DETERMINISTIC CRITICAL COMMUNITY SIZE FORTHE SIR SYSTEM AND VIRAL STRAIN SELECTION

Dos Santos, M. F.; Castilho, C.

doi:10.1101/2020.05.08.084673

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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2020.05.08.084673

DETERMINISTIC CRITICAL COMMUNITY SIZE FORTHE SIR SYSTEM AND VIRAL STRAIN SELECTION

Dos Santos, M. F.·Castilho, C.

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Abstract

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWIn this paper the concept of Critical Community Size (CCS) for the deterministic SIR model is introduced and its consequences for the disease dynamics are stressed. The disease can fade out after an outburst. Also the principle of competitive exclusion holds no longer true. This is exemplified for the dynamics of two competing virus strains. The virus with higher R0 can be eradicated from the population.

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Dos Santos, M. F., Castilho, C.. 2020-05-10. DETERMINISTIC CRITICAL COMMUNITY SIZE FORTHE SIR SYSTEM AND VIRAL STRAIN SELECTION. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.08.084673

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