Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool

Bellan, S. E.; Eggo, R. M.; Gsell, P.-S.; Kucharski, A.; Dean, N.; Donohue, R.; Zook, M.; Odhiambo, F.; Longini, I.; Brisson, M.; Mahon, B.; Henao-Restrepo, A. M.

doi:10.1101/252783

bioRxiv · 10.1101/252783

Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool

Bellan, S. E.·Eggo, R. M.·Gsell, P.-S.·Kucharski, A.·Dean, N.·Donohue, R.·Zook, M.·Odhiambo, F.·Longini, I.·Brisson, M.·Mahon, B.·Henao-Restrepo, A. M.

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Abstract

The design and execution of rigorous, fast, and ethical vaccine efficacy trials can be challenging during epidemics of emerging pathogens, such as the 2014-2016 Ebola virus and 2015-2016 Zika virus epidemics. Response to an urgent public health crisis requires accelerated research even as emerging epidemics themselves change rapidly and are inherently less well understood than well-established diseases. As part of the World Health Organization Research and Development Blueprint, we designed a web-based interactive decision support system (InterVax-Tool) to help diverse stakeholders navigate the epidemiological, logistical, and ethical decisions involved in designing a vaccine efficacy trial during a public health emergency. In contrast to existing literature on trial design, InterVax-Tool offers high-level visual and interactive assistance through a set of four decision trees, guiding users through selection of 1) the Primary Endpoint, (2) the Target Population, (3) Randomization, and (4) the Comparator. Guidance is provided on how each of fourteen key considerations-grouped as Epidemiological, Vaccine-related, Infrastructural, or Sociocultural-should be used to inform each decision in the trial design process. The tool is not intended to provide a black box decision framework for identifying an optimal trial design, but rather to facilitate transparent, collaborative and comprehensive discussion of the relevant decisions, while recording the decision process. The tool can also assist capacity building by providing a cross-disciplinary picture of trial design using concepts from epidemiology, study design, vaccinology, biostatistics, mathematical modeling and clinical research ethics. Here, we describe the goals and features of InterVax-Tool as well as its application to the design of a Zika vaccine efficacy trial.\n\nOne Sentence SummaryAn interactive web-based decision support tool was developed to assist in the design of vaccine efficacy trials during emerging outbreaks.

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Bellan, S. E., Eggo, R. M., Gsell, P.-S., Kucharski, A., Dean, N., Donohue, R., Zook, M., Odhiambo, F., Longini, I., Brisson, M., Mahon, B., Henao-Restrepo, A. M.. 2018-01-24. Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool. https://doi.org/10.1101/252783

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