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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.06.08.731024

Towards coevolution-aware ancestral sequence reconstruction

Zeinaty, A.·Di Bari, L.·Rossi, S.·Barrat-Charlaix, P.·Zamponi, F.·Weigt, M.
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Abstract

Ancestral sequence reconstruction (ASR) is a powerful approach for studying molecular evolution and the emergence of protein function. Yet most ASR methods assume that sites evolve independently, neglecting the epistatic constraints that shape protein structure, stability, and function. This simplification affects both ancestral inference and its evaluation: maximum-a-posteriori reconstructions may over-concentrate probability into a single over-idealized sequence, whereas independent posterior sampling can generate implausible or poorly functional ancestors. Here, we introduce a coevolution-aware ASR framework that combines standard phylogenetic inference with Direct Coupling Analysis (DCA), thereby preserving site-wise ancestral uncertainty while enforcing residue-residue constraints learned from extant protein families. To benchmark the method, we develop a controlled forward-evolution framework based on a DCA evolutionary sampler, allowing reconstructed ancestors to be compared with known ground-truth sequences generated under realistic epistatic constraints. Applied to {beta}-lactamases and DNA-binding domains, the approach improves reconstruction when ancestral states are epistatically constrained, and yields ensembles of candidate ancestors that are both phylogenetically consistent and statistically compatible with natural protein families. This framework bridges the gap between single-sequence MAP reconstruction and unconstrained posterior sampling, providing a practical route toward ancestral reconstructions that better reflect the coupled nature of protein evolution. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=106 SRC="FIGDIR/small/731024v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (20K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1248f23org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@13176b5org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@688789org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@9a66df_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG Graphical abstract Our procedure works as follows: we take as input a Multiple Sequence Alignment of extant sequences [D]extant, and infer in parallel both a phylogenetic tree[T] (phylogenetic signal) and a Direct Coupling Analysis model of coevolution (generative model with energy EDCA). The two models are then combined to form a general, coevolution-aware framework for Ancestral Sequence Reconstruction, which can be benchmarked against in silico data generated by the DCA forward evolver. C_FIG

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Zeinaty, A., Di Bari, L., Rossi, S., Barrat-Charlaix, P., Zamponi, F., Weigt, M.. 2026-06-09. Towards coevolution-aware ancestral sequence reconstruction. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.08.731024

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