Novel tuberculosis combination regimens of two and three-months therapy duration

Gumbo, T.; Chapagain, M.; Magombedze, G.; Srivastava, S.; Deshpande, D.; Pasipanodya, J. G.; Gumbo, R.; Dheda, K.; Diacon, A.; Hermann, D. J.; Hanna, D.

doi:10.1101/2022.03.13.484155

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2022.03.13.484155

Novel tuberculosis combination regimens of two and three-months therapy duration

Gumbo, T.·Chapagain, M.·Magombedze, G.·Srivastava, S.·Deshpande, D.·Pasipanodya, J. G.·Gumbo, R.·Dheda, K.·Diacon, A.·Hermann, D. J.·Hanna, D.

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Abstract

The tuberculosis treatment duration is 4-6 months, but can be 18-20 months with multidrug resistance. Ultrashort regimens that cure regardless of resistance status ["pan-tuberculosis regimens"] would be a major step towards global tuberculosis control. Starting with seven drugs [bedaquiline, delamanid, pretomanid, OPC-167832, sutezolid, moxifloxacin, and pyrazinamide] in clinical testing, we calculated that there were thousands of possible novel combinations to evaluate. We used mathematical and pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamic-based hollow fiber modeling to reduce this complexity to nine combinations, which we tested. Each regimens fast and slow growth bacteria kill-slope trajectories and times-to-extinction were estimated and translated to minimum required therapy duration in patients. Sputum microbial kill trajectories of two combination regimens that have undergone clinical testing were correctly predicted by this approach. Four pan-tuberculosis regimens were predicted to achieve relapse-free cure after 2-3 months therapy in patients. The kill-slopes were used to design expedited clinical trials that minimize patients risks.

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Gumbo, T., Chapagain, M., Magombedze, G., Srivastava, S., Deshpande, D., Pasipanodya, J. G., Gumbo, R., Dheda, K., Diacon, A., Hermann, D. J., Hanna, D.. 2022-03-14. Novel tuberculosis combination regimens of two and three-months therapy duration. https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.03.13.484155

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