. We observed rapid inactivation of H1N1pdm09 on copper under all experimental conditions. In contrast to copper, viruses were stable on polystyrene plastic, stainless steel, aluminum, and glass, at multiple relative humidity conditions, but greater decay on ABS plastic was observed at short time points. However, the half-lives of viruses at 23% relative humidity were similar among non-copper surfaces and ranged from 4.5 to 5.9 hours. Assessment of H1N1pdm09 longevity on nonporous surfaces revealed that virus persistence was governed more by differences among HBE culture donors than by surface material. Our findings highlight the potential role of an individuals respiratory fluid on viral persistence and could help explain heterogeneity in transmission dynamics. IMPORTANCESeasonal epidemics and sporadic pandemics of influenza cause a large public health burden. Although influenza viruses disseminate through the environment in respiratory secretions expelled from infected individuals, they can also be transmitted by contaminated surfaces where virus-laden expulsions can deposit. Understanding virus stability on surfaces within the indoor environment is critical to assessing influenza transmission risk. We found that influenza virus stability is affected by the host respiratory secretion in which the virus is expelled, the surface material on which the droplet lands, and the ambient relative humidity of the environment. Influenza viruses can remain infectious on many common surfaces for prolonged periods, with half-lives of 4.5-5.9 hours. These data imply that influenza viruses are highly persistent in indoor environments in biologically-relevant matrices. Decontamination and engineering controls should be used to mitigate influenza virus transmission.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2022

Host and viral determinants of airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the Syrian hamster

It remains poorly understood how SARS-CoV-2 infection influences the physiological host factors important for aerosol transmission. We assessed breathing pattern, exhaled droplets, and infectious virus after infection with Alpha and Delta variants of concern (VOC) in the Syrian hamster. Both VOCs displayed a confined window of detectable airborne virus (24-48 h), shorter than compared to oropharyngeal swabs. The loss of airborne shedding was linked to airway constriction resulting in a decrease of fine aerosols (1-10{micro}m) produced, which are suspected to be the major driver of airborne transmission. Male sex was associated with increased viral replication and virus shedding in the air. Next, we compared the transmission efficiency of both variants and found no significant differences. Transmission efficiency varied mostly among donors, 0-100% (including a superspreading event), and aerosol transmission over multiple chain links was representative of natural heterogeneity of exposure dose and downstream viral kinetics. Co-infection with VOCs only occurred when both viruses were shed by the same donor during an increased exposure timeframe (24-48 h). This highlights that assessment of host and virus factors resulting in a differential exhaled particle profile is critical for understanding airborne transmission.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

The effect of temperature and humidity on the stability of SARS-CoV-2 and other enveloped viruses

Environmental conditions affect virus inactivation rate and transmission potential. Understanding those effects is critical for anticipating and mitigating epidemic spread. Ambient temperature and humidity strongly affect the inactivation rate of enveloped viruses, but a mechanistic, quantitative theory of those effects has been elusive. We measure the stability of the enveloped respiratory virus SARS-CoV-2 on an inert surface at nine temperature and humidity conditions and develop a mechanistic model to explain and predict how temperature and humidity alter virus inactivation. We find SARS-CoV-2 survives longest at low temperatures and extreme relative humidities; median estimated virus half-life is over 24 hours at 10 {degrees}C and 40 % RH, but approximately 1.5 hours at 27 {degrees}C and 65 % RH. Our mechanistic model uses simple chemistry to explain the increase in virus inactivation rate with increased temperature and the U-shaped dependence of inactivation rate on relative humidity. The model accurately predicts quantitative measurements from existing studies of five different human coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), suggesting that shared mechanisms may determine environmental stability for many enveloped viruses. Our results indicate scenarios of particular transmission risk, point to pandemic mitigation strategies, and open new frontiers in the mechanistic study of virus transmission.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

Heat-treated virus inactivation rate depends strongly on treatment procedure

Decontamination helps limit environmental transmission of infectious agents. It is required for the safe re-use of contaminated medical, laboratory and personal protective equipment, and for the safe handling of biological samples. Heat treatment is a common decontamination method, notably used for viruses. We show that for liquid specimens (here, solution of SARS-CoV-2 in cell culture medium), virus inactivation rate under heat treatment at 70{degrees}C can vary by almost two orders of magnitude depending on the treatment procedure, from a half-life of 0.86 min (95% credible interval: [0.09, 1.77]) in closed vials in a heat block to 37.00 min ([12.65, 869.82]) in uncovered plates in a dry oven. These findings suggest a critical role of evaporation in virus inactivation via dry heat. Placing samples in open or uncovered containers may dramatically reduce the speed and efficacy of heat treatment for virus inactivation. Given these findings, we reviewed the literature temperature-dependent coronavirus stability and found that specimen containers, and whether they are closed, covered, or uncovered, are rarely reported in the scientific literature. Heat-treatment procedures must be fully specified when reporting experimental studies to facilitate result interpretation and reproducibility, and must be carefully considered when developing decontamination guidelines. ImportanceHeat is a powerful weapon against most infectious agents. It is widely used for decontamination of medical, laboratory and personal protective equipment, and for biological samples. There are many methods of heat treatment, and methodological details can affect speed and efficacy of decontamination. We applied four different heat-treatment procedures to liquid specimens containing SARS-CoV-2. Our results show that the container used to store specimens during decontamination can substantially affect inactivation rate: for a given initial level of contamination, decontamination time can vary from a few minutes in closed vials to several hours in uncovered plates. Reviewing the literature, we found that container choices and heat treatment methods are only rarely reported explicitly in methods sections. Our study shows that careful consideration of heat-treatment procedure -- in particular the choice of specimen container, and whether it is covered -- can make results more consistent across studies, improve decontamination practice, and provide insight into the mechanisms of virus inactivation.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

Asynchrony between virus diversity and antibody selection limits influenza virus evolution

Seasonal influenza viruses create a persistent global disease burden by evolving to escape immunity induced by prior infections and vaccinations. New antigenic variants have a substantial selective advantage at the population level, but these variants are rarely selected within-host, even in previously immune individuals. Using a mathematical model, we show that the temporal asynchrony between within-host virus exponential growth and antibody-mediated selection could limit within-host antigenic evolution. If selection for new antigenic variants acts principally at the point of initial virus inoculation, where small virus populations encounter well-matched mucosal antibodies in previously infected individuals, there can exist protection against reinfection that does not regularly produce observable new antigenic variants within individual infected hosts. Our results provide a theoretical explanation for how virus antigenic evolution can be highly selective at the global level but nearly neutral within host. They also suggest new avenues for improving influenza control.

evolutionary biology↗