Minus the Error: Estimating dN/dS and Testing for Natural Selection in the Presence of Residual Alignment Errors

Abstract

Positive selection is an evolutionary process which increases the frequency of advantageous mutations because they confer a fitness benefit. Inferring the past action of positive selection on protein-coding sequences is fundamental for deciphering phenotypic diversity and the emergence of novel traits. With the advent of genome-wide comparative genomic datasets, researchers can analyze selection not only at the level of individual genes but also globally, delivering systems-level insights into evolutionary dynamics. However, genome-scale datasets are generated with automated pipelines and imperfect curation that does not eliminate all sequencing, annotation, and alignment errors. Positive selection inference methods are highly sensitive to such errors. We present BUSTED-E: a method designed to detect positive selection for amino acid diversification while concurrently identifying some alignment errors. This method builds on the flexible branch-site random effects model (BUSTED) for fitting distributions of dN/dS, with a critical modification: it incorporates an "error-sink" component to represent an abiological evolutionary regime. Using several genome-scale biological datasets that were extensively filtered using state-of-the art automated alignment tools, we show that BUSTED-E identifies pervasive residual alignment errors, produces more realistic estimates of positive selection, reduces bias, and improves biological interpretation. The BUSTED-E model promises to be a more stringent filter to identify positive selection in genome-wide contexts, thus enabling further characterization and validation of the most biologically relevant cases.