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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2021.02.01.428991

Associations of weather fronts with pig reproduction and mortality

Reibling, T.·Hagstrand, L.·Maroti-Agots, A.·Barcza, Z.·Solymosi, N.
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Abstract

Farmers and practising veterinarians have long suspected the impact of weather fronts on production and animal health. A common impression is that sows will farrow earlier in connection with a cold front. There might be a correlation between daily mortality and the occurrence of a strong atmospheric front. Population-based quantitative studies on weather fronts effects on animal health and production are very sparse in the scientific literature. In this study, the associations between the weather fronts and daily farrowing incidence, the pregnancy length and the daily death incidence were analysed. The results show that cold front increased the odds of more than daily six farrowings on the day of the front (with at least 3{degrees}C cooling OR: 4.79, 95%CI: 1.08-21.21, p=0.039). On the day of the front, with at least 3{degrees}C temperature change both the cold and the warm front increased the odds of the farrowing on the day [≥] 118th day of the gestation (OR: 3.10, 95%CI: 1.04-9.30, p=0.43 and OR: 4.39, 95%CI: 1.73-11.15, p=0.002, respectively). On the day after the day of front, the odds of farrowing on the [≤] 113th day of gestation are increased, if the temperature decrease was at least 2{degrees}C the OR: 2.30 (95%CI: 1.04-5.06, p=0.039). On the day after the warm front with at least 1{degrees}C temperature increase the odds of more than daily three deaths is increased (OR: 5.44, 95%CI: 1.23-24.05, p=0.025).

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Reibling, T., Hagstrand, L., Maroti-Agots, A., Barcza, Z., Solymosi, N.. 2021-02-02. Associations of weather fronts with pig reproduction and mortality. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.01.428991

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