Biology subjects

Zhang, R.

Publications and source records attributed to Zhang, R..

At least 487 records · Page 27Linked to original sources

bioRxiv2021

Geraniol Enhances Inhibitory Inputs to Paraventricular Thalamic Nucleus and Induces Sedation in Mice

Geraniol (GE), a plant-derived acyclic monoterpene, shows a wide variety of beneficial effects. Notably, recent studies have reported the potential sedative effects of GE in fish and rats. However, the mechanisms of GE in sedation remain elusive. Here, we found that GE reduced locomotion, relieved pentylenetetrazol (PTZ)-induced seizures, altered the electroencephalogram (EEG), and facilitated general anesthesia in mice. Meanwhile, GE decreased c-Fos expression and suppressed the calcium activity in the paraventricular thalamic nucleus (PVT). Microinjection of GE into the PVT reduced locomotion and facilitated propofol-induced anesthesia. Furthermore, the electrophysiology results showed that GE-induced dramatic membrane hyperpolarization and suppressed the neuronal activity of PVT neurons, mainly by prolonging spontaneous inhibitory postsynaptic currents and inducing tonic inhibitory currents via GABAA receptors. Our study revealed that GE enhances inhibitory inputs to PVT neurons and induces sedation in mice. These findings provide a potential candidate for further development of sedatives and anesthetics. Graphic Summary O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=156 SRC="FIGDIR/small/441289v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (37K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fd8424org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1ee77caorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@faab42org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@101b921_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2021

Scalable total-evidence inference from molecular and continuous characters in a Bayesian framework

Time-scaled phylogenetic trees are an ultimate goal of evolutionary biology and a necessary ingredient in comparative studies. The accumulation of genomic data has resolved the tree of life to a great extent, yet timing evolutionary events remains challenging if not impossible without external information such as fossil ages and morphological characters. Methods for incorporating morphology in tree estimation have lagged behind their molecular counter-parts, especially in the case of continuous characters. Despite recent advances, such tools are still direly needed as we approach the limits of what molecules can teach us. Here, we implement a suite of state-of-the-art methods for leveraging continuous morphology in phylogenetics, and by conducting extensive simulation studies we thoroughly validate and explore our methods properties. While retaining model generality and scalability, we make it possible to estimate absolute and relative divergence times from multiple continuous characters while accounting for uncertainty. We compile and analyze one of the most data-type diverse data sets to date, comprised of contemporaneous and ancient molecular sequences, and discrete and continuous characters from living and extinct Carnivora taxa. We conclude by synthesizing lessons about our methods behavior, and suggest future research venues.

systems biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Dynamics of switching at stall reveals nonequilibrium mechanism in the allosteric regulation of the bacterial flagellar switch

Behavior of the bacterial flagellar motor depends sensitively on the external loads it drives. Motor switching, which provides the basis for the run-and-tumble behavior of flagellated bacteria, has been studied for motors under zero to high loads, revealing a non-equilibrium effect that is proportional to the motor torque. However, behavior of the motor switching at stall (with maximum torque) remains unclear. An extrapolation from previous studies would suggest maximum non-equilibrium effect for motor switching at stall. Here, we stalled the motor using optical tweezers and studied the motor switching with a high time resolution of about 2 ms. Surprisingly, our results showed exponentially distributed counterclockwise (CCW) and clockwise (CW) intervals, indicating that motor switching at stall is probably an equilibrium process. Combined with previous experiments at other loads, our result suggested that the non-equilibrium effect in motor switching arises from the asymmetry of the torque generation in the CCW and CW directions. By including this non-equilibrium effect in the general Ising-type conformation spread model of the flagellar switch, we consistently explained the motor switching over the whole range of load conditions. We expect to see similar mechanism of non-equilibrium regulation in other molecular machines.

biophysics↗

bioRxiv2021

RNA-seq of the medusavirus suggests remodeling of the host nuclear environment at an early infection stage

