SEARCH · bioRxiv Science

Results for “Ecology”

Search indexed bioRxiv preprints in genomics, neuroscience, cell biology and bioinformatics. Read source abstracts and check manuscript versions; preprints are not peer reviewed.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,459 records · Page 81Linked to original sources

bioRxiv2019

Substantial near-infrared radiation-driven photosynthesis of chlorophyll f-containing cyanobacteria in a natural habitat

Far-red absorbing chlorophylls are constitutively present as Chl d in the cyanobacterium Acaryochloris marina, or dynamically expressed by synthesis of Chl f and red-shifted phycobilins via far-red light photoacclimation in a range of cyanobacteria, which enables them to use near-infrared-radiation (NIR) for oxygenic photosynthesis. While the biochemistry and molecular physiology of Chl f-containing cyanobacteria has been unraveled in culture studies, their ecological significance remains unexplored and no data on their in situ activity exist. With a novel combination of hyperspectral imaging, confocal laser scanning microscopy, and nanoparticle-based O2 imaging, we demonstrate substantial NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis by endolithic, Chl f-containing cyanobacteria within natural beachrock biofilms that are widespread on (sub)tropical coastlines. This indicates an important role of NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis in primary production of endolithic and other shaded habitats.\n\nImpact statementCyanobacteria with chlorophyll f show substantial near-infrared radiation-driven photosynthesis in intertidal habitats.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

The challenges of estimating the distribution of flight heights from telemetry or altimetry data

BackgroundGlobal positioning systems (GPS) and altimeters are increasingly used to monitor vertical space use by aerial species, a key aspect of their niche that we need to know to understand their ecology and conservation needs, and to manage our own use of the airspace. However, there are various sources of error in flight height data (\"height\" above ground, as opposed to \"altitude\" above a reference like the sea level): vertical error from the devices themselves, error in the ground elevation below the tracked animals, and error in the horizontal position of the animals and thus the predicted ground elevation below them.\n\nMethodsWe used controlled field trials, simulations, and the reanalysis of raptor case studies with state-space models to illustrate the effect of improper error management.\n\nResultsErrors of a magnitude of 20 meters appear in benign conditions (expected to be larger in more challenging context). These errors distort the shape of the distribution of flight heights, inflate the variance in flight height, bias behavioural state assignments, correlations with environmental covariates, and airspace management recommendations. Improper data filters such as removing all negative recorded flight height records introduce several biases in the remaining dataset, and preclude the opportunity to leverage unambiguous errors to help with model fitting. Analyses that ignore the variance around the mean flight height, e.g., those based on linear models of flight height, and those that ignore the variance inflation caused by telemetry errors, lead to incorrect inferences.\n\nConclusionThe state-space modelling framework, now in widespread use by ecologists and increasingly often automatically implemented within on-board GPS data processing algorithms, makes it possible to fit flight models directly to raw flight height records, with minimal data pre-selection, and to analyse the full distribution of flight heights, not just the mean. In addition to basic research about aerial niches, behaviour quantification, and environmental interactions, we highlight the applied relevance of our recommendations for airspace management and the conservation of aerial wildlife.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Assessing the potential of plains zebra to maintain African horse sickness in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

African horse sickness (AHS) is a disease of equids that results in a non-tariff barrier to the trade of live equids from affected countries. AHS is endemic in South Africa except for a controlled area in the Western Cape Province (WCP) where sporadic outbreaks have occurred in the past 2 decades. There is potential that the presence of zebra populations, thought to be the natural reservoir hosts for AHS, in the WCP could maintain AHS virus circulation in the area and act as a year-round source of infection for horses. However, it remains unclear whether the epidemiology or the ecological conditions present in the WCP would enable persistent circulation of AHS in the local zebra populations.\n\nHere we developed a hybrid deterministic-stochastic vector-host compartmental model of AHS transmission in plains zebra (Equus quagga), where host populations are age- and sex-structured and for which population and AHS transmission dynamics are modulated by rainfall and temperature conditions. Using this model, we showed that populations of plains zebra present in the WCP are not sufficiently large for AHS introduction events to become endemic and that coastal populations of zebra need to be >2500 individuals for AHS to persist >2 years, even if zebras are infectious for more than 50 days. AHS cannot become endemic in the coastal population of the WCP unless the zebra population involves at least 50,000 individuals. Finally, inland populations of plains zebra in the WCP may represent a risk for AHS to persist but would require populations of at least 500 zebras or show unrealistic duration of infectiousness for AHS introduction events to become endemic.\n\nOur results provide evidence that the risk of AHS persistence from a single introduction event in a given plains zebra population in the WCP is extremely low and it is unlikely to represent a long-term source of infection for local horses.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Population-level sensitivity to landscape variables reflects individual-based habitat selection in a woodland bat species

