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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2025.10.03.680239

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in South America, 2022-2025: temporality, affected species, and the southwards expansion to the Antarctic region.

Abstract

The H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus has caused severe global losses, reaching South America in 2022 and Antarctica in 2024. Here we synthesize outbreak reports submitted to the World Organization for Animal Health (WOAH) by South American countries and document the viruss unprecedented expansion into Antarctica, affecting wild birds, wild mammals, and domestic poultry. More than 6 million domestic birds died or were culled, mostly from commercial operations. Of the 11 South American countries that reported H5N1 to WOAH, 10 reported infections in wild birds, spanning 104 species, 59.62% of which are migratory and predominantly non-trans-equatorial. Marine mammal cases occurred after wild bird detections, with the South American sea lion (Otaria flavescens) most affected, and several Antarctic bird species with migratory behavior were also reported in South America. To complement outbreak data, we examined available genomic sequences through phylogenetic and time-calibrated Bayesian analyses, which revealed multiple introduction events, viral diversity across regions, and evidence of interspecies transmission dynamics. These findings highlight the extensive ecological reach of H5N1 in the Southern Hemisphere and underscore the urgent need for a One Health approach that strengthens wildlife and backyard-poultry surveillance while fostering coordinated regional action to control and prevent further spread of HPAI. IMPORTANCEThe arrival of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in South America has caused severe mortality in wild birds, marine mammals, and domestic poultry, and has recently expanded into Antarctica. Understanding how the virus entered and spread across the continent is essential for preparedness and response. Using phylogenetic and time-calibrated analyses, we identify three independent introductions into South America, estimate their temporal windows of entry, and document repeated spillover across species, including into marine mammals and humans. These findings provide novel resolution beyond previous reports and highlight the extensive inter-country connectivity of circulating viruses. The unprecedented detection of HPAI in Antarctica further illustrates the ecological risks posed by ongoing southward spread. Together, this analysis underscores the urgent need for integrated One Health surveillance that bridges wildlife, domestic animal, and human health systems to mitigate the future impacts of HPAI in the region.

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Sanchez-Rodriguez, F., Diaz-Gavidia, C., Ruiz, S., Jimenez Bluhm, P.. 2025-10-05. Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in South America, 2022-2025: temporality, affected species, and the southwards expansion to the Antarctic region.. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.03.680239

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