Predictive metabolomics to decipher plant eco-evolutive tendencies and physiological traits

Abstract

Plant ecological and evolutionary strategies are shaped by interactions between phylogenetic history and environmental constraints, resulting in leaf and stomatal traits. However, traditional trait-based and phylogenetic approaches often fail to fully explain biochemical mechanisms underlying ecological strategies, particularly for leaf and stomatal traits. Plant metabolomes integrate genetic, physiological, and environmental information and therefore represent a promising intermediate phenotype for investigating links between biochemical diversity, functional traits, and evolutionary patterns. We analysed metabolomic profiles from 74 plant species with various growth forms and ecological types. Using machine learning approaches, we explored whether metabolic variation could predict plant functional divisions, growth forms and phenological types, but also physiological traits related to drought resistance. Metabolomic data contained structured information associated with variation in plant functional traits, ecological strategies, and phylogenetic relationships. Machine learning models identified with high accuracy distinct metabolic signatures linked to differences among plant functional divisions, growth forms, phenology, and trait values. Our study demonstrates that predictive metabolomics provides a powerful and integrative framework to investigate plant ecological and evolutionary strategies. By linking biochemical diversity with plant phylogeny, and ecophysiological traits across multiple species, this approach offers new opportunities to explore the mechanistic basis of plant evolution.