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Glemin, S.

Publications and source records attributed to Glemin, S..

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The causes of signed linkage disequilibrium within genomic datasets

The signed linkage disequilibrium (LD) among selected mutations plays an important role in theoretical models of the evolution of sex and recombination. Several recent studies have quantified LD among mutations in genomic datasets, often reporting positive LD, particularly among mutations presumed to be less deleterious, such as synonymous variants. In this article, we investigate two potential sources of this positive LD: the focus on rare alleles, as adopted in several previous studies, and errors arising in the mapping of short-read sequences onto a reference genome. Using coalescent simulations, we extend previous theoretical results of the effect of focusing on rare alleles, and show that derived neutral alleles present at similar frequencies tend to be in positive LD, while alleles present at different frequencies tend to be in negative LD. Reanalyzing datasets from Capsella grandiflora and Drosophila melanogaster, we show that LD among synonymous derived alleles vanishes in the absence of any conditioning on frequency, while LD between mutations categorized as potentially deleterious by the SIFT4G program stays positive. However, we show that in both cases, this positive LD may be at least partly caused by the potential mismapping of a small fraction of sequences in some individuals, which could be a consequence of structural variants that are absent from the reference genome. Overall, these results show that average signed LD among mutations can be strongly affected by technical artifacts even if these concern only a minority of variants. Finally, we discuss other possible sources of positive LD among deleterious mutations.

genomics↗

Evolution of crop phenotypic spaces through domestication

O_LIWe used domestication as an in vivo replicated experiment to investigate how divergent selection has shaped the evolution of multivariate phenotypic spaces. C_LIO_LIWe measured 11 to 57 qualitative and quantitative traits in 13 species, either unique or shared between species, and established a framework for cross-species comparisons. C_LIO_LIOur results revealed significant convergence that translated into a cross-species domestication syndrome. Most species exhibited a reduction of the multivariate phenotypic space during domestication. We brought evidence that Near Infrared spectra measured on leaves reflect phenotypic evolution unrelated with domestication, enabling its use as a control for sampling effects across species. Building on this, we developed a multivariate Phenotypic Divergence Index (mPDI) to rank species by the extent of phenotypic divergence under domestication. We found a high disjunction of wild and domestic phenotypic spaces in all species. Neither the mPDI nor the relative size of wild versus domestic multivariate phenotypic spaces was influenced by the domestication timing or mating system. Lastly, we observed a progressive decoupling of trait correlations with increasing time since domestication. C_LIO_LIIn addition to introducing a new index that can be applied for cross-species comparisons, our study uncovers recurring patterns shared among species, pointing to general principles underlying plant domestication. C_LI

evolutionary biology↗

Estimating the reduction in genetic diversity from background selection under non-equilibrium demography and partial selfing

The effect of natural selection on linked sites has been suggested to be a major determinant of genetic diversity. While it is in principle possible to estimate this effect from genome sequence data, interactions between selection, demography and inbreeding are expected to make inference less reliable. Here we investigate whether the genome-wide reduction in diversity due to background selection ([B]) can be accurately estimated when populations are at demographic non-equilibrium and/or reproduce by partial self-fertilisation. We show that the classic-BGS model is surprisingly robust to both demographic non-equilibrium and low rates of selfing, although both processes do lead to biased estimation of the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) of deleterious mutations. A high rate of selfing leads to poor estimation of both[B] and DFE parameters. We propose an alternative inference approach where background selection, demography and partial selfing are jointly estimated from windowed site frequency spectra. This approach, while approximate in nature, resolves most of the bias observed under the classic-BGS model and can also generate estimates of past demography that account for the effect of background selection and partial selfing. We apply the approach to genome sequence data from Capsella grandiflora and C. orientalis, which have contrasting mating systems and display a forty-fold difference in nucleotide diversity. Our results suggest that background selection has a weak effect on levels of genetic diversity in the outcrosser C. grandiflora ([B] = 0.89) and a more substantial effect in the predominantly selfing species C. orientalis ([B] = 0.44), but that background selection alone cannot explain their disparity in genetic diversity.

evolutionary biology↗

Parallel clines of chromosomal inversion in seaweed flies associated with thermal variation

