bioRxiv Science⌕ Search

bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.06.11.731720

Coevolving Mutations in Chronic SARS-CoV-2 Infections

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been marked by two outstanding features that have had major impacts on global public health: the repeated emergence and growth of highly divergent saltation variants with no known close relatives and the development of adverse health effects extending beyond the period of acute infection, called long Covid, in a proportion of the population. Chronic infections in immunocompromised hosts are the most likely explanation for the emergence of saltation variants, and some evidence indicates that viral persistence contributes to long Covid. Knowledge of intrahost evolution during prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection is therefore vital for understanding the global evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and for deciphering the nature of long Covid and promising avenues for treatment. We assembled a collection of over 3000 independent, full-length SARS-CoV-2 sequences deriving from posited or confirmed chronic infections. We describe 14 distinct mutation patterns (MPs) that repeatedly appear in these sequences--each involving mutations in multiple genomic regions--including four CD8 T cell-escape MPs and two MPs that represent adaptation to tissue compartments outside the upper-respiratory tract. The existence of these MPs promises new insights into the life cycle and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and the nature of persistent SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Hisner, R., Gupta, R. K., Martin, D.. 2026-06-25. Coevolving Mutations in Chronic SARS-CoV-2 Infections. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.11.731720

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

RELAX does not reproduce its own estimates at default settings, and its output does not show it

Selection-intensity estimates from RELAX are reported as a point value of K with a likelihood-ratio P. We report that, at default settings and on data of ordinary size, the program does not reproduce its own fits. Of 27 enzyme entries refitted under two optimiser configurations, none reproduced its log-likelihood to within 0.01 units; the median change was 103 units, the largest over 3,400, and four verdicts reversed. Eighty null orthologues reproduced none. A byte-identical command returned a distinct likelihood on every repetition, single-threaded, across three releases, and on alignments simulated under the fitted model, where 3.3 per cent of replicates reproduced. The documented random-number seed never reaches the generator when assigned on the command line, yet reads back as the value supplied. PAML localises the cause: its two-ratio model, without site classes, reproduced its log-likelihood for all 288 genes; its site-class models agreed for 27 to 67 per cent. The instability follows the mixture over sites, not the program. The output does not show it: 46 of 410 fits ended with a negative likelihood-ratio statistic, impossible under convergence, and 123 of 410 report a K re-estimated under a domain restriction rather than the unconstrained maximum. Of 234 published studies using RELAX, none reported a seed. Seeding while holding the thread count at one reproduced sixty of sixty runs on twenty genes under two releases; the seed alone reproduced none of five, and no documentation states the second condition. We recommend that fits be repeated and their dispersion published.

evolutionary biology↗

Sequential accumulation of adaptive alleles forms an inversion supergene in deer mice

Supergenes are clusters of co-inherited loci that affect multiple or complex phenotypes. Despite the growing number of chromosomal inversions identified as supergenes in natural populations, their molecular basis and evolutionary history often remain obscure. Here, we identified two candidate genes, Slc45a2 and Npr3, within a 41-Mb inversion supergene in the deer mouse (Peromyscus maniculatus) that respectively drive darker coats and longer tails - two traits associated with forest adaptation. Mice homozygous for the inversion (inv/inv) exhibit elevated Slc45a2 expression in melanocytes relative to the congenic standard genotype (std/std), disrupting pheomelanin production. In parallel, downregulation of Npr3 in inv/inv mouse growth plates prolongs postnatal growth of caudal vertebrae, resulting in tail elongation. Population-level analyses further implicate that this supergene arose through the subsequent accumulation of the Npr3 allele within the inversion, rather than by capturing all beneficial mutations at its origin.

evolutionary biology↗

Toxin structure shapes palatability in a chemically defended butterfly

The toxicity of chemical defences is well studied, but the potential contribution of compound structure to predator deterrence remains largely unexplored. Whether predation acts more strongly on toxicity or unpalatability remains largely untested, partly because few systems allow toxin structure to vary independently of quantity. Heliconius sara larvae provide such a system: those reared on Passiflora auriculata sequester cyclopentenyl cyanogenic glucosides (CGs), while those reared on P. biflora biosynthesise comparable quantities of aliphatic CGs. Using two invertebrate predators, Camponotus floridanus ants and Hierodula membranacea mantids, we tested whether this structural difference affects palatability independent of toxicity. Mantids rejected larvae with cyclopentenyl CGs more often than larvae with aliphatic CGs, despite no detectable difference in total CG content. This pattern was mirrored in extract-based assays with ants, independently of cyanide release: extracts with cyclopentenyl CGs remained deterrent, while extracts with aliphatic CGs did not differ in deterrence from water. Live larvae, by contrast, elicited similar responses from ants regardless of CG structure. These results show that variation in toxin structure can strongly affect palatability, with some compounds conferring greater protection than others. This demonstrates the importance of chemical structural diversity in the evolution of chemical defences.

evolutionary biology↗