Low marine food levels mitigate high migration costs in anadromous populations

Abstract

Migratory fish populations, like salmon, have dramatically declined for decades. Because of their extensive and energetically costly breeding travel anadromous fish are sensitive to a variety of environmental threats, in particular infrastructure building in freshwater streams and food declines in the ocean. Here, we analyze the effects of these two threats combined. Unexpectedly, we find that low marine food availabilities favor, as opposed to threaten, the ecological success of endangered populations. This counterintuitive effect results from an aspect of individual energetics that individuals switching to higher food levels reach larger sizes with concomitant larger migration costs but have lower energy densities. Surprisingly, the decline of food levels in the ocean after the completion of dams may thus mitigate the risk of extinction of migratory fish populations. This highlights the need of a mechanistic understanding integrating individual energetics, life history, and population dynamics to accurately assess biological consequences of environmental change.