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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2024.06.04.597326

Delayed dichromatism as a convenient tool to disentangle the effects of survival and productivity on the population dynamics in waterfowl

Tableau, A.·Henderson, I.·Reeber, S.·Guillemain, M.·Maillard, J.-F.·Caizergues, A.
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Abstract

Monitoring the number of individuals is by far the most popular strategy for studying the environmental factors that determine population dynamics and for measuring the effectiveness of management actions aimed at population recovery, control or eradication. Unfortunately, population size monitoring is inefficient in identifying the mechanisms underlying demographic processes and, in particular, in assessing the extent to which population growth rate is influenced by changes in adult survival rather than variations in reproductive parameters. In many waterfowl species, sexual dichromatism is observed in adults, while immatures of both sexes display a plumage pattern similar to that of adult females. In these species, the apparent proportion of males increases as the female-like immature males gradually take on the plumage of adult males. The difference between the apparent sex ratio before and after the young reach sexual maturity then provides information about the age ratio of a population. Using winter counts that distinguished between female-like and male-like individuals of two non-native populations of Ruddy duck Oxyura jamaicensis, a species that exhibits such a plumage pattern, we present a non- invasive method based on the apparent sex ratio to split population growth rate into adult survival and recruitment rates (the latter also referred to as productivity). This method can correctly detect annual changes in vital rates, supporting the assumption that counts conducted in an appropriate time window reflect the age structure of a population. We exemplify how the respective contributions of survival and productivity to the population growth rate are essential for understanding the processes behind demo- graphic dynamics. Finally, we point out some best practices to correctly apply the "apparent sex ratio" method described here.

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Tableau, A., Henderson, I., Reeber, S., Guillemain, M., Maillard, J.-F., Caizergues, A.. 2024-06-06. Delayed dichromatism as a convenient tool to disentangle the effects of survival and productivity on the population dynamics in waterfowl. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.06.04.597326

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