Low-input soil management increases yield and decreases CO2-emissions but aggravates risk of nitrate leaching and diseases in winter wheat cropping systems under climate change

Michel, J.; Leemans, V.; Weinmann, M.; Balanzategui-Guijarro, I.; Bin, J.; Biver, S.; Blum, A.; Borger, R.; Him, S. L.; Kirbas, G.; Le Gouis, J.; Moya-Larano, J.; Persyn, M.; Pierreux, J.; Quenon, A.; Sanchez-Moreno, S.; Symanczik, S.; Vanden Brande, F.; Van Der Straeten, D.; Wagner, M.; Waibel, M.; Xayphrarath, A.; Vanderschuren, H.; Thonar, C.; Delaplace, P.

doi:10.1101/2024.11.30.626142

Home/Archive/bioRxiv

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2024.11.30.626142

Low-input soil management increases yield and decreases CO2-emissions but aggravates risk of nitrate leaching and diseases in winter wheat cropping systems under climate change

View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Empirical data is key to anticipate the impact of climate change on cropping systems and develop land management strategies that are sustainable while ensuring food security. Here, the combined effects of projected increases in temperature, atmospheric CO2-concentrations, solar irradiation and altered precipitation patterns on winter wheat cropping systems were investigated using an Ecotron. Experimental plant-soil systems were subjected to three different climatic conditions representing a gradient of ongoing climate change implementing the weather patterns of the years 2013, 2068, and 2085 respectively. The wheat plants were grown in two differentially manged agricultural soil types: one with long-term low organic matter (OM) inputs and the other one with long-term high OM inputs. In the low OM system, the risk for plant diseases and nitrate leaching was increased, but it outperformed the high OM system with higher yields and lower CO2-emissions. Developing high-yielding cropping systems leveraging the CO2-fertilisation effect without sacrificing environmental health will therefore require further refined of management practices to improve nutrient cycling and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. One possibility is adapting crop rotations and cover crops to the shorter wheat cycle observed in the future climates to replenish soil nutrients and break disease cycles. Further, in both here studied soil types the wheat plants developed natural coping mechanisms against environmental stressors, such as enhanced root growth and increased levels of proline and silicon. Unravelling the molecular mechanisms that trigger such inherent plant defences is a further interesting target for breeding future crops. Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=177 HEIGHT=200 SRC="FIGDIR/small/626142v2_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (36K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fefc32org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@5f6757org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1799ca4org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@11aec5c_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

Explore related subjects

ecology Preprint

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeX RIS

Michel, J., Leemans, V., Weinmann, M., Balanzategui-Guijarro, I., Bin, J., Biver, S., Blum, A., Borger, R., Him, S. L., Kirbas, G., Le Gouis, J., Moya-Larano, J., Persyn, M., Pierreux, J., Quenon, A., Sanchez-Moreno, S., Symanczik, S., Vanden Brande, F., Van Der Straeten, D., Wagner, M., Waibel, M., Xayphrarath, A., Vanderschuren, H., Thonar, C., Delaplace, P.. 2024-12-05. Low-input soil management increases yield and decreases CO2-emissions but aggravates risk of nitrate leaching and diseases in winter wheat cropping systems under climate change. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.11.30.626142

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

bioRxiv2026

Floristic composition, phenology, and conservation value of four peat bogs in Bucovina, with the presence of Betula nana

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the floristic composition and site characteristics of four peat bogs in Bucovina, Romania: Poiana Stampei, Romanesti, Saru Dornei, and Gaina-Lucina. The research was based on phytosociological releves on 25 msq plots and direct field phenological observations, on six field visits from May to August 2026. Vegetation was characterised using the Braun Blanquet method, and floristic similarity between sites was assessed with the Sorensen and Bray Curtis indices. All four plots shared a common core of taxa characteristic of peatland vegetation: Sphagnum spp., Carex rostrata, Drosera rotundifolia, Eriophorum vaginatum, and Vaccinium species. Species richness was 13 taxa at Poiana Stampei, Romanesti, and Saru Dornei, and 12 at Gaina-Lucina. Romanesti and Saru Dornei showed the highest floristic similarity (descriptive values, not statistically tested, given a single releve per site), while Gaina-Lucina differed most markedly, not through species richness, which was similar across sites, but through species identity and through the presence of Betula nana, a glacial relict absent from the other sites. The results provide a descriptive basis for future research on the floristic composition and conservation of these habitats.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Long-Term Surveillance Reveals Establishment of Aedes albopictus in Eastern Nebraska, USA

Aedes albopictus (Skuse), the Asian tiger mosquito, is a highly competent arboviral vector whose range has expanded substantially across the United States over the past four decades. Despite predictive models placing Nebraska within the species' climatically suitable range, its establishment status in the state has remained poorly characterized. Here, we report results from a nine-year mosquito surveillance program (2017-2025) conducted across 44 Nebraska counties in collaboration with the Nebraska Department of Health and Human Services. Ae. albopictus was detected in five counties, with sustained, annually increasing populations documented in Richardson, Douglas, and Lancaster counties. Richardson County recorded continuous detections during 2017-2025, with proportional representation rising to 60.50% of collected mosquitoes by 2025. In Douglas and Lancaster counties, temporal advancement of first seasonal detection in 2024 and 2025 provide evidence consistent with successful overwintering rather than annual reintroduction. A cumulative degree-day model predicted adult emergence in mid-May across all county-year combinations, consistently preceding trap deployment by two to seven weeks and revealing a systematic early-season surveillance gap. Generalized linear mixed-effects models indicated that trap-level detection persistence, rather than urban location, was the primary predictor of yearly Ae. albopictus positivity, suggesting that current invasion dynamics are driven by focal source populations. These findings provide strong evidence for the establishment of Ae. albopictus in eastern Nebraska and highlight the need for earlier seasonal surveillance and standardized criteria to define establishment in northward-expanding vector populations.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

PlanktonLake-CEREEP- A Freshwater Plankton Image Dataset with Semi-Automated Label Cleaning

Plankton plays a fundamental role in aquatic ecosystems, influencing biogeochemical cycles and serving as a key food source for many organisms. Recent high-throughput imaging technologies enable the rapid acquisition of large volumes of microscopic images, creating new opportunities for monitoring planktonic ecosystems. However, the manual processing and annotation of the vast amounts of data generated by these devices remain time-consuming tasks. In this context, machine learning-based classification models offer a promising solution. In this data paper, we introduce a new labeled freshwater plankton dataset comprising approximately 88,000 images distributed across 43 taxa. We also present the labeling assistance method we used to facilitate dataset annotation. Finally, we present a baseline based on a convolutional neural network (CNN), which achieves a classification accuracy of 93% on our dataset.

ecology↗