Chromosomal inversion supergenes, which form blocks of linked genes, are increasingly recognized for their role in maintaining intra-specific diversity. They are predicted to be relevant genetic architectures for local adaptation in the face of gene flow. However, pinpointing the underlying traits and functional mechanisms under selection remains challenging. The seaweed fly Coelopa frigida harbors several large polymorphic inversions, of which the Cf-Inv(4.1) inversion displays a latitudinal cline of frequencies along the North American Atlantic Coast, suggesting a putative role in adaptation along the eco-climatic gradient. To investigate this hypothesis, we designed a molecular marker for karyotyping and studied natural and experimental populations from North America and Europe. We confirmed that this inversion is also polymorphic in Europe, and displays parallel latitudinal clines across continents, providing strong indirect support that Cf-Inv(4.1) is under natural selection along similar environmental gradients. We found that Cf-Inv(4.1) had a significant impact on egg-to-adult survival and fecundity under different thermal conditions. However, no effect on cold tolerance could be determined using supercooling point and chill coma recovery time. We speculate that fitness associated with Cf-Inv(4.1) is shaped by subtle life-history differences whose relative advantage depends on climate. While our experimental approaches provided insights into genotype-phenotype associations, it is worth noting that selection acts on the overall fitness, involving complex sets of traits. This is especially relevant for inversions linking hundreds of genes. This multi-gene property also explains why inversions are frequently involved in repeated parallel adaptation to environmental gradients, as demonstrated here in the seaweed fly.

evolutionary biology↗

Traits related to pollination and mating result in diverse reproductive strategies in angiosperms

O_LIFlowering plants have many modes of sexual reproduction, notably varying from selfing to outcrossing, and from bisexual flowers to individuals with separate sexes (dioecy). These reproductive modes are associated with floral and life-history traits that have evolved together, making it difficult to interpret correlations between traits. C_LIO_LIWe analysed variation in 21 traits related to flowers, pollination, mating, sexual systems and life history from 361 species representative of flowering plant diversity. C_LIO_LIOutcrossing was mainly found among long-lived, large-stature plants, but hermaphroditic outcrossers and dioecious species appeared as largely non-overlapping strategies in the trait space. Level of floral investment was the main difference between these strategies, with dioecious species having generally smaller, less rewarding flowers, a pattern that also occurred in biotically pollinated species. C_LIO_LIThis multi-trait study shows that pollination can be achieved in many, often contrasting, ways. Despite extensive variation in reproductive traits, dioecy stands out as being linked to floral traits primarily, while correlations with lifespan and dispersal traits appear spurious. We provide a conceptual framework based on lifespan, floral investment, and sexual separation that can be used to integrate pollination, reproduction and plant growth in future research on plant evolution and ecology. C_LI

evolutionary biology↗

Ubiquitous recombination gradients within plant genic regions shaped by recombination hotspots

During the meiosis of many eukaryote species, crossovers tend to occur within narrow regions called recombination hotspots. In plants, it is generally thought that gene regulatory sequences, especially promoters and 5-3 untranslated regions, are enriched in hotspots, but this has been characterized in a handful of species only. We also lack a clear description of fine-scale variation in recombination rates within genic regions and little is known about hotspot position and intensity in plants. To address this question we constructed fine-scale recombination maps from genetic polymorphism data and inferred recombination hotspots in eleven plant species. We detected gradients of recombination both in 5 and 3 of genic regions in most species, yet gradients varied in intensity and shape depending on specific hotspot locations and gene structure. To further characterize recombination gradients, we decomposed them according to gene structure by rank and number of exons. We generalized the previously observed pattern that recombination hotspots are organized around the boundaries of coding sequences, especially 5 promoters. However, our results also provided new insight into the relative importance of the 3 end of genes in some species and the possible location of hotspots away from genic regions in some species. Variation among species seemed driven more by hotspot location among and within genes than by differences in size or intensity among species. Our results shed light on the variation in recombination rates at a very fine scale, more detailed than whole genome averaged estimates used so far, revealing the diversity and complexity of genic recombination gradients emerging from the interaction between hotspot location and gene structure.

genomics↗

RIDGE, a tool tailored to detect gene flow barriers across species pairs

Characterizing the processes underlying reproductive isolation between diverging lineages is central to understanding speciation. Here, we present RIDGE - Reproductive Isolation Detection using Genomic polymorphisms - a tool tailored for quantifying gene flow barrier proportions and identifying the corresponding genomic regions. RIDGE relies on an Approximate Bayesian Computation with a model-averaging approach to accommodate diverse scenarios of lineage divergence. It captures heterogeneity in effective migration rate along the genome while accounting for variation in linked selection and recombination. The barrier detection test relies on numerous summary statistics to compute a Bayes factor, offering a robust statistical framework that facilitates cross-species comparisons. Simulations revealed that RIDGE is particularly efficient both at capturing signals of ongoing migration and at identifying barrier loci, including for recent divergence times (~0.1 2Ne generations). Applying RIDGE to four published crow datasets, we validated our tool by identifying a well-known large genomic region associated with mate choice patterns. We identified additional barrier loci between species pairs, which have shown, on the one hand, that depending on the biological, demographic, and selection contexts, different combinations of summary statistics are informative for the detection of signals. On the other hand, these analyses also highlight the value of our newly developed outlier statistics in challenging detection conditions.

