bioRxiv Science⌕ Search
Home/Archive/bioRxiv

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2020.04.02.019075

Rapid community-driven development of a SARS-CoV-2 tissue simulator

Wang, Y.·Heiland, R.·Craig, M.·Davis, C. L.·Ford Versypt, A. N.·Jenner, A.·Ozik, J.·Collier, N.·Cockrell, C.·Becker, A.·An, G.·Glazier, J. A.·Narayanan, A.·Smith, A. M.·Macklin, P.
View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

The 2019 novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, is a pathogen of critical significance to international public health. Knowledge of the interplay between molecular-scale virus-receptor interactions, single-cell viral replication, intracellular-scale viral transport, and emergent tissue-scale viral propagation is limited. Moreover, little is known about immune system-virus-tissue interactions and how these can result in low-level (asymptomatic) infections in some cases and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in others, particularly with respect to presentation in different age groups or pre-existing inflammatory risk factors. Given the nonlinear interactions within and among each of these processes, multiscale simulation models can shed light on the emergent dynamics that lead to divergent outcomes, identify actionable "choke points" for pharmacologic interventions, screen potential therapies, and identify potential biomarkers that differentiate patient outcomes. Given the complexity of the problem and the acute need for an actionable model to guide therapy discovery and optimization, we introduce and iteratively refine a prototype of a multiscale model of SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in lung tissue. The first prototype model was built and shared internationally as open source code and an online interactive model in under 12 hours, and community domain expertise is driving regular refinements. In a sustained community effort, this consortium is integrating data and expertise across virology, immunology, mathematical biology, quantitative systems physiology, cloud and high performance computing, and other domains to accelerate our response to this critical threat to international health. More broadly, this effort is creating a reusable, modular framework for studying viral replication and immune response in tissues, which can also potentially be adapted to related problems in immunology and immunotherapy.

Explore related subjects

systems biologyPreprint

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Wang, Y., Heiland, R., Craig, M., Davis, C. L., Ford Versypt, A. N., Jenner, A., Ozik, J., Collier, N., Cockrell, C., Becker, A., An, G., Glazier, J. A., Narayanan, A., Smith, A. M., Macklin, P.. 2020-04-05. Rapid community-driven development of a SARS-CoV-2 tissue simulator. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.019075

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

bioRxiv2026

Low-fidelity simulator selection for multi-fidelity inference of epithelial vertex models

Vertex models link cell division, neighbour exchange, and intercellular forces to epithelial tissue form through parameters such as junctional line tension and perimeter contractility. Bayesian inference of these parameters from data quantifies their uncertainty, but for stochastic models of proliferating tissues it requires many costly simulations. Multi-fidelity simulation-based inference reduces this cost by training on many runs of a cheaper, less accurate ('low-fidelity') simulator before refining with a few full ('high-fidelity') runs. Low-fidelity versions can be constructed in several ways, for example by stopping simulations early, coarsening the timestep, or averaging fewer replicates, but it is unclear which to choose before committing to costly training. To address this, we introduce PRISM (Paired Ranking Index for Simulator Matching), a screen that compares each candidate with the full simulator on paired runs, scoring agreement in cell-packing statistics against cost. For a vertex model of a proliferating tissue, PRISM flags stopping early as unreliable before training; once trained, this choice can produce confidently wrong parameter estimates. By contrast, a coarser timestep, within the range tested, is cheap and accurate; while fewer replicates are accurate but too costly. Using a screened low-fidelity simulator, multi-fidelity inference outperforms approximate Bayesian computation and neural-network inference trained on full simulations alone, at matched cost and with well-calibrated uncertainty. The same pattern recurs for a second vertex model fitted to published Drosophila pupal-wing imaging data, although there stopping halfway proves safe. Together, our findings suggest that which approximations are safe depends on the model, and that screening them before training makes multi-fidelity inference of tissue mechanics practical.

systems biology↗
bioRxiv2026

Calibrating developmental dynamics from single-cell atlases: lineage paths outrun least-action routes

Single-cell atlases infer developmental dynamics from destructive snapshots, yet how far realized lineage paths depart from such inferred dynamics has never been measured with controls. We introduce LADD (Least-Action Developmental Dynamics), a measurement framework that learns a stochastic developmental vector field from time-series single-cell RNA-seq and computes minimum-action and minimum-time paths, together with a three-layer calibration protocol that separates genuine path deviation from the generic cost of centroid measurement, and we compare its forecasting component with optimal-transport and flow-matching methods. In the lineage-resolved Caenorhabditis elegans atlas, the raw action ratio of observed lineage-centroid trajectories to optimal paths is 3.79, yet forward-simulated ensembles of the learned model itself score 2.07, leaving a genuine excess of about two-fold. In zebrafish (Danio rerio), the observed ratio sits entirely at the model's floor. Three mechanisms that could explain the residual deviation (detours, flow-opposition, and fate-map complexity) are each excluded; what remains is speed, with lineages moving 30-43% faster along the learned flow. We report validity boundaries for temporal resolution, cross-species comparison, and energetic interpretation, delimiting where action-based trajectory comparisons are meaningful.

systems biology↗
bioRxiv2026

Choice of annotation data significantly impacts automated reconstruction of genome-scale metabolic networks

Genome-scale metabolic models are valuable tools for studying metabolism in many applications, such as metabolic engineering or understanding human disease. However, curated models are available for only a limited number of organisms, and generating high-quality models for additional organisms remains a challenge. To help address this challenge, several software tools have been developed that can produce draft models in an automated fashion, but the quality of these draft models lags behind manually curated ones. Thus, there is still a need to improve these tools. Previous work has focused primarily on developing better methods for each step in the reconstruction process, such as gene annotation and gap-filling. Here, we focus on the data that underlies these methods, such as known connections between protein sequence and function. We find that changing the source of reconstruction data has a substantial impact on the contents and predictions of generated models. In fact, the source of data can have a bigger impact than the choice of reconstruction method. Additionally, we show that the reconstruction process is sensitive to the accuracy of gene annotations in the reconstruction data. Finally, we demonstrate the importance of having functional annotation data from an organism that is closely related to the one for which a model is being built. These observations highlight the importance of reconstruction data and identify principles that should be considered when selecting data for reconstruction tools.

systems biology↗