bioRxiv Science⌕ Search

bioRxiv · 10.64898/2025.12.26.696346

Agent-based modeling demonstrates how target-independent processes supplement killing by antibody-drug conjugates in cancer therapy

Abstract

Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) have had remarkable clinical success in recent years with multiple new approvals. However, for some ADCs, the response rates dont closely correlate with clinical target expression. One particular ADC targeting HER2, trastuzumab deruxtecan or T-DXd, is notable due to its success at expression levels ranging from high to low and ultralow. This raises the question of the relative contributions of target-independent mechanisms on ADC efficacy in the clinic, and several such mechanisms have been proposed. However, in vitro and preclinical data have different doses and exposures, making it challenging to quantitatively extrapolate preclinical data to the clinic. In this work, we use our computational hybrid agent-based model, SimADC, to simulate target-dependent and -independent mechanisms, scaling from mice to humans. We first demonstrate that CD8+ T cells can significantly contribute to tumor regression, especially when the ADC further activates the immune cells. Next, we test target-independent payload-driven mechanisms including: 1) Fc-mediated internalization of ADC by intratumoral macrophages and payload release to neighboring cancer cells, 2) free payload circulating in the blood and re-entering the tumor, and 3) extracellular linker cleavage and payload release due to an abundance of proteases in the tumor. We find that free payload in the blood and extracellular linker cleavage had low and moderate impacts, respectively, while macrophage uptake and payload release resulted in high levels of efficacy. This is due to the macrophages ability to sustain free payload in the tumor. Moderate and high HER2 expression were more efficacious than target-independent mechanisms. Overall, our simulations demonstrate that moderate to high HER2 expression, immune activation, or macrophage uptake and payload release are sufficient for T-DXd tumor regression. Additionally, SimADC provides a robust framework for modeling both target-dependent and target-independent mechanisms for any ADC, providing the opportunity to engineer more effective therapeutic agents. Author SummaryCancer is one of the most prevalent diseases in the world, impacting the lives of millions of people every year. Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) are a form of targeted therapy that can deliver cytotoxic drugs directly to cancer cells, increasing efficacy. However, ADCs are complex to design and test, as each part of the ADC (targeting antibody, cytotoxic payload, and linker) must be optimally selected for delivery for each target and type of patient. Here, we studied ADCs using a computational model, which allowed us to simulate ADCs in varying cancer environments efficiently and economically. We validated our model using preclinical data to incorporate patient immune responses, target-independent payload release, and systemic payload uptake, allowing us to make accurate predictions in mice and extrapolate to human tumors. We compared multiple mechanisms by which ADCs can kill cancer cells to help identify the most effective methods. Besides high target expression, immune stimulation and target-independent release in the microenvironment can contribute to tumor regression. Investigating these mechanisms enables the design of ADCs and treatment regimens that maximize efficacy across a range of tumor types and target expression.

Source connections

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Calopiz, M. C., Linderman, J. J., Thurber, G.. 2025-12-26. Agent-based modeling demonstrates how target-independent processes supplement killing by antibody-drug conjugates in cancer therapy. https://doi.org/10.64898/2025.12.26.696346

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

Limit-pushing overexpression reveals constraints on protein abundance

Proteins are often classified as toxic or non-toxic without measuring the abundance reached, leaving constraints on tolerable protein abundance unresolved. We established a limit-pushing approach in Saccharomyces cerevisiae combining strong inducible expression with gTOW-mediated high-copy selection to counteract copy-number compensation while measuring protein abundance and growth. Nearly all of approximately 80 chromosome I proteins severely inhibited growth or reduced viability at sufficiently high abundance. We established IE50, the expression level associated with a 50% reduction in growth rate, to quantify their widely varying overexpression tolerance. IE50 was positively associated with predicted structural order and cytoplasmic localization propensity and negatively associated with sulphur content. Single-cell imaging linked higher tolerance to proteins remaining cytoplasmic without becoming aggregation-positive and revealed abundance-dependent changes in localization and organelle morphology. At extreme abundance, Fun12, Nup60, and Pex22 generated distinct large-scale intracellular states through specific sequence regions. These findings establish overexpression toxicity as a quantitative property linked to protein characteristics and reveal both constraints on tolerable abundance and sequence-dependent capacities for intracellular organization.

systems biology↗

Accessing Enzyme Kinetic Data and Prediction Methods at Scale

Enzyme kinetic parameters inform metabolic models, yet experimental measurements are sparse. A growing body of work predicts them from protein and substrate features, but software fragmentation hinders adoption, so downstream tools lock into the most accessible method. We present OpenKinetics Predictor (at predictor.openkinetics.org), an open-source platform integrating thirteen methods in isolated environments behind one interface. The platform optionally reports similarity between query proteins and each method's training data to contextualise reliability. A common featurisation-prediction abstraction keeps it extensible, and independent parties, including original authors, contributed many methods. We pair it with a data portal (at data.openkinetics.org) that exposes CatLog, a curated kinetic dataset, with precomputed embeddings, predicted binding sites, and standardised splits. Both offer a web interface and an API, and the GECKO modelling toolbox already calls the predictor API. As a case study, we predict across an E. coli model and find inter-predictor agreement varies with metabolic context and data availability.

systems biology↗

A thermoregulatory design principle for transitions into hypometabolism

Mammals entering torpor or hibernation undergo an abrupt transition from normothermia to hypothermia, yet how thermoregulation enables this switch remains poorly understood. Here, we identify dynamical signatures that precede these transitions and a mathematical principle that can generate them. In fasting-induced torpor in mice, body-temperature fluctuations increased before torpor onset, providing an early-warning signal that tracked proximity to the transition better than temperature decline alone. A heat-balance model showed that reducing how strongly the effective heat-loss coefficient depends on body temperature reorganizes thermoregulatory stability, allowing a low-temperature equilibrium to emerge while the normothermic state remains stable. This organization is consistent with a symmetry-broken pitchfork involving a saddle-node. Similar increases in temperature fluctuations preceded hibernation onset in hamsters. These findings link pre-transition temperature dynamics to changes in the underlying thermoregulatory landscape and provide a framework for detecting and understanding transitions from normothermia to hypothermia.

systems biology↗