Understanding the relationship between habitat quality and population dynamics is fundamental for long-term management and range predictions in ecology. However, habitat quality is generally only investigated at the individual scale, as it is the case for the lesser horseshoe bat (Rhinolophus hipposideros), a species of conservation concern. Using a statistical modelling approach and census data of 94 lesser horseshoe bat colonies located in Brittany (France), we analysed the effect of landscape composition and configuration on the demographic components of surveyed maternity colonies (i.e. colony size, fecundity and growth rate), and compared our result to those provided by individual-based studies. Our results validated that the landscape in a 500-meter buffer around colonies (core foraging area) is crucial for population size and dynamics, and confirmed the positive influence of broadleaved woodland proportion on bat colony size. We revealed a positive effect of lakeshores and riverbanks on colony size and growth rate, underlying the importance of these habitats for the long-term conservation of this non-migratory forest species. Importantly, our results refine previous knowledge concerning the threat posed by the intensification of human activities (e.g. urbanization, agriculture, habitat fragmentation), and highlight the negative effect of large and regular patches of artificial and crop lands and of open land patches shape complexity on all demographic variables investigated. While our results support the dependence of population dynamics and associated conservation management to individual behaviour and sensitivity, environmental responses differed between the population metrics investigated, showing that efficient range prediction will require to fully grasp the complexity of the interaction between landscape and the different population dynamic parameters.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

A test of the socioecological model in female Asian elephants: the effects of food abundance, food distribution, and competitor density on within-clan and between-clan contests

O_LISocioecological theory attributes variation in social organization of female-bonded species to differences in within- and between-group competition, shaped by food distribution. Strong between-group contests are expected over large, monopolisable resources, and are not generally expected in species that feed on low quality resources distributed across large, undefended home ranges. Within groups, frequent contests are expected over discrete feeding sites but not over low-quality, dispersed resources. C_LIO_LIWe report on the first tests of socioecological theory, largely unexplored in non-primate species, in female Asian elephants. Asian elephants show graminivory, overlapping home ranges, and high fission-fusion dynamics, traits that are thought to be associated with infrequent contests. C_LIO_LIWe studied agonistic interactions within and between female elephant clans with respect to food distribution, food abundance, and competitor density effects of group size and clan density, in a grassland habitat around the Kabini backwaters, southern India. C_LIO_LIWe found that the Kabini grassland had three times the grass biomass as adjacent forests, and between-clan encounters were considerably higher than that known from a neighbouring forest. Individual-level agonism was also more frequent between clans than within clans. Thus, the food-rich habitat patch probably enabled strong between-clan contest competition under graminivory. Moreover, the rate of between-clan encounters increased when more clans were present, and the duration of encounters was positively related to grass biomass at the contested sites. Despite fission-fusion dynamics, within-clan agonism was also somewhat frequent, but not influenced by food distribution, in contradiction to classic socioecological predictions, possibly because of intensified competition due to high density. Interestingly, within-clan agonism increased with female group size until intermediate group sizes, suggesting that the tension between within-group and between-group competition might govern group size, since larger groups are advantageous in this strong between-clan contest regime. C_LIO_LIOur findings refine the current understanding of female elephant socioecology. Despite predominant graminivory and fission-fusion dynamics, within-group agonism can be frequent, especially when large groups face ecological constraints at high density. Further, frequent between-group contests may arise despite graminivory and non-territoriality when food becomes patchy and density is high. These changes may be effected by anthropogenic alteration of habitats. C_LI

