bioRxiv ScienceSearch

bioRxiv · 10.1101/507145

Progress towards lymphatic filariasis elimination in Ghana from 2000-2016: analysis of microfilaria prevalence data from 430 communities

Abstract

BackgroundGhana started its national programme to eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) in 2000, with mass drug administration (MDA) with ivermectin and albendazole as main strategy. We review the progress towards elimination that was made by 2016 for all endemic districts of Ghana and analyze mf prevalence from sentinel and spot-check sites in endemic districts.\n\nMethodsWe reviewed district level data on the history of MDA and outcomes of transmission assessment surveys (TAS). We further collated and analyzed microfilaria (mf) prevalence data from sentinel and spot-check sites.\n\nResultsMDA was initiated in 2001-2006 in all 98 endemic districts; by the end of 2016, 81 had stopped MDA after passing TAS and after an average of 11 rounds of treatment (range 8 - 14 rounds). The median reported coverage for the communities was 77-80%. Mf prevalence survey data were available for 430 communities from 78/98 endemic districts. Baseline mf prevalence data were available for 53 communities, with an average mf prevalence of 8.7% (0 - 45.7%). Repeated measurements were available for 78 communities, showing a steep decrease in mean mf prevalence in the first few years of MDA, followed by a gradual further decline. In the 2013 and 2014 surveys, 7 and 10 communities respectively were identified with mf prevalence still above 1% (maximum 5.6%). Two stopped MDA in 2015 and 2016 respectively, while the rest of the 15 communities above threshold are all within 13/17 districts where MDA is still ongoing.\n\nConclusionsThe MDA programme of the Ghana Health Services has reduced mf prevalence in sentinel sites below the 1% threshold in 81/98 endemic districts in Ghana, yet 15 communities within 13 districts (MDA ongoing) had higher prevalence than this threshold during the surveys in 2013 and 2014. These districts may need to intensify interventions to achieve the WHO 2020 target.\n\nAuthor summaryLymphatic filariasis (LF) control in Ghana has relied on ivermectin and albendazole since the year 2000 when the Ghana Filariasis Elimination Programme started. We analyzed trends in microfilaraemia prevalence during MDA, reported coverage, and transmission assessment survey using data obtained from the Ghana Health Services (GHS). The median reported treatment coverage varied between 77-80% over the years. Our results show that the treatment in Ghana made a significant impact in reducing infections <1% in majority of sentinel sites in endemic districts (81/98) by 2016. In the remaining 17 districts, extra efforts may be needed to achieve the same goal. Some of the challenges could be low coverage in some communities, high baseline endemicity, programme logistical challenges etc. The required average rounds of MDA needed for elimination was 11, higher than that proposed by the Global Filariasis Elimination Programme. This article is relevant to LF control programmes in assessing the impact of MDA. It is important for programmes to monitor infections especially within communities where mf prevalence is still above the 1% threshold to ensure that the WHO 2020 elimination target is achieved.

Source connections

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Biritwum, N.-K., Frempong, K. K., Verver, S., Odoom, S., Alomatu, B., Asiedu, O., Kontoroupis, P., Yeboah, A., Hervie, E. T., Marfo, B., Boakye, D. A., de Vlas, S. J., Gyapong, J. O., Stolk, W. A.. 2018-12-27. Progress towards lymphatic filariasis elimination in Ghana from 2000-2016: analysis of microfilaria prevalence data from 430 communities. https://doi.org/10.1101/507145

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

Rainfall and other meteorological factors as drivers of urban transmission of leptospirosis

BackgroundLeptospirosis is an important public health problem affecting vulnerable urban slum populations in developing country settings. However, the complex interaction of meteorological factors driving the temporal trends of leptospirosis remain incompletely understood.\n\nMethods and findingsFrom 1996 to 2010, we investigated the association between the weekly incidence of leptospirosis and climatic variables in the city of Salvador, Brazil by using a dynamic generalized linear model that accounted for time lags, overall trend and seasonal variation. Our model showed an increase of leptospirosis cases associated with rainfall, lower temperature and higher humidity. There was a lag of one-to-two weeks between weekly values for significant meteorological variables and leptospirosis incidence. Independent of the season, a weekly cumulative rainfall of 20 mm increased the risk of the leptospirosis by 10% compared to a week without rain. Finally, over the 14 year study period the incidence of leptospirosis decreased significantly by four fold (12.8 versus 3.6 per 100,000 people), independently of variations in climate.\n\nConclusionsStrategies to control leptospirosis should focus on avoiding contact with contaminated sources of Leptospira as well as on increasing awareness in the population and health professionals within the short time window after both low-level and extreme rainfall events. Increased leptospirosis incidence was restricted to one-to-two weeks after those events suggesting that infectious Leptospira survival may be limited to short time intervals.\n\nAuthor SummaryTo determine the role of meteorological variables, seasonal variation and temporal trends in the incidence of leptospirosis, we investigated the time series of leptospirosis incidence amongst residents of Salvador, Brazil, from 1996 to 2010. Exploratory and confirmatory statistical methods detected associations between meteorological factors and disease incidence. Results showed the importance of extreme meteorological conditions, particularly rainfall, as short-term predictors of leptospirosis incidence. In addition, we found a long-term decreasing trend of in disease incidence over the observation period.

