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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.04.05.716589

Emergent smartphone temporal structures reflect cognitive constraints

Ceolini, E.·Band, G.·Ghosh, A.
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Abstract

Fine-grained temporal structures emerge in smartphone behavioral recordings over multi-day periods. Complex systems research suggests that emergent temporal structures reflect underlying resource constraints of the system. Here we test whether cognitive abilities measured through speeded tasks (spanning fractions of a second) are reflected in emergent smartphone temporal structures spanning days, revealing how cognitive resource limitations shape naturalistic behavior. We analyzed smartphone tap interval patterns accumulated over several days and used decision tree regression models to predict performance in simple and choice reaction time tasks from these patterns. Simple reaction time was poorly predicted (R2 = 0.003), indicating that basic sensorimotor constraints play only a marginal role in shaping real-world behavioral timing. In contrast, choice reaction time was moderately predictable (R2 = 0.4), demonstrating that higher-order cognitive constraints prominently influence naturalistic temporal organization. Notably, while task performance operates at sub-second timescales, predictive temporal patterns in smartphone behavior spanned milliseconds to several seconds and was accumulated over days, revealing the broad, multi-scale influence of cognitive resource constraints on everyday behavior. Both predicted and measured choice reaction times showed age-related decline, but the decline was more pronounced in predicted values, suggesting that age-related cognitive changes may be amplified in naturalistic contexts. These findings demonstrate that emergent temporal structures in smartphone use can reveal how cognitive processes measured using speeded tasks manifest, or fail to manifest, in real-world behavior. Complex-systems approaches can bridge laboratory and naturalistic assessments of cognition, revealing which cognitive processes meaningfully constrain real-world behavior.

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Ceolini, E., Band, G., Ghosh, A.. 2026-04-08. Emergent smartphone temporal structures reflect cognitive constraints. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.04.05.716589

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