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

A framework for quantifying deviations from dynamic equilibrium theory

Community assembly is governed by colonization and extinction processes, and the simplest model describing it is Dynamic Equilibrium (DE) theory, which assumes that communities are shaped solely by stochastic colonization and extinction events. Despite its potential to serve as a null model for community dynamics, there is currently no accepted methodology for measuring deviations from the theory and testing it. Here we propose a novel and easily applicable methodology for quantifying deviations from the predictions and assumptions of DE by comparing observed community time-series to a randomization-based null model. We show that this methodology has good statistical properties on simulated data, and it can detect deviations from both the assumptions and predictions of DE in the classical Florida Keys experiment. We discuss alternative methods and present guidelines for practical use of the methodology, hoping it will enhance the applicability of DE as a reference for studying changes in ecological communities.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Using a residency index to estimate the economic value of saltmarsh provisioning services for commercially important fish species

Every year, 100 hectares of saltmarsh in the United Kingdom are lost due to sea level rise. The remaining areas are threatened by land conversion, agricultural activities, and climate change. There are important economic consequences to saltmarsh loss, as saltmarsh provides valuable ecosystem services including flood protection, carbon sequestration, and nursery habitat for commercially fished species. Quantifying the economic value of these ecosystem services can help target policies for saltmarsh restoration, or managed realignment, of new saltmarsh areas. In this study, we quantify the economic value of saltmarsh as a habitat for commercially fished species by developing a residency index. The residency index weights the relative importance of saltmarsh along a species lifecycle by explicitly incorporating the target species life histories and the estimated proportion of time it spends in saltmarsh at juvenile and adult life stages. Using this index, we estimate the value of saltmarsh to UK commercial fisheries landings. We find that UK saltmarsh contributes annually between 16.7% and 18.2% of total UK commercial landings for European seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax), European plaice (Pleuronectes platessa), and Common sole (Solea solea). Our findings highlight the importance of saltmarsh protection and restoration. Furthermore, our approach provides a general framework that integrates population ecology methods and economic analyses to assess the value of saltmarsh and other coastal habitats for fisheries worldwide.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Movement and space-use responses of a large herbivore to experimental alteration of resource availability

The link between spatio-temporal resource patterns and movement behaviour is a key ecological process, however, limited experimental support has been produced at the home range scale. In this study, we analysed the spatial responses of a resident large herbivore (roe deer Capreolus capreolus) during an in situ manipulation of a concentrated food resource. Specifically, we experimentally altered feeding site accessibility to roe deer and recorded (for 25 animal-years) individual responses by GPS tracking. We found that, following the loss of their preferred resource, roe deer actively tracked resource dynamics leading to more exploratory movements, and larger, spatially-shifted home ranges. Then, we showed, for the first time experimentally, the importance of site fidelity in the maintenance of large mammal home ranges by demonstrating the return of individuals to their familiar, preferred resource despite the presence of alternate, equally-valuable food resources. This behaviour was modulated at the individual level, where roe deer characterised by a high preference for feeding sites exhibited more pronounced behavioural adjustments during the manipulation. Together, our results establish the connections between movement, space-use, individual preference, and the spatio-temporal pattern of resources in home ranging behaviour.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Novel Universal Primers For Metabarcoding eDNA Surveys Of Marine Mammals And Other Marine Vertebrates

Metabarcoding studies using environmental DNA (eDNA) and high throughput sequencing (HTS) are rapidly becoming an important tool for assessing and monitoring marine biodiversity, detecting invasive species, and supporting basic ecological research. Several barcode loci targeting teleost fish and elasmobranchs have previously been developed, but to date primer sets focusing on other marine megafauna, such as marine mammals have received less attention. Similarly, there have been few attempts to identify potentially universal barcode loci which may be informative across multiple marine vertebrate Orders. Here we describe the design and validation of four new sets of primers targeting hypervariable regions of the vertebrate mitochondrial 12S and 16S rRNA genes, which have conserved priming sites across virtually all cetaceans, pinnipeds, elasmobranchs, boney fish, sea turtles and birds, and amplify fragments with consistently high levels of taxonomically diagnostic sequence variation. In silico validation using the OBITOOLS software showed our new barcode loci outperformed most existing vertebrate barcode loci for taxon detection and resolution. We also evaluated sequence diversity and taxonomic resolution of the new barcode loci in 680 complete marine mammal mitochondrial genomes demonstrating that they are effective at resolving amplicons for most taxa to the species level. Finally, we evaluated the performance of the primer sets with eDNA samples from aquarium communities with known species composition. These new primers will potentially allow surveys of complete marine vertebrate communities in single HTS metabarcoding assessments, simplifying workflows, reducing costs, and increasing accessibility to a wider range of investigators.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Mean growth rate when rare is not a reliable metric for persistence of species