Nucleo-cytoplasmic large DNA viruses (NCLDVs) undergo a cytoplasmic or nucleo-cytoplasmic cycle, and the latter involves both nuclear and cytoplasmic compartments to proceed viral replication. Medusavirus, a recently isolated NCLDV, has a nucleo-cytoplasmic replication cycle in amoebas during which the host nuclear membrane apparently remains intact, a unique feature among amoeba-infecting giant viruses. The medusavirus genome lacks most transcription genes but encodes a full set of histone genes. To investigate the infection strategy, we performed a time-course RNA-seq experiment. All the viral genes were transcribed and classified into five temporal expression clusters. The immediate early genes (cluster 1, 42 genes) were mostly (83%) of unknown functions, frequently (95%) associated with a palindromic promoter-like motif, and enriched (45%) in putative nuclear-targeting genes. The later genes (clusters 2-5) were assigned to various functional categories. The viral linker histone H1 gene was in cluster 1, whereas the four core histone genes were in cluster 3, suggesting they had distinct roles during the course of the virus infection. The transcriptional profile of the host amoeba, Acanthamoeba castellanii, genes was greatly altered post-infection. Several encystment-related host genes showed increased representation levels at 48 hours post-infection, which is consistent with the previously reported amoeba encystment upon medusavirus infection. Overall, the transcriptional landscape during the course of medusavirus infection suggests that the virus modifies the host nuclear environment immediately after the initiation of infection. - ImportanceMedusavirus is an amoeba-infecting giant virus that was isolated from a hot spring in Japan. It belongs to the proposed family "Medusaviridae" in the phylum Nucleocytoviricota. Unlike other amoeba-infecting giant viruses, medusavirus initiates its DNA replication in the host nucleus without disrupting the nuclear membrane. Our RNA-seq analysis of its infection course uncovered ordered viral gene expression profiles. We identified temporal expression clusters of viral genes and associated putative promoter motifs. The subcellular localization prediction showed a clear spatiotemporal correlation between gene expression timing and localization of the encoded proteins. Notably, the immediate early expression cluster was enriched in genes targeting the nucleus, suggesting the priority of remodeling the host intra-nuclear environment during infection. The transcriptional profile of the amoeba genes was greatly altered post-infection. Notably, the expression of encystment-related genes increased 48 hours post-infection, suggesting that encystment may be an antiviral strategy of amoeba.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2021

The volatile cedrene from plant beneficial Trichoderma guizhouense modulates Arabidopsis root development through auxin transport and signaling

Rhizosphere microorganisms interact with plant roots by producing chemical signals to regulate root development. However, the involved distinct bioactive compounds and the signal transduction pathways are remaining to be identified. Here, we show that sesquiterpenes (SQTs) are the main volatile compounds produced by plant beneficial Trichoderma guizhouense NJAU 4742, inhibition of SQTs synthesis in this strain indicated their involvement in plant-fungus cross-kingdom signaling. SQTs component analysis further identified the cedrene, a high abundant SQT in strain NJAU 4742, could stimulate plant growth and root development. Genetic analysis and auxin transport inhibition showed that auxin receptor TIR1, AFB2, auxin-responsive protein IAA14, and transcription factor ARF7, ARF19 affect the response of lateral roots to cedrene. Moreover, auxin influx carrier AUX1, efflux carrier PIN2 were also indispensable for cedrene-induced lateral root formation. Confocal imaging showed that cedrene affected the expression of pPIN2:PIN2:GFP and pPIN3:PIN3:GFP, which may be related to the effect of cedrene on root morphology. These results suggest that a novel SQT molecule from plant beneficial T. guizhouense can regulate plant root development through auxin transport and signaling. One-sentence SummaryCedrene, a high- abundance sesquiterpenes produced by plant beneficial Trichoderma guizhouense NJAU 4742, stimulates Arabidopsis lateral root formation and primary root elongation by relying on auxin signaling pathway and auxin transporter PIN2 and AUX1.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2021