epidemiology

Cost utility analysis of end stage renal disease treatment in Ministry of Health dialysis centres, Malaysia: hemodialysis versus continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

OBJECTIVESIn Malaysia, there is exponential growth of patients on dialysis. Dialysis treatment consumes a considerable portion of healthcare expenditure. Comparative assessment of their cost effectiveness can assist in providing a rational basis for preference of dialysis modalities.\n\nMETHODSA cost utility study of hemodialysis (HD) and continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) was conducted from a Ministry of Health (MOH) perspective. A Markov model was also developed to investigate the cost effectiveness of increasing uptake of CAPD to 55% and 60 % versus current practice of 40% CAPD in a five-year temporal horizon. A scenario with 30% CAPD was also measured. The costs and utilities were sourced from published data which were collected as part of this study. The transitional probabilities and survival estimates were obtained from the Malaysia Dialysis and Transplant Registry (MDTR). The outcome measures were cost per life year (LY), cost per quality adjusted LY (QALY) and incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) for the Markov model. Sensitivity analyses were performed.\n\nRESULTSLYs saved for HD was 4.15 years and 3.70 years for CAPD. QALYs saved for HD was 3.544 years and 3.348 for CAPD. Cost per LY saved was RM39,791 for HD and RM37,576 for CAPD. The cost per QALY gained was RM46,595 for HD and RM41,527 for CAPD. The Markov model showed commencement of CAPD in 50% of ESRD patients as initial dialysis modality was very cost-effective versus current practice of 40% within MOH. Reduction in CAPD use was associated with higher costs and a small devaluation in QALYs.\n\nCONCLUSIONSThese findings suggest provision of both modalities is fiscally feasible; increasing CAPD as initial dialysis modality would be more cost-effective.

epidemiology

Social, demographic, health care and co-morbidity predictors of tuberculosis mortality in Amazonas, Brazil: a multiple cause of death approach

OBJECTIVESTo estimate TB mortality rates, describe multiple causes in death certificates in which TB was reported and identify predictors of TB reporting in death certificates in the State of Amazonas, Brazil, based on a multiple cause of death approach.\n\nMETHODSDeath records of residents in AM within 2006-2014 were classified based on tuberculosis reporting in the death certificate as tuberculosis not reported (TBNoR), reported as the underlying cause of death (TBUC) and as an associate cause of death (TBAC). Age standardized annual mortality rates for TBUC, TBAC and with TB reported (TBUC plus TBAC) were estimated for the State of Amazonas, using the direct standardization method and WHO 2000-2025 standard population. Mortality odds ratios (OR) of reporting TBUC and TBAC were estimated using multinomial logistic regression.\n\nRESULTSAge standardized annual TBUC and TBAC mortality rates ranged, between 5.9-7.8/105 and 2.7-4.0/105, respectively. TBUC was associated with residence in the State capital (OR=0.66), female sex (OR=0.87), education level (OR=0.67 and 0.50 for 8 to 11 and 12 or more school years), non-white race/skin colour (OR=1.38) and occurrence of death in the State capital (OR=1.69). TBAC was related to time (OR=1.21 and 1.22 for years 2009-11 and 2012-14), age (OR=36.1 and 16.5 for ages 15-39 and 40-64 years) and when death occurred in the State capital (OR=5.8).\n\nCONCLUSIONTBUC was predominantly associated with indicators of unfavorable socioeconomic conditions and health care access constraints, whereas TBAC was mainly related to ages typical of high HIV disease incidence.\n\nConflicts of interestNone.\n\nFundingFundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas - FAPEAM

epidemiology