Stratification of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis patients: a crowdsourcing approach

Abstract

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal neurodegenerative disease with substantial heterogeneity in clinical presentation with an urgent need for better stratification tools for clinical development and care. In this study we used a crowdsourcing approach to address the problem of ALS patient stratification. The DREAM Prize4Life ALS Stratification Challenge was a crowdsourcing initiative using data from >10,000 patients from completed ALS clinical trials and 1479 patients from community-based patient registers. Challenge participants used machine learning and clustering techniques to predict ALS progression and survival. By developing new approaches, the best performing teams were able to predict disease outcomes better than currently available methods. At the same time, the integration of clustering components across methods led to the emergence of distinct consensus clusters, separating patients into four consistent groups, each with its unique predictors for classification. This analysis reveals for the first time the potential of a crowdsourcing approach to uncover covert patient sub-populations, and to accelerate disease understanding and therapeutic development.