Cholesteryl Ester as a Prognostic Biomarker In IDH-wildtype Glioblastoma
Current treatment of IDH-wildtype glioblastoma (GBM) relies on the first-line chemotherapy-temozolomide. Although MGMT methylation is routinely conducted to predict chemosensitivity, its efficacy is often compromised. Thus, there is an urgent need to discover more accurate prognostic biomarkers. Cholesteryl ester (CE) has been recently recognized as a key feature of GBM, however, its role in GBM prognosis remains poorly understood. We first employed label-free stimulated Raman scattering (SRS) imaging to quantitatively analyze CE level in intact tumor tissues obtained from IDH-wildtype GBM patients. Our result revealed significantly prolonged 2-year overall survival (OS) in patients with CE level [≥] 40% compared to those with CE level < 40%. CE outperformed MGMT methylation for 2-year OS prognosis (AUC: 0.836 vs. 0.763). Importantly, CE also achieved superior prognostic performance over MGMT methylation on an independent cohort, with higher sensitivity (0.856 vs. 0.667), specificity (0.833 vs. 0.583), NPV (1.00 vs. 0.667), PPV (0.833 vs. 0.583). Given synergistic effects between CE and MGMT methylation, we developed a prognostic model combining these two biomarkers. Specially, machine learning (XGBoost) model exhibited optimal performance in the training cohort (AUC: 0.920), and maintained its superior performance on the independent cohort (sensitivity: 0.946, specificity: 0.873, NPV: 1.00; PPV: 0.917). Mechanistically, integrative analysis of TCGA database linked poor prognosis to the coordinated upregulation of genes involved in cholesterol efflux, hydrolysis, transport, and inhibition of de novo synthesis, unraveling a possible underlying mechanism between poor prognosis and cholesterol metabolism. This work identified CE as a prognostic biomarker for IDH-wildtype GBM.