Dram1 confers resistance to Salmonella infection

Dram1 is a stress and infection inducible autophagy modulator that functions downstream of transcription factors p53 and NF{kappa}B. Using a zebrafish embryo infection model, we have previously shown that Dram1 provides protection against the intracellular pathogen Mycobacterium marinum by promoting the p62-dependent xenophagy of bacteria that have escaped into the cytosol. However, the possible interplay between Dram1 and other anti-bacterial autophagic mechanisms remains unknown. Recently, LC3-associated phagocytosis (LAP) has emerged as an important host defense mechanism that requires components of the autophagy machinery and targets bacteria directly in phagosomes. Our previous work established LAP as the main autophagic mechanism by which macrophages restrict growth of Salmonella Typhimurium in a systemically infected zebrafish host. We therefore employed this infection model to investigate the possible role of Dram1 in LAP. Morpholino knockdown or CRISPR/Cas9-mediated mutation of Dram1 led to reduced host survival and increased bacterial burden during S. Typhimurium infections. In contrast, overexpression of dram1 by mRNA injection curtailed Salmonella replication and reduced mortality of the infected host. During the early response to infection, GFP-Lc3 levels in transgenic zebrafish larvae correlated with the dram1 expression level, showing over two-fold reduction of GFP-Lc3-Salmonella association in dram1 knockdown or mutant embryos and an approximately 30% increase by dram1 overexpression. Since LAP is known to require the activity of the phagosomal NADPH oxidase, we used a Salmonella biosensor strain to detect bacterial exposure to reactive oxygen species (ROS) and found that the ROS response was largely abolished in the absence of dram1. Together, these results demonstrate the host protective role of Dram1 during S. Typhimurium infection and suggest a functional link between Dram1 and the induction of LAP.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2021

The single-cell epigenetic regulatory landscape in mammalian perinatal testis development

Spermatogenesis depends on an orchestrated series of developing events in germ cells and full maturation of the somatic microenvironment. To date, the majority of efforts to study cellular heterogeneity in testis has been focused on single-cell gene expression rather than the chromatin landscape shaping gene expression. To advance our understanding of the regulatory programs underlying testicular cell types, we analyzed single-cell chromatin accessibility profiles in more than 25,000 cells from mouse developing testis. We showed that scATAC-Seq allowed us to deconvolve distinct cell populations and identify cis-regulatory elements (CREs) underlying cell type specification. We identified sets of transcription factors associated with cell type-specific accessibility, revealing novel regulators of cell fate specification and maintenance. Pseudotime reconstruction revealed detailed regulatory dynamics coordinating the sequential developmental progressions of germ cells and somatic cells. This high-resolution data also revealed putative stem cells within the Sertoli and Leydig cell populations. Further, we defined candidate target cell types and genes of several GWAS signals, including those associated with testosterone levels and coronary artery disease. Collectively, our data provide a blueprint of the regulon of the mouse male germline and supporting somatic cells.

developmental biology↗

bioRxiv2021

PBN-PVT projection modulates negative emotions in mice

Long-lasting negative affections dampen enthusiasm for life, and dealing with negative affective states is essential for individual survival. The parabrachial nucleus (PBN) and the thalamic paraventricular nucleus (PVT) are critical for modulating affective states in mice. However, the functional role of the PBN-PVT projection in modulating affective states remains elusive. Here, we show that the PBN neurons send dense projection fibers to the PVT and form direct excitatory synapses with the PVT neurons. Activation of the PBN-PVT projection or PVT-projecting PBN neurons induces robust anxiety-like, aversion-like, and fear-like behaviors without affecting nociceptive behaviors. Inhibition of the PBN-PVT projection or PVT-projecting PBN neurons reduces fear-like and aversion-like behaviors. Furthermore, the PVT neurons innervated by the PBN are activated by aversive stimulation, and activation of PBN-PVT projection enhances the neuronal activity of PVT neurons in response to the aversive stimulus. Activation of these downstream PVT neurons induces anxiety-like behavior behaviors. Thus, our study indicates that the PBN-PVT projection modulates negative affective states in mice.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2021

TNF Blockade Reduces Prostatic Hyperplasia and Inflammation while Limiting BPH Diagnosis in Patients with Autoimmune Disease

Benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is ostensibly linked to autoimmune (AI) diseases, but whether the prostate is a target of systemic inflammation associated with AI conditions is unknown. Prostatic inflammation is linked to fibrosis, hyperplasia, and reduced responses to BPH-related medical therapies. This study was conducted to determine if AI disease correlates with BPH diagnosis and whether systemic targeting of an inflammatory mediator limits prostatic inflammation and hyperplasia. Patient medical records (n=112,152) were evaluated to determine BPH prevalence among different AI diseases. Inflammatory cells from human BPH tissues were analyzed by single-cell (sc)RNA-seq and the tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-antagonist etanercept was tested in two murine models of prostatic enlargement. BPH prevalence was significantly higher among patients with AI disease compared to unaffected individuals. However, AI patients treated with TNF-antagonists had a significantly reduced incidence of BPH. Data from scRNA- seq identified macrophages as a dominant source of TNF and in vitro assays confirmed that TNF stimulates BPH-derived fibroblast proliferation. In the AI patient cohort and murine models, systemic treatment with TNF-antagonists decreased prostatic epithelial proliferation, macrophage infiltration, and epithelial NF{kappa}B activation compared to control tissues. These studies are the first to show that patients with AI diseases have a heightened susceptibility to BPH and that the TNF-signaling axis is important for BPH pathogenesis. Macrophage-secreted TNF may mechanistically drive BPH via chronic activation of the signaling axis and NF{kappa}B. TNF blockade appears to be a promising new pharmacological approach to target inflammation and suppress BPH. One sentence summaryPatient data and mouse models suggest that repurposing tumor necrosis factor alpha blockade reduces inflammation-mediated prostatic hyperplasia.

cell biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Spike mutations in SARS-CoV-2 variants confer resistance to antibody neutralization

New SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to emerge from the current global pandemic, some of which can replicate faster and with greater transmissibility and pathogenicity. In particular, UK501Y.V1 identified in UK, SA501Y.V2 in South Africa, and BR501Y.V3 in Brazil are raising serious concerns as they spread quickly and contain spike protein mutations that may facilitate escape from current antibody therapies and vaccine protection. Here, we constructed a panel of 28 SARS-CoV-2 pseudoviruses bearing single or combined mutations found in the spike protein of these three variants, as well as additional nine mutations that within or close by the major antigenic sites in the spike protein identified in the GISAID database. These pseudoviruses were tested against a panel of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), including some approved for emergency use to treat SARS-CoV-2 infection, and convalescent patient plasma collected early in the pandemic. SA501Y.V2 pseudovirus was the most resistant, in magnitude and breadth, against mAbs and convalescent plasma, followed by BR501Y.V3, and then UK501Y.V1. This resistance hierarchy corresponds with Y144del and 242-244del mutations in the N-terminal domain as well as K417N/T, E484K and N501Y mutations in the receptor binding domain (RBD). Crystal structural analysis of RBD carrying triple K417N-E484K-N501Y mutations found in SA501Y.V2 bound with mAb P2C-1F11 revealed a molecular basis for antibody neutralization and escape. SA501Y.V2 and BR501Y.V3 also acquired substantial ability to use mouse and mink ACE2 for entry. Taken together, our results clearly demonstrate major antigenic shifts and potentially broadening the host range of SA501Y.V2 and BR501Y.V3, which pose serious challenges to our current antibody therapies and vaccine protection.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2021

High Light and High Temperature Reduce Photosynthesis via Different Mechanisms in the C4 Model Setaria viridis

C4 plants frequently experience damaging high light (HL) and high temperature (HT) conditions in native environments, which reduce growth and yield. However, the mechanisms underlying these stress responses in C4 plants have been under-explored, especially the coordination between mesophyll (M) and bundle sheath (BS) cells. We investigated how the C4 model plant Setaria viridis responded to a four-hour HL or HT treatment at the photosynthetic, transcriptomic, and ultrastructural levels. Although we observed a comparable reduction of photosynthetic efficiency in HL- or HT-treated leaves, detailed analysis of multi-level responses revealed important differences in key pathways and M/BS specificity responding to HL and HT. We provide a systematic analysis of HL and HT responses in S. viridis, reveal different acclimation strategies to these two stresses in C4 plants, discover unique light/temperature responses in C4 plants in comparison to C3 plants, and identify potential targets to improve abiotic stress tolerance in C4 crops.

plant biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Emergent Oscillation Induced by Nutrient-Modulating Growth Feedback

