Reduction of genotyping marker density for genomic selection is not an affordable approach to long-term breeding in cross-pollinated crops

Abstract

The selection of informative markers has been studied massively as an alternative to reduce genotyping costs for the genomic selection (GS) application. Low-density marker panels are attractive for GS because they decrease computational time-consuming and multicollinearity beyond more individuals can be genotyped with the same cost. Nevertheless, these inferences are usually made empirically using "static" training sets and populations, which are adequate only to predict a breeding programs initial cycles but might not for long-term cycles. Moreover, to the best of our knowledge, none of these inferences considered the inclusion of dominance into the GS models, which is particularly important to predict cross-pollinated crops. Therefore, that reveals an important and unexplored topic for allogamous long-term breeding. To achieve this goal, we employed two approaches: the former used empirical maize datasets, and the latter simulations of long-term breeding cycles of phenotypic and genomic recurrent selection (intrapopulation and reciprocal). Then, we observed the reducing marker density effect on populations (mean, the best genotypes performance, accuracy, additive variance) over cycles and models (additive, additive-dominance, specific combining ability (SCA)). Our results indicate that the markers reduction based on different linkage disequili brium (LD) levels is viable only within a cycle and brings a significant decrease in predictive ability over generations. Furthermore, in the long-term, regardless of the selection scheme adopted, the more makers, the better because they buffer LD losses caused by recombination over breeding cycles. Finally, regarding the accuracy, the additive-dominant models tend to outperform the additive ones and perform similar to the SCA.