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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.06.15.732327

Record-breaking wildfire intensity and nocturnal spread during the extreme 2025 wildfire season in Southwestern Europe: causes and impacts

Abstract

Southwestern Europe faced an extreme wildfire season in 2025, with nearly 700,000 hectares burned in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) alone. Here, we analyze the drivers and impacts of the 2025 wildfire season in the IP and its significance within the ongoing global pyrocrisis. Decades-long declines in burned area, driven by increased fire suppression, ceased after an inflection point in 2022. Fire intensity has escalated over the last two decades, and the energy emitted in 2025 approached that produced annually by a 1,000MW nuclear reactor. Despite a historically wet spring, an extreme summer heatwave triggered a flash drought, dehydrating fuels below critical thresholds. Remarkably, 29-42% of all wildfires spread faster at night than during the day, a seldom-reported phenomenon likely arising from interactions between surface weather, atmospheric instability, and pyroconvective processes. Global change-induced increases in fire intensity facilitated the overwhelming of suppression efforts during simultaneous fire events that may have been manageable decades ago. Fire activity expanded into previously fire-free high-altitude regions, and there was a marked change in fire-size distributions, with the largest wildfire in record and the largest proportion of burned area by megafires (those burning over 5,000ha). Impacts included over 2,000 premature deaths from smoke exposure and significant effects on protected areas. These results indicate shifts in key components of anthropogenic fire regimes, including unprecedented nocturnal fire acceleration and increased burned area and fire intensity, with escalating impacts on human health and ecosystems.

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BibTeXRIS

Resco de Dios, V., Cunill Camprubi, A., Schutze, S., Castedo-Dorado, F., Picos, J., Ramirez, J., Domenech, R., Bachfischer, M., Castellnou, M., Cardil, A.. 2026-06-16. Record-breaking wildfire intensity and nocturnal spread during the extreme 2025 wildfire season in Southwestern Europe: causes and impacts. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.15.732327

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