evolutionary biology↗

Separating phases of allopolyploid evolution with resynthesized and natural Capsella bursa-pastoris

Allopolyploidization is a frequent evolutionary transition in plants that combines whole-genome duplication (WGD) and interspecific hybridization. The genome of an allopolyploid species results from initial interactions between parental genomes and long-term evolution. Telling apart the contributions of these two phases is essential to understanding the evolutionary trajectory of allopolyploid species. Here, we compared phenotypic and transcriptomic changes in natural and resynthesized Capsella allotetraploids with their diploid parental species. We focused on phenotypic traits associated with the selfing syndrome and on transcription-level phenomena such as expression level dominance, transgressive expression, and homoeolog expression bias. We found that selfing syndrome, high pollen and seed quality in natural allotetraploids likely resulted from long-term evolution. Similarly, transgressive expression and most down-regulated expression-level dominance were only found in natural allopolyploids. Natural allotetraploids also had more expression-level dominance toward the self-fertilizing parental species than resynthesized allotetraploids, mirroring the establishment of the selfing syndrome. However, short-term changes mattered, and 40% of the cases of expression-level dominance in natural allotetraploids were already observed in resynthesized allotetraploids. Resynthesized allotetraploids showed striking variation of homoeolog expression bias among chromosomes and individuals. Homoeologous synapsis was its primary source and may still be a source of genetic variation in natural allotetraploids. In conclusion, both short- and long-term mechanisms contributed to transcriptomic and phenotypic changes in natural allotetraploids. However, the initial gene expression changes were largely reshaped during long-term evolution leading to further morphological changes.

genetics↗

Co-segregation of recombinant chromatids maintains genome-wide heterozygosity in an asexual nematode

In asexual animals, female meiosis is modified to produce diploid oocytes. Associated with recombination, this is expected to lead to a rapid loss of heterozygosity, with adverse effects on fitness. Many asexuals, however, have a heterozygous genome, the underlying mechanisms being most often unknown. Cytological and population genomic analyses in the nematode Mesorhabditis belari revealed another case of recombining asexual being highly heterozygous genome-wide. We demonstrated that heterozygosity is maintained because the recombinant chromatids of each chromosome pair co-segregate during the unique meiotic division. A theoretical model confirmed that this segregation bias is necessary to account for the observed pattern and likely to evolve under a wide range of conditions. Our study uncovers a new type of cell division involving Directed Chromatid Assortment. One sentence summaryGenome wide heterozygosity in the asexual nematode Mesorhabditis belari is achieved by directed assortment of recombinant chromatids during female meiosis

evolutionary biology↗

Mating systems and recombination landscape strongly shape genetic diversity and selection in wheat relatives

How and why genetic diversity varies among species is a long-standing question in evolutionary biology. Life history traits have been shown to explain a large part of observed diversity. Among them, mating systems have one of the strongest impacts on genetic diversity, with selfing species usually exhibiting much lower diversity than outcrossing relatives. Theory predicts that a high rate of selfing amplifies selection at linked sites, reducing genetic diversity genome wide, but frequent bottlenecks and rapid population turn-over could also explain low genetic diversity in selfers. However, how linked selection varies with mating systems and whether it is sufficient to explain the observed difference between selfers and outcrossers has never been tested. Here, we used the Aegilops/Triticum grass species, a group characterized by contrasted mating systems (from obligate out-crossing to high selfing) and marked recombination rate variation across the genome, to quantify the effects of mating system and linked selection on patterns of neutral and selected polymorphism. By analyzing phenotypic and transcriptomic data of 13 species, we show that selfing strongly affects genetic diversity and the efficacy of selection by amplifying the intensity of linked selection genome wide. In particular, signatures of adaptation were only found in the highly recombining regions in outcrossing species. These results bear implications for the evolution of mating systems and more generally for our understanding of the fundamental drivers of genetic diversity.

