PROFET Predicts Continuous Gene Expression Dynamics from scRNA-seq Data to Elucidate Heterogeneity of Cancer Treatment Responses

Abstract

Single-cell RNA sequencing profiles cellular heterogeneity but captures only static snapshots, limiting inference of gene expression dynamics. We developed PROFET (Particle-based Reconstruction Of generative Force-matched Expression Trajectories), a framework that reconstructs continuous, nonlinear single-cell trajectories from sparsely sampled scRNA-seq time series. PROFET combines a particle-based gradient-flow algorithm with simulation-free force matching to accurately infer cellular dynamics. Across mouse and human in vitro datasets and an in vivo axolotl regeneration dataset, PROFET achieved 2.6-12.5X lower prediction error than ten state-of-the-art trajectory inference methods. Applying PROFET to newly generated scRNA-seq data from a palbociclib-treated MCF7 cell line and three published breast cancer patient datasets, we reconstructed treatment-response trajectories and identified a resistant cell subpopulation exhibiting large phenotypic shifts and enrichment of the surface markers UNC5B, TLR3, PCDH19, PROCR, SLITRK6, and SEMA6B. PROFET provides a biologically grounded framework for reconstructing cell-state dynamics from static single-cell data across development, regeneration, and therapeutic response.