bioRxiv · 10.1101/2025.07.08.663653
Clinical and molecular characterisation of primary refractoriness to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.
Abstract
BackgroundDespite improved outcomes with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (A+B) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), primary refractoriness (PRef), characterised by early progression or short-lived disease stabilisation following treatment, remains a significant and poorly understood clinical challenge. MethodsWe analysed 1296 patients with HCC and Child-Pugh A liver cirrhosis treated with frontline A+B (AB-real) and validated findings in 645 trial participants recruited to IMbrave150 and GO30140. PRef was defined by Society for the Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) criteria as progressive disease in the first 6 months after treatment initiation. Patients who achieved complete response, partial response or stable disease for [≥] 6 months were classified as responders. We performed a multi-parametric analysis of pre-treatment tumour tissue including machine learning-based quantification of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes, imaging mass cytometry and RNA sequencing (RNAseq) to evaluate differences in the tumour microenvironment (TME) of PRef versus responding patients. We employed conditional inference tree analyses to provide a hierarchical organisation of determinants of PRef. ResultsAmong 677 AB-real and 378 trial patients evaluable by SITC criteria, PRef identified inferior median OS in comparison with responding patients (AB-real: 7.3 vs. 31.5 months, HR 3.7, 95%CI 2.8-8.5, p<0.001; Trials: 10.8 vs. NR, HR 4.6, 95%CI 3.3-6.3, p<0.001). PRef patients exhibited higher baseline systemic inflammation (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, NLR [≥]3), a distinctively immunosuppressive TME enriched in CD163+ tumour-associated macrophages and a higher Treg/Teff ratio. RNAseq of tumour tissue demonstrated lower intrinsic immunogenicity in PRef samples, characterised by repressed IFN-{gamma} and Teff signatures, with elevated myeloid infiltration. Conditional inference tree analysis identified IFN-{gamma} signature downregulation combined with NLR [≥]3 as the strongest contributor of PRef. ConclusionsPRef to A+B identifies a distinct biological entity characterised by unopposed systemic inflammation, myeloid cell infiltration and T-cell depletion. Targeting myeloid-mediated immunosuppression, particularly in patients with low IFN-{gamma} signature expression and elevated NLR might enhance responsiveness to A+B. HighlightsO_LIPrimary refractoriness to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in hepatocellular carcinoma, as defined by SITC criteria, is associated with poor clinical outcomes. C_LIO_LITumour microenvironment profiling reveals an immunosuppressive phenotype characterized by high myeloid infiltration, reduced interferon-{gamma} signalling, and T-cell depletion. C_LIO_LIThe combination of systemic inflammation and low IFN-{gamma} signature expression strongly predicts primary refractoriness and may inform therapeutic decision-making. C_LI
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Lombardi, P., Ramon-Gil, E., Brunetti, L., Manfredi, G. F., Merces, G., Fulgenzi, C. A. M., DAlessio, A., Torkpour, A., Celsa, C., Stefanini, B., Yang, H., Crowley, F., Marron, T. U., Saeed, A., Pinter, M., Scheiner, B., Huang, Y.-H., Lee, P.-C., Nishida, N., Po-Ting Lin, R., Dalbeni, A., Vivaldi, C., Masi, G., Rohlen, N., von Felden, J., Kaseb, A., Galle, P. R., Kudo, M., Hsu, W.-F., Rimassa, L., Parisi, A., Kelley, R. K., Toyoda, H., Pirisi, M., Jabar, R. F., Rakaee, M., Cabibbo, G., Camma, C., Piscaglia, F., Hwang, S., Shin, D. J., Li, M., Daniele, G., Mann, D., Chon, H. J., Leslie, J., Pin. 2025-07-10. Clinical and molecular characterisation of primary refractoriness to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.07.08.663653
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