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bioRxiv · 10.1101/447227

Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world

Dakos, V.·Matthews, B.·Hendry, A.·Levine, J.·Loeuille, N.·Norberg, J.·Nosil, P.·Scheffer, M.·De Meester, L.
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Abstract

There is growing concern over tipping points arising in ecosystems due to the crossing of environmental thresholds. Tipping points lead to strong and possibly irreversible shifts between alternative ecosystem states incurring high societal costs. Traits are central to the feedbacks that maintain alternative ecosystem states, as they govern the responses of populations to environmental change that could stabilize or destabilize ecosystem states. However, we know little about how evolutionary changes in trait distributions over time affect the occurrence of tipping points, and even less about how big scale ecological shifts reciprocally interact with trait dynamics. We argue that interactions between ecological and evolutionary processes should be taken into account for understanding the balance of feedbacks governing tipping points in nature.

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Dakos, V., Matthews, B., Hendry, A., Levine, J., Loeuille, N., Norberg, J., Nosil, P., Scheffer, M., De Meester, L.. 2018-10-24. Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world. https://doi.org/10.1101/447227

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