The coexistence of many species within ecological communities poses a long-standing theoretical puzzle. Modern coexistence theory (MCT) and related techniques explore this phenomenon by examining the chance of a species population growing from rarity in the presence of all other species. The mean growth rate when rare, [E][r], is used in MCT as a metric that measures persistence properties (like invasibility or time to extinction) of a population. Here we critique this reliance on [E][r] and show that it fails to capture the effect of random abundance variations on persistence properties. The problem becomes particularly severe when an increase in the amplitude of stochastic temporal environmental variations leads to an increase in [E][r], since at the same time it enhances random abundance fluctuations and the two effects are inherently intertwined. In this case, the chance of invasion and the mean extinction time of a population may even go down as [E][r] increases.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

A simple pyrocosm for studying soil microbial response to fire reveals a rapid, massive response by Pyronema species

We have designed a simple, inexpensive system for the studying the response of soil microbes to fire. This system allows one to create post-fire environments in soil in reproducible and realistic ways. Using it we show that the peak soil temperature achieved at a given depth occurs hours after the fire is out, lingers near peak temperature for a significant time, and is accurately predicted by the log of soil depth and the mass charcoal burned. Flash fuels that left no large coals were found to have a negligible soil heating effect. Coupling this system with Illumina MiSeq sequencing of the control and post-fire soil we show that we can stimulate a rapid, massive response by Pyronema, a well-known genus of postfire fungus, from uninoculated forest soil within two weeks of a test fire. This specific stimulation occurs in a background of many other fungal taxa that do not change significantly with the fire, although there is an overall reduction in richness and evenness. Extrapolating from the physical relationships we predict soil heating effects in wild fires are likely to be very patchy across the forest floor but the width of a survivable \"goldilocks zone\" will stay relatively constant across a range of fuel loads. We further predict that a necromass zone above it, which represents an open niche for pyrophilous microbes, increases in size rapidly with addition of fuel, and then remains nearly constant over a broad range of fuel loads. The simplicity of this experimental system, coupled with the availability of a set of sequenced, assembled and annotated genomes of pyrophilous fungi, offers a powerful tool for dissecting the ecology of post-fire microbial communities.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Is the distribution of the Acorn Woodpecker (Melanerpes formicivorus flavigula) associated with oaks and granaries? A local study in an urban area in northern South America

Abiotic and biotic factors are known to be key in limiting the geographical distribution of species. However, our understanding on the influence of habitat heterogeneity on ecological interactions and behavior in tropical animals is limited. We studied groups of Acorn Woodpeckers (Melanerpes formicivorus flavigula) in urban and rural areas in northern South America to understand how habitat and resource requirements (food storage structures) influences patterns of distribution across the Aburra Valley, in the northern area of the Central Andes of Colombia. Using focal observations of 10 different groups over nearly a two-year period, we estimated territory size, habitat use, and described the use and presence of granaries. We found that territory size, tree diversity, and the use of granaries varied among groups. Accordingly, Acorn Woodpeckers use a wide variety of tree species to make cavities, to feed and to build granaries for social interactions. Our study supports the hypothesis that Acorn Woodpeckers do not rely on the Colombian Oak (Quercus humboldtii Bonpl.) for feeding, nesting or foraging in the Aburra Valley, and that the construction of granaries to store food is present in urban populations, despite the lack of strong seasonal changes in tropical areas. We suggest that the distribution of the Acorn Woodpecker in our study area is strongly associated with one particular species of tree, Albizia carbonaria Britton, and the behavior of granaries construction might be hardwired in this species for the maintenance and cohesion of family groups.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Intra-Specific variability in fluctuating environments - mechanisms of impact on species diversity

Recent studies have found considerable trait variations within species. The effect of such intra-specific trait variability (ITV) on the stability, coexistence and diversity of ecological communities received considerable attention and in many models it was shown to impede coexistence and decrease species diversity. Here we present a numerical study of the effect of genetically inherited ITV on species persistence and diversity in a temporally fluctuating environment. Two mechanisms are identified. First, ITV buffers populations against varying environmental conditions (portfolio effect) and reduces abundance variations. Second, the interplay between ITV and environmental variations tends to increase the mean fitness of diverse populations. The first mechanism promotes persistence and tends to increase species richness, while the second reduces the chance of a rare species population (which is usually homogenous) to invade and decreases species richness. We show that for large communities the portfolio effect is dominant, leading to ITV promoting species persistence and richness.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Beyond Single-Metric Assessments: Uncovering Masked Butterfly Declines via Multi-Scalar Analysis in Central Alberta

1. This study analyzed 21 years (2000-2025) of butterfly count data from Central Alberta, integrated with intensive 5-year (2021-2025) high-resolution intra-seasonal sampling. 2. Long-term macro-scale analysis revealed a significant decline in Shannon Diversity, a change that remained obscured when relying solely on traditional metrics of species richness and evenness. 3. This diversity decline was primarily driven by the severe, long-term collapse of the native Common Ringlet (Coenonympha tullia). 4. Four other dominant species--Cabbage White (Pieris rapae), Clouded Sulphur (Colias eriphyle), European Skipper (Thymelicus lineola), and Common Wood Nymph (Cercyonis pegala)--maintained long-term population stability, though their abundances were significantly constrained by extreme winter minimum temperatures and rapid spring warming. 5. High-resolution intra-seasonal analysis (2021-2025) demonstrated that community indices and species-specific abundances were strongly limited by daily weather, particularly wind velocity and temperature. 6. These findings illustrate that while traditional metrics like richness and evenness are fundamental to community ecology, they provide incomplete insights when applied in isolation; they are most effective when utilized as part of a complementary, multi-scalar framework. 7. This study highlights the necessity of coupling multi-decadal historical datasets with high-frequency, fine-scale sampling to accurately identify the mechanisms of community turnover that simpler metrics may overlook. 8. The results underscore the critical importance of standardized citizen science monitoring in quantifying environmental impacts and establishing conservation priorities for terrestrial insect groups.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

A Computational Re-evaluation of Spatial Trials for Zoonotic Tuberculosis Control: Model Misspecification, Diagnostic Miss-classification, and the Illusion of Wildlife Culling Efficacy

1. Wildlife reservoir management frequently relies on the Randomised Badger Culling Trial's (RBCT) trade-off hypothesis, which posits that reductions in cattle herd infections are offset by a perturbation effect driven by disrupted host dispersal. This paper evaluates the computational and epidemiological robustness of this historical trial, which serves as the foundational empirical experiment guiding zoonotic tuberculosis (Mycobacterium bovis) control policies. 2. Using generalized linear mixed models with a generalized Poisson error distribution to explicitly address historical data overdispersion, this study contrasts traditional parametric inference against exact cluster-constrained permutation tests across distinct operational definitions of disease incidence. 3. Non-parametric diagnostics reveal that previously reported treatment and perturbation effects render as statistical artifacts under exact non-parametric permutation. Inside culling zones, parametric significance fails to withstand exact permutation verification due to extreme data leverage in localized cluster blocks. 4. Crucially, when diagnostic misclassification biases are eliminated by analysing total reactor datasets, all apparent culling effects disappear, and information criteria overwhelmingly favour nested null architectures. Unconfirmed reactors likely represent true biological infections missed by low-sensitivity post-mortem macro-necropsy, proving that host removal tracks observation noise rather than genuine zoonotic transmission pathways. 5. Finally, empirical scaling conducted in this study identifies a novel mathematical saturation effect, demonstrating that this sub-linear scaling is an operational artifact of unmodelled herd-level disease recurrence over time. 6. Policy implications. Because current zoonotic tuberculosis intervention frameworks are built upon a structurally misspecified statistical model, they have driven large-scale veterinary policies resulting in substantial, unevidenced ecological and economic interventions while failing to provide genuine public health, animal health, or disease control benefits.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Resource supply dynamics control stability and chaos in complex ecosystems

