Atta Leafcutter Ants are Fine-Scale Bioindicators of Geographic and Seasonal Climate Changes Across the Americas

Mueller, U. G.; Mera-Rodriguez, D.; Kubik, T. D.; Mueller, T. G.; Salgado-Roa, F. C.; Rajhans, S.; Bhalla, R. V.; Babb, M. N.; Easler, R.; Irwin-Leventhal, K.; Di Giacomo, A. G.; Vasquez-Bolanos, M.; Montoya-Lerma, J.; Wirth, R.; Sabattini, J. A.; Rodrigues, A.; Baer, B.; Serna, F.; Vergara-Navarro, E. V.; Rabeling, C.; Phillips, Z. I.; McMahon, C. A. F.; Amador-Vargas, S.; Seal, J. N.; Kellner, K.; Leal, I. R.; Vasconcelos, H. L.; Camargo, R.; Forti, L. C.; Maes, J.-M.; Bueno, O. C.; Bollazzi, M.; Nagamoto, N. S.; Fernandez-Marin, H.; Limachi, M.; Zanetti, R.; Oliveira, F. M. P.; Bacci, M.; B

doi:10.64898/2026.08.05.743096

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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.08.05.743096

Atta Leafcutter Ants are Fine-Scale Bioindicators of Geographic and Seasonal Climate Changes Across the Americas

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Abstract

AimWe develop Atta leafcutter-ants as bioindicators that respond at fine scales to geographic and seasonal climate changes in the Americas, thereby addressing the paucity of versatile insect bioindicator systems capable of monitoring climate in both Southern and Northern Hemispheres. LocationAmerican tropics and sub-tropics from latitudes S33.6{degrees} to N33.2{degrees}, with case studies from Colombia, Mexico, and southern USA. Time Period2012-2024. Taxon StudiedAtta leafcutter-ants. MethodsWe elucidate biogeographic patterns of mating-flight phenology of Atta leafcutter-ants across the entire Atta range from Uruguay/Argentina to the USA, using 2335 records of Atta reproductives from the community database iNaturalist, then ground-truth these patterns by comparison with (i) mating-flight records (n=806) from the Atta literature; and (ii) mating-flight observations (n=836) accumulated by a consortium of experts who have researched Atta for a combined 1000+ work-years. Onset of mating flights can be timed with great precision in Atta populations because mass-mating flights are synchronized and triggered by the first major rainfall of a rainy season. ResultsBiogeographic patterns in climate-dependent mating-flight phenologies recorded at iNaturalist are corroborated by observations accumulated in the literature and by Atta experts. Analyses reveal so-far unknown gradients in mating-flight phenology (e.g., Colombia to USA) that are correlated to geographic climate gradients, and season switches of mating flights from early to late in the year between proximate Atta populations (e.g., 200 kilometers apart), for example in the climatically complex Andean regions of Colombia. Regional differences in Atta mating-flight phenology correspond to temporal differences in rainfall between ecoregions of Colombia. Main ConclusionsAtta ants are tractable insect bioindicators to monitor climate impacts with detailed spatial and temporal resolution across a 9200-kilometer trans-equatorial transect in the Americas. We outline future research directions to explore climate-dependent biology using the continuously growing, and now ground-truthed, information at iNaturalist on Atta mating behavior.

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Mueller, U. G., Mera-Rodriguez, D., Kubik, T. D., Mueller, T. G., Salgado-Roa, F. C., Rajhans, S., Bhalla, R. V., Babb, M. N., Easler, R., Irwin-Leventhal, K., Di Giacomo, A. G., Vasquez-Bolanos, M., Montoya-Lerma, J., Wirth, R., Sabattini, J. A., Rodrigues, A., Baer, B., Serna, F., Vergara-Navarro, E. V., Rabeling, C., Phillips, Z. I., McMahon, C. A. F., Amador-Vargas, S., Seal, J. N., Kellner, K., Leal, I. R., Vasconcelos, H. L., Camargo, R., Forti, L. C., Maes, J.-M., Bueno, O. C., Bollazzi, M., Nagamoto, N. S., Fernandez-Marin, H., Limachi, M., Zanetti, R., Oliveira, F. M. P., Bacci, M., B. 2026-08-06. Atta Leafcutter Ants are Fine-Scale Bioindicators of Geographic and Seasonal Climate Changes Across the Americas. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.08.05.743096

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