evolutionary biology↗

Polygenic selection to a changing optimum under self-fertilisation

Many traits are polygenic, affected by multiple genetic variants throughout the genome. Selection acting on these traits involves co-ordinated allele- frequency changes at these underlying variants, and this process has been extensively studied in random-mating populations. Yet many species self- fertilise to some degree, which incurs changes to genetic diversity, recombination and genome segregation. These factors cumulatively influence how polygenic selection is realised in nature. Here, we use analytical modelling and stochastic simulations to investigate to what extent self-fertilisation affects polygenic adaptation to a new environment. Our analytical solutions show that while selfing can increase adaptation to an optimum, it incurs linkage disequilibrium that can slow down the initial spread of favoured mutations due to selection interference, and favours the fixation of alleles with opposing trait effects. Simulations show that while selection interference is present, high levels of selfing (at least 90%) aids adaptation to a new optimum, showing a higher long-term fitness. If mutations are pleiotropic then only a few major-effect variants fix along with many neutral hitch-hikers, with a transient increase in linkage disequilibrium. These results show potential advantages to self-fertilisation when adapting to a new environment, and how the mating system affects the genetic composition of polygenic selection. Author SummaryMany biological traits of scientific interest are polygenic, which are influenced by multiple genetic variants present throughout the genome. Emerging whole-genome data from several species is shedding light on how such traits respond to selection, traditionally through co-ordinated changes in variant frequencies. However, many species in nature reproduce via self-fertilisation, where hermaphrodite individuals produce both male and female gametes that can be used to propagate without mates. This reproductive mode can reduce population-level diversity and the reassorting effects of recombination, which affects how polygenic traits respond to selection. In this paper, we theoretically explore how polygenic selection is realised under self-fertilisation, following a shift in the environment. We first show analytically how the mating-system affects the dynamics of polygenic selection, showing that there are two competing effects. First, it can expose mutations to selection more quickly, strengthening adaptation to a changing environment. Conversely, it can reduce the efficacy of selection through weakening the efficacy of recombination. We then use multi-locus stochastic simulations to investigate outcomes under more realistic scenarios, and find that high selfing can lead to higher fitness in the long-term, in contrast to classic expectations. We also investigate how many traits each variant influences, a property known as pleiotropy. If pleiotropy is absent we see that under very high levels of self-fertilisation, populations fix mutations with opposite effects on a trait. If pleiotropy is present then we instead see only a few major-effect genetic variants fixing in the population, alongside many neutral mutations. These findings provide insights into how natural populations adapt to changing environments.

evolutionary biology↗

Inference of evolutionary transitions to self-fertilization using whole-genome sequences

The evolution from outcrossing to selfing is a transition that occurred recurrently throughout the eukaryote tree of life, in plants, animals, fungi and algae. Despite some short-term advantages, selfing is supposed to be an evolutionary dead-end reproductive strategy on the long-term and its tippy distribution on phylogenies suggests that most selfing species are of recent origin. However, dating such transitions is challenging while it is central for this hypothesis. We develop two methods making use of full genome polymorphism data to 1) test if a transition from outcrossing to selfing occurred, and 2) infer its age. The sequentially Markov coalescent based (teSMC) and the Approximate Bayesian Computation (tsABC) methods use a common framework based on a transition matrix summarizing the distribution of times to the most recent common ancestor along the genome, allowing to estimate changes in the ratio of population recombination and mutation rates in time. We first demonstrate that our methods can disentangle between past change in selfing rate from past changes in demographic history. Second, we assess the accuracy of our methods and show that transitions to selfing as old as approximatively 2.5Ne generations can be identified from polymorphism data. Third, our estimates are robust to the presence of linked negative selection on coding sequences. Finally, as a proof of principle, we apply both methods to three populations from Arabidopsis thaliana, recovering a transition to selfing which occurred approximately 600,000 years ago. Our methods pave the way to study recent transitions to predominant self-fertilization in selfing organisms. Significance statementSelf-fertilization evolved recurrently from outcrossing in many groups of organisms. When, why, and at what pace such transitions occurred are central to understand the evolution of reproductive systems but dating them remains highly challenging. While experimental work can be conducted in ecological set-ups, it is difficult to reconstruct and empirically test the past ecological conditions which could have driven transitions from outcrossing to self-fertilizing reproduction. We suggest here to use full genome data of several individuals per population to estimate if and when a transition in reproductive strategy occurred. We develop two methods which can be applied to estimate the age of such transitions jointly with the species demographic history.

evolutionary biology↗

Mating system and speciation I: accumulation of genetic incompatibilities in allopatry