Ecological interactions are often mediated by feedbacks between organisms and their resource environments. Yet, how resource supply dynamics dictate collective dynamical phases of an ecosystem remains unclear. Here, we analyse a generalised consumer--resource model with non-reciprocal interactions to demonstrate that self-renewing versus externally-supplied resources yield fundamentally different dynamical phase diagrams. As interactions become increasingly non-reciprocal, ecosystems relying on self-renewing resources transition from stable dynamics to chaos and ultimately to infeasibility. By contrast, ecosystems with externally-supplied resources remain stable over a broader parameter range and transition to infeasibility without experiencing an intervening chaotic phase. Using the cavity method, we derive a unified stability condition applicable to a broad class of resource supply functions, explaining why externally-supplied resources can expand the stable region. We show that stability hinges crucially on the susceptibility of resources to perturbations, which depends strongly on their supply. Further, we show that external resource supply suppresses chaos in the unstable region by drastically reducing the susceptibility of resources closest to extinction. Our findings demonstrate that resource dynamics fundamentally reshape the accessible dynamical behaviours of an ecosystem, with implications for interpreting microbial community experiments.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Structural characteristics of important daily movement corridors for waterbirds in urban areas: A case study on Black-headed Gulls

Landscape management facilitating animal movement is essential for sustaining urban wildlife populations and ecosystem services. Although linear vegetation corridors effectively conserve terrestrial animal movements, it remains unclear which landscape elements serve as pathways for aquatic organisms. Urban waterbirds frequently utilize rivers, but the specific characteristics that render certain river segments crucial as movement corridors have yet to be elucidated. This study aims to identify the characteristics of river segments functioning as critical corridors based on waterbird movement strategies. We tracked the movement behaviors of the Black-headed Gull (Chroicocephalus ridibundus), a river-dependent species in daily movements, and identified key movement corridors in highly urbanized Tokyo, Japan. Using GPS tracking data from gulls, we evaluated how river sinuosity and surrounding feature heights influenced tendencies to follow rivers across various temporal scales and perceptual ranges. Furthermore, we predicted and mapped these tendencies across individual river segments in central Tokyo. Gulls tended to fly along river segments with tall features during instantaneous to mid-term decision-making. In contrast, they utilized straight channels for long-term decisions. Although results varied slightly depending on the spatial scale they can perceive, this overarching trend remained consistent. Furthermore, our model predicted that the lower reaches of the Sumida River serve as critical movement corridors. This predictive tendency was also highly robust across all time scales. While straightened river segments with high feature heights may provide unsuitable habitats for diverse taxa, we emphasize their ecological value and argue that they should be conserved as essential movement corridors for waterbirds.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Burning down the mouse: Effects of wildfire and post-fire reseeding on Sin Nombre virus prevalence in its reservoir host

Worldwide, physical habitats and biological communities are being reshaped by wildfire. Such changes have obvious potential to alter pathogen ecology, yet few studies, outside of those focused on ectoparasites, have tested the effects of wildfire on pathogen prevalence in wildlife. Even fewer have focused on the impacts of strategies for post-fire remediation on pathogen circulation. Here, we investigated the effect of wildfire and wildfire mitigation on the prevalence and viral load of Sin Nombre virus (SNV) infection in its reservoir host, the western deer mouse, using a study design of matched burned, unburned, and post-burn reseeded sites in northern New Mexico. In total, we screened 411 individual deer mice for SNV via RT-qPCR and analyzed the effect of wildfire and wildfire mitigation on relative mouse abundance, individual infection probability, site-level prevalence and viral load. Relative abundance was highest at reseeded sites, and model selection indicated that habitat structure, particularly the gradient from closed canopy to open-herbaceous habitat, was consistently associated with increased relative abundance. Similarly, SNV prevalence was significantly higher in reseeded sites than either burned or unburned sites but did not differ in burned versus unburned sites. Viral load did not differ between burn history types, and zero-inflated gamma hurdle models did not identify any strong predictors of viral load. Serendipitously, we were also able to investigate the impacts of an El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on patterns of infection in a subsample of sites that were studied during and one year after an ENSO year and found that SNV prevalence increased significantly post-ENSO. Both reseeding and ENSO deliver resource pulses that can support increases in mouse density and thereby enhance SNV transmission. The impacts of post-fire management practices on SNV prevalence in its reservoir host that were revealed in this study should be considered when implementing such strategies and when utilizing treated areas.

ecology↗