Growth feedback, the inherent coupling between the synthetic gene circuit and the host cell growth, could significantly change the circuit behaviors. Previously, a diverse array of emerged behaviors, such as growth bistability, enhanced ultrasensitivity, and topology-dependent memory loss, were reported to be induced by growth feedback. However, the influence of the growth feedback on the circuit functions remains underexplored. Here, we reported an unexpected oscillatory behavior of a self-activation gene circuit induced by nutrient-modulating growth feedback. Specifically, after dilution of the activated self-activation switch into the fresh medium with moderate nutrient, its gene expression first decreases as the cell grows and then shows a significant overshoot before it reaches the steady states, leading to oscillation dynamics. Fitting the data with a coarse-grained model suggests a nonmonotonic growth-rate regulation on gene production rate. The underlying mechanism of the oscillation was demonstrated by a molecular mathematical model, which includes the ribosome allocation towards gene production, cell growth, and cell maintenance. Interestingly, the model predicted a counterintuitive dependence of oscillation amplitude on the nutrition level, where the highest peak was found in the medium with a moderate nutrient but was not observed in rich nutrient. We experimentally verified this prediction by tuning the nutrient level in the culture medium. We did not observe significant oscillatory behavior for toggle switch, suggesting that the emergence of oscillatory behavior depends on circuit network topology. Our results demonstrated a new nonlinear emergent behavior mediated by growth feedback, which depends on the ribosome allocation between gene circuit and cell growth.

synthetic biology↗

bioRxiv2021

MMP12 Knockout Prevent Weight and Muscle Loss Induced by Cancer Cachexia

Weight loss and muscle wasting can have devastating impacts on survival and quality of life of patients with cancer cachexia. Here, we have established a hybrid mouse of ApcMin/+ mice and MMP12 knockout mice (ApcMin/+; MMP12-/-) and found that knockout MMP12 can suppress the weight and muscle loss of ApcMin/+ mice. In detail, we found that interleukin 6 was highly upregulated in the serum of cancer patients and MMP12 was increased in muscle of tumor-bearing mice. Interestingly, the interleukin 6 secreted by tumor cells led to MMP12 overexpression in the macrophages, which further resulted in degradation of insulin and insulin-like growth factor 1 and interruption of glycolipid metabolism. Notably, depletion of MMP12 prevented weight loss of ApcMin/+ mice. Our study uncovers the critical role of MMP12 in controlling weight and highlights the great potential of MMP12 in the treatment of cancer cachexia.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Natural variations in the P-type ATPase heavy metal transporter ZmCd1 controlling cadmium accumulation in maize grains

Cadmium (Cd) accumulation in maize grains is detrimental to human health. Developing maize varieties with low-Cd contents via marker-assisted selection is important for ensuring the production of maize grains safe for consumption. However, the key gene controlling maize grain Cd accumulation has not been cloned. In this study, we identified two major loci for maize grain Cd accumulation (qCd1 and qCd2) on chromosome 2 during a genome-wide association study (GWAS). The qCd1 locus was analyzed by bulked segregant RNA-seq and fine mapping with a biparental segregating population of Jing724 (low-Cd line) and Mo17 (high-Cd line). The ZmCd1 candidate gene in the qCd1 locus encodes a vacuolar membrane-localized heavy metal P-type ATPase transporter, ZmHMA3, which is orthologous to the tonoplast Cd transporter OsHMA3. Genomic DNA sequence and transcript analyses suggested that a transposon in intron 1 of ZmCd1 is responsible for the abnormal amino acid sequence in Mo17. An EMS mutant analysis and an allelism test confirmed ZmCd1 influences maize grain Cd accumulation. The natural variations in ZmCd1 were used to develop four PCR-based molecular markers, which revealed five ZmCd1 haplotypes in the GWAS population. The molecular markers were also used to predict the grain Cd contents in commonly cultivated maize germplasms in China. The predicted Cd contents for 36 inbred lines and 13 hybrids were consistent with the measured Cd contents. Furthermore, several low-Cd elite inbred lines and hybrids were identified, including Jing2416, MC01, Jingnonke728, and Jingke968. Therefore, the molecular markers developed in this study are applicable for molecular breeding and developing maize varieties with low grain Cd contents.

plant biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Network Analysis Reveals Synergistic Genetic Dependencies for Rational Combination Therapy in Philadelphia Chromosome-like Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

Systems biology approaches can identify critical targets in complex cancer signaling networks to inform therapy combinations and overcome conventional treatment resistance. Herein, we developed a data-driven, network controllability-based approach to identