Evolutionary history of Jamestown Canyon virus disentangles complex multi-vector ecology

Bourgikos, E.; Dellicour, S.; Lemey, P.; Feriancek, N. M.; Bransfield, A. B.; Breban, M. I.; Misencik, M. J.; Petruff, T. A.; Shepard, J. J.; Andreadis, T. G.; Anderson, J. F.; Ngo, K. A.; Maffei, J. G.; Dupuis, A. P.; Rich, S. M.; Xu, G.; Sakolsky, G.; Price, K. J.; Metzger, M. L.; Suchard, M. A.; Lopes, R.; Gambaro, F.; Carlson, C. J.; Baele, G.; Ciota, A. T.; Vogels, C. B. F.; Hill, V.; Armstrong, P. M.; Grubaugh, N. D.

doi:10.64898/2026.01.09.698726

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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.01.09.698726

Evolutionary history of Jamestown Canyon virus disentangles complex multi-vector ecology

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Abstract

Jamestown Canyon virus (JCV) is a re-emerging mosquito-borne virus of increasing concern in North America. It has been historically understudied, leading to significant gaps in our understanding of its evolutionary history, ecological maintenance, and transmission dynamics. Here, we generated 658 whole-genome JCV sequences from the Northeast United States, including 84% (500/597) of all JCV-positive mosquitoes detected in Connecticut from 1997-2022. Then we applied phylodynamic methods to demonstrate how mosquito phenology and host interaction structure the persistence and spread of JCV. Our phylogenetic analyses estimate that JCV was introduced in the Northeast by at least the early 1700s and the primary introductions of lineages A and B into Connecticut occurred during the mid-1800s to mid-1900s. Further, we estimate that JCV evolves at a rate of [~]3 x 10-5 s/s/y, making it one of the slowest evolving known RNA viruses, because the virus spends [~]10 months per year in evolutionary stasis while over-wintering in mosquito eggs. To investigate ecological drivers of JCV spread in Connecticut, we paired discrete trait and continuous phylogeographic reconstructions with mosquito surveillance data. We estimate that JCV has a low diffusion rate of [~]30-60 km2/year, which is more similar to slow-moving tick-borne viruses than other mosquito-borne viruses. We found that univoltine Aedes mosquitoes were likely to maintain the virus across years through overwintering in eggs, accounting for its slow evolution and dispersal, while multivoltine mosquitoes contribute to periodic bursts of spatial diffusion and amplification within seasons. By characterizing seasonal dynamics of JCV, we demonstrate the utility of dense sequencing and phylodynamics to disentangle complex transmission cycles, offering a framework to rapidly advance our evolutionary and ecological knowledge of understudied viruses.

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Bourgikos, E., Dellicour, S., Lemey, P., Feriancek, N. M., Bransfield, A. B., Breban, M. I., Misencik, M. J., Petruff, T. A., Shepard, J. J., Andreadis, T. G., Anderson, J. F., Ngo, K. A., Maffei, J. G., Dupuis, A. P., Rich, S. M., Xu, G., Sakolsky, G., Price, K. J., Metzger, M. L., Suchard, M. A., Lopes, R., Gambaro, F., Carlson, C. J., Baele, G., Ciota, A. T., Vogels, C. B. F., Hill, V., Armstrong, P. M., Grubaugh, N. D.. 2026-01-10. Evolutionary history of Jamestown Canyon virus disentangles complex multi-vector ecology. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.09.698726

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