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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2025.01.07.631738

Monte Carlo simulations predict distinct real EEG patterns in individuals with high and low IQs

Tozzi, A.
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Abstract

The neural mechanisms underlying individual differences in intelligence are a central focus in neuroscience. We investigated the effectiveness of Monte Carlo simulations in predicting real EEG patterns and uncovering potential neural differences between individuals with high and low intelligence. EEG data were collected from two groups of volunteers categorized by IQ, namely, a high-IQ group and a low-IQ group. A univariate normal distribution was fitted to each EEG channel using Maximum Likelihood Estimation, after which synthetic datasets were generated based on the estimated parameters. Statistical analyses including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) calculations assessed the alignment between real and simulated data. We showed that Monte Carlo simulations effectively replicated the statistical properties of the EEG data from both the groups, closely matching the real central tendencies, variability and overall distribution shapes. Specific EEG channels, particularly in the frontal and temporal bilateral regions, exhibited significant differences between the two groups, pointing to potential neural markers of cognitive abilities. Further, the low-IQ group exhibited higher predictability and more consistent neural patterns, reflected by lower RMSE values and smaller standard deviations across several EEG channels. Conversely, the high-IQ group displayed greater variability and larger RMSE values, reflecting complex neural dynamics that are less predictable by Monte Carlo simulations. Our findings underscore the utility of Monte Carlo simulations as a robust tool for replicating EEG patterns, identifying cognitive differences and predicting EEG activity associated with intelligence levels. These insights can inform predictive modeling, neurocognitive research, educational strategies and clinical interventions of targeted cognitive enhancement.

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Tozzi, A.. 2025-01-13. Monte Carlo simulations predict distinct real EEG patterns in individuals with high and low IQs. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.01.07.631738

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