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Biology subjects

Angulo, M. T.

Publications and source records attributed to Angulo, M. T..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Mapping the ecological networks of microbial communities from steady-state data

Microbes form complex and dynamic ecosystems that play key roles in the health of the animals and plants with which they are associated. Such ecosystems are often represented by a directed, signed and weighted ecological network, where nodes represent microbial taxa and edges represent ecological interactions. Inferring the underlying ecological networks of microbial communities is a necessary step towards understanding their assembly rules and predicting their dynamical response to external stimuli. However, current methods for inferring such networks require assuming a particular population dynamics model, which is typically not known a priori. Moreover, those methods require fitting longitudinal abundance data, which is not readily available, and often does not contain the variation that is necessary for reliable inference. To overcome these limitations, here we develop a new method to map the ecological networks of microbial communities using steady-state data. Our method can qualitatively infer the inter-taxa interaction types or signs (positive, negative or neutral) without assuming any particular population dynamics model. Additionally, when the population dynamics is assumed to follow the classic Generalized Lotka-Volterra model, our method can quantitatively infer the inter-taxa interaction strengths and intrinsic growth rates. We systematically validate our method using simulated data, and then apply it to four experimental datasets of microbial communities. Our method offers a novel framework to infer microbial interactions and reconstruct ecological networks, and represents a key step towards reliable modeling of complex, real-world microbial communities, such as the human gut microbiota.

ecology

Controlling microbial communities: a theoretical framework

Microbes comprise nearly half of all biomass on Earth. Almost every habitat on Earth is teeming with microbes, from hydrothermal vents to the human gastrointestinal tract. Those microbes form complex communities and play critical roles in maintaining the integrity of their environment or the well-being of their hosts. Controlling microbial communities can help us restore natural ecosystems and maintain healthy human microbiota. Yet, our ability to precisely manipulate microbial communities has been fundamentally impeded by the lack of a systematic framework to control them. Here we fill this gap by developing a control framework based on the new notion of structural accessibility. This framework allows identifying minimal sets of \"driver species\" through which we can achieve feasible control of the entire microbial community. We numerically validate our control framework on large microbial communities, and then we demonstrate its application for controlling the gut microbiota of gnotobiotic mice infected with Clostridium difficile and the core microbiota of the sea sponge Ircinia oros.

microbiology

Inferring a qualitative contact rate index of uncertain epidemics

We will inevitably face new epidemic outbreaks where the mechanisms of transmission are still uncertain, making it difficult to obtain quantitative predictions. Thus we present a novel algorithm that qualitatively predicts the start, relative magnitude and decline of uncertain epidemic outbreaks, requiring to know only a few of its \\macroscopic\" parameters. The algorithm is based on estimating exactly the time-varying contact rate of a canonical but time-varying Susceptible-Infected-Recovered epidemic model parametrized to the particular outbreak. The algorithm can also be extended to other canonical epidemic models. Even if dynamics of the outbreak deviates significantly from the underlying epidemic model, we show the predictions of the algorithm remain robust. We validated our algorithm using real time-series data of measles, dengue and the current zika outbreak, comparing its performance to existing algorithms that also use a few macroscopic parameters (e.g., those estimating reproductive numbers) and to those using a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of the epidemic outbreak. We show our algorithm can outperform existing algorithms using a few macroscopic parameters, providing an informative qualitative evaluation of the outbreak.

epidemiology