Self-fertilisation is widespread among hermaphroditic species across the tree of life. Selfing has many consequences on the genetic diversity and the evolutionary dynamics of populations, which may in turn affect macroevolutionary processes such as speciation. On the one hand, because selfing increases genetic drift and reduces migration rate among populations, selfing may be expected to promote speciation. On the other hand, because selfing reduces the efficacy of selection, selfing may be expected to hamper ecological speciation. To better understand under which conditions and in which direction selfing affects the build-up of reproductive isolation, an explicit population genetics model is required. Here, we focus on the interplay between genetic drift, selection and genetic linkage by studying speciation without gene flow. We test how fast populations with different rates of selfing accumulate mutations leading to genetic incompatibilities. When speciation requires the population to pass through a fitness valley caused by underdominant and compensatory mutations, selfing reduces the depth and/or breadth of the valley, and thus overall facilitates the fixation of incompatibilities. When speciation does not require the population to pass through a fitness valley, as for Bateson-Dobzhanzky-Muller incompatibilities (BDMi), the lower effective population size and higher genetic linkage in selfing populations facilitates the fixation of incompatibilities. Interestingly, and contrary to intuitive expectations, local selection does not always accelerate the build-up of reproductive isolation in outcrossing relative to selfing populations. Our work helps to clarify how selfing lineages may speciate and diversify over time, and emphasizes the need to account for interactions among segregating mutations within populations to better understand macroevolutionary dynamics. Author summaryHermaphroditic organisms may use their male gametes to fertilise their own female gametes, and species vary greatly in how much they self-fertilise. Self-fertilisation induces many genetic modifications in the population, which may ultimately affect the rates at which lineages diversify. Here we aim to build predictions on how self-fertilisation affects the rate at which reproductive isolation arises between geographically isolated populations. Specifically, we develop theoretical models in which populations varying in their rates of self-fertilisation may fixate mutations leading to reproductive isolation. We first explored scenarios in which reproductive isolation is made by mutations whose fixations necessitate the population to experience temporally deleterious effects (i.e., a fitness valley), and found that self-fertilisation reduces the breadth and depth of the fitness valley and thereby overall facilitates the accumulation of such mutations. Second, we explored scenarios in which genetic incompatibilities are caused by interactions between derived alleles of different genes (i.e., BDMi). By allowing the BDMi to occur within populations, we found that self-fertilisation reduces the manifestation of BDMi within population, and thereby facilitates their fixation. This effect prevails even in the face of local adaptation. Thus, our study clarifies how fast species are expected to arise in self-fertilisation lineages.

evolutionary biology↗

Trait-dependent diversification in angiosperms: patterns, models and data

Variation in species richness across the tree of life, accompanied by the incredible variety of ecological and morphological characteristics found in nature, has inspired many studies to link traits with species diversification. Angiosperms are a highly diverse group that has fundamentally shaped life on earth since the Cretaceous, and illustrate how species diversification affects ecosystem functioning. Numerous traits and processes have been linked to differences in species richness within this group, but we know little about how these interact and their relative importance. Here, we synthesized data from 152 studies that used state-dependent speciation and extinction (SSE) models on angiosperm clades. Intrinsic traits related to reproduction and morphology were often linked to diversification but a set of universal drivers did not emerge as traits did not have consistent effects across clades. Importantly, dataset properties were correlated to SSE model results - trees that were larger, older, or less well-sampled tended to yield trait-dependent outcomes. We compared these properties to recommendations for SSE model use and provide a set of best practices to follow when designing studies and reporting results. Finally, we argue that SSE model inferences should be considered in a larger context incorporating species ecology, demography and genetics.

evolutionary biology↗

Asexual male production by ZW recombination in Artemia parthenogenetica

In some asexual species, parthenogenetic females occasionally produce males, which may strongly affect the evolution and maintenance of asexuality if they cross with related sexuals and transmit genes causing asexuality to their offspring ("contagious parthenogenesis"). How these males arise in the first place has remained enigmatic, especially in species with sex chromosomes. Here, we test the hypothesis that rare, asexually produced males of the crustacean Artemia parthenogenetica are produced by recombination between the Z and W sex chromosomes during non-clonal parthenogenesis, resulting in ZZ males through loss of heterozygosity at the sex determination locus. We used RAD-sequencing to compare asexual mothers with their male and female offspring. Markers on several sex-chromosome scaffolds indeed lost heterozygosity in all male but no female offspring, suggesting that they correspond to the sex-determining region. Other sex-chromosome scaffolds lost heterozygosity in only a part of the male offspring, consistent with recombination occurring at a variable location. Alternative hypotheses for the production of these males (such as partial or total hemizygosity of the Z) could be excluded. Rare males are thus produced because recombination is not entirely suppressed during parthenogenesis in A. parthenogenetica. This finding may contribute to explaining the maintenance of recombination in these asexuals.

