bioRxiv Science⌕ Search
Home/Archive/bioRxiv

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2022.10.03.510677

An agent-based modeling approach for lung fibrosis in response to COVID-19

Islam, M. A.·Getz, M.·Macklin, P.·Versypt, A. N. F.
View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

The severity of the COVID-19 pandemic has created an emerging need to investigate the long-term effects of infection on patients. Many individuals are at risk of suffering pulmonary fibrosis due to the pathogenesis of lung injury and impairment in the healing mechanism. Fibroblasts are the central mediators of extracellular matrix (ECM) deposition during tissue regeneration, regulated by anti-inflammatory cytokines including transforming growth factor beta (TGF-{beta}). The TGF-{beta}-dependent accumulation of fibroblasts at the damaged site and excess fibrillar collagen deposition lead to fibrosis. We developed an open-source, multiscale tissue simulator to investigate the role of TGF-{beta} sources in the progression of lung fibrosis after SARS-CoV-2 exposure, intracellular viral replication, infection of epithelial cells, and host immune response. Using the model, we predicted the dynamics of fibroblasts, TGF-{beta}, and collagen deposition for 15 days post-infection in virtual lung tissue. Our results showed variation in collagen area fractions between 2% and 40% depending on the spatial behavior of the sources (stationary or mobile), the rate of activation of TGF-{beta}, and the duration of TGF-{beta} sources. We identified M2 macrophages as primary contributors to higher collagen area fraction. Our simulation results also predicted fibrotic outcomes even with lower collagen area fraction when spatially-localized latent TGF-{beta} sources were active for longer times. We validated our model by comparing simulated dynamics for TGF-{beta}, collagen area fraction, and macrophage cell population with independent experimental data from mouse models. Our results showed that partial removal of TGF-{beta} sources changed the fibrotic patterns; in the presence of persistent TGF-{beta} sources, partial removal of TGF-{beta} from the ECM significantly increased collagen area fraction due to maintenance of chemotactic gradients driving fibroblast movement. The computational findings are consistent with independent experimental and clinical observations of collagen area fractions and cell population dynamics not used in developing the model. These critical insights into the activity of TGF-{beta} sources may find applications in the current clinical trials targeting TGF-{beta} for the resolution of lung fibrosis. Author summaryCOVID-19 survivors are at risk of lung fibrosis as a long-term effect. Lung fibrosis is the excess deposition of tissue materials in the lung that hinder gas exchange and can collapse the whole organ. We identified TGF-{beta} as a critical regulator of fibrosis. We built a model to investigate the mechanisms of TGF-{beta} sources in the process of fibrosis. Our results showed spatial behavior of sources (stationary or mobile) and their activity (activation rate of TGF-{beta}, longer activation of sources) could lead to lung fibrosis. Current clinical trials for fibrosis that target TGF-{beta} need to consider TGF-{beta} sources spatial properties and activity to develop better treatment strategies.

Source connections

Explore related subjects

bioengineeringPreprint

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Islam, M. A., Getz, M., Macklin, P., Versypt, A. N. F.. 2022-10-04. An agent-based modeling approach for lung fibrosis in response to COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.10.03.510677

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

bioRxiv2026

Synergy-informed bilevel optimization reveals joint-specific benefits for realistic exoskeleton torque prediction

Simulation-driven optimization can guide exoskeleton control design, but its utility is limited by the accuracy with which muscle coordination is predicted. Strict effort-minimization formulations predict non-physiological muscle shutdown under high exoskeleton assistance, leading to peak assistive torques that exceed values reported in human-in-the-loop experiments. We evaluated the accuracy of synergy-informed simulations at predicting assistance across four single-joint exoskeleton configurations: ankle plantarflexion, knee extension, hip flexion, and hip abduction. We implemented a bilevel optimization to predict a parameterized assistive torque that minimizes metabolic cost, with assisted muscle dynamics estimated via either effort-minimization simulations (minimizing muscle effort only) or synergy-informed simulations (minimizing muscle effort constrained to a synergy structure). We used experimental data from five unimpaired adults walking at their preferred speed and compared results descriptively between the two formulations within each subject. Assistance based on effort-minimization simulations shut down agonist muscle activations and overestimated peak assistive torque compared with experimental values. In contrast, constraining muscle controls to a synergy structure prevented non-physiological muscle shutdown and yielded assistive torques closer to those measured in human-in-the-loop experiments. This benefit was not observed equally across all assisted degrees of freedom or subjects, emerging only where no single synergy could be suppressed to unload the assisted muscles. Synergy weights can therefore be interpreted as joint-specific predictors of when simulations can reliably inform wearable robot design.

bioengineering↗
bioRxiv2026

Engineered microvessel networks -- Longitudinal transcriptomic profiling validates chip-grown tissues as a robust model for studying vasculature

Vascularised Organ-on-Chip (OoC) models are promising New Approach Methodologies (NAMs), but their translation requires validation for defined Contexts of Use (CoU). Here, we combine microfluidic microvessel networks (MVNs) with longitudinal bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing to determine how cell provenance influences engineered vascular phenotype. Stromal cell identity produced distinct network architectures and transcriptional trajectories, demonstrating that support cells, commonly treated as interchangeable, represent an important CoU variable. Primary human pancreatic microvascular endothelial cells failed to form stable perfusable networks, but supplementation with 10% Human Umbilical Vein Endothelial Cells (HUVECs) or Blood Outgrowth Endothelial Cells (BOECs) rescued self-assembly. Single-cell transcriptomics identified specialised endothelial populations associated with vascular morphogenesis, including tip, stalk, phalanx, endothelial to mesenchymal transition (EndMT) and pericyte-like endothelial cells. Failed networks lacked coherent endothelial specialisation, whereas rescued networks restored stabilising cell states and revealed FLRT2--UNC5B signalling within pericyte-like HUVECs, recapitulating a pathway implicated in angiogenic development in vivo. These findings establish cell provenance as a critical determinant of microvascular NAM performance and demonstrate how transcriptomic validation can define and strengthen the biological relevance of microvessel-on-chip models for specific CoUs.

bioengineering↗
bioRxiv2026

Benchmarking foundation models for resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging time series in cognitive aging research

Foundation models trained on large neuroimaging datasets could help smaller studies investigate cognition from brain recordings. However, whether the foundation model-derived representations improve assessment of current cognition, prediction of follow-up cognition, or characterization of cognitive change remains unclear. We evaluated nine configurations from five model families that process regional resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging time series, using 3,103 scans from 1,653 participants across two observational and five intervention aging cohorts. Primary frozen representations showed no consistent superiority over conventional functional connectivity for concurrent cognitive associations or diagnostic classification. Changing the readout improved selected concurrent cognitive associations without updating model weights, indicating that performance depended partly on how representations were extracted. Additional post-training and embedding alignment yielded gains in selected settings but did not consistently improve performance across outcomes. In the primary longitudinal analyses, imaging representations did not establish added value beyond baseline clinical measures. These findings show that readout choice influences concurrent cognitive associations, while the added value of these representations for longitudinal outcomes remains unestablished.

bioengineering↗