evolutionary biology↗

Diversity and determinants of recombination landscapes in flowering plants

During meiosis, crossover rates are not randomly distributed along the chromosome and therefore they locally influence the creation of novel genotypes and the efficacy of selection. To date, the broad diversity of recombination landscapes among plants has rarely been investigated, undermining the overall understanding of the constraints driving the evolution of crossover frequency and distribution. The determinants that shape the local crossover rate and the diversity of the resulting landscapes among species and chromosomes still need to be assessed in a formal comparative genomic approach. We gathered genetic maps and genomes for 57 flowering plant species, corresponding to 665 chromosomes, for which we estimated large-scale recombination landscapes. Chromosome length drives the basal recombination rate for each species, but within species we were intrigued to notice that the chromosome-wide recombination rate is proportional to the relative size of the chromosome. Moreover, for larger chromosomes, crossovers tend to accumulate at the ends of the chromosome leaving the central regions as recombination-free regions. Based on identified crossover patterns and testable predictions, we proposed a conceptual model explaining the broad-scale distribution of crossovers where both telomeres and centromeres are important. Finally, we qualitatively identified two recurrent crossover patterns among species and highlighted that these patterns globally correspond to the underlying gene distribution. In addition to the positive correlation between recombination and gene density, we argue that crossover patterns are essential for the efficiency of chromosomal genetic shuffling, even though the ultimate evolutionary potential forged by the diversity of recombination landscapes remains an open question.

evolutionary biology↗

Establishment of locally advantageous allele and local adaptation in partly self-fertilizing populations

Populations often inhabit multiple ecological patches and thus experience divergent selection, which can lead to local adaptation if migration is not strong enough to swamp locally adapted alleles. Conditions for the establishment of a locally advantageous allele have been studied in randomly mating populations. However, many species reproduce, at least partially, through self-fertilization, and how selfing affects local adaptation remains unclear and debated. Using a two-patch branching process formalism, we obtained a closed-form approximation under weak selection for the probability of establishment of a locally advantageous allele (P) for arbitrary selfing rate and dominance level, where selection is allowed to act on viability or fecundity, and migration can occur via seed or pollen dispersal. This solution is compared to diffusion approximation and used to investigate the consequences of a shift in a mating system on P, and the establishment of protected polymorphism. We find that selfing can either increase or decrease P, depending on the patterns of dominance in the two patches, and has conflicting effects on local adaptation. Globally, selfing favors local adaptation when locally advantageous alleles are (partially) recessive, when selection between patches is asymmetrical and when migration occurs through pollen rather than seed dispersal. These results establish a rigorous theoretical background to study heterogeneous selection and local adaptation in partially selfing species.

evolutionary biology↗

Pulled Diversification Rates, Lineage-Through-Time Plots and Modern Macroevolutionary Modelling

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWEstimating time-dependent rates of speciation and extinction from dated phylogenetic trees of extant species (timetrees), and determining how and why they vary, is key to understanding how ecological and evolutionary processes shape biodiversity. Due to an increasing availability of phylogenetic trees, a growing number of process-based methods relying on the birth-death model have been developed in the last decade to address a variety of questions in macroevolution. However, this methodological progress has regularly been criticised such that one may wonder how reliable the estimations of speciation and extinction rates are. In particular, using lineages-through-time (LTT) plots, a recent study (Louca and Pennell, 2020) has shown that there are an infinite number of equally likely diversification scenarios that can generate any timetree. This has lead to questioning whether or not diversification rates should be estimated at all. Here we summarize, clarify, and highlight technical considerations on recent findings regarding the capacity of models to disentangle diversification histories. Using simulations we demonstrate the characteristics of newly-proposed "pulled rates" and their utility. We recognize that the recent findings are a step forward in understanding the behavior of macroevolutionary modelling, but they in no way suggest we should abandon diversification modelling altogether. On the contrary, the study of macroevolution using phylogenetic trees has never been more exciting and promising than today. We still face important limitations in regard to data availability and methodological shortcomings, but by acknowledging them we can better target our joint efforts as a scientific community.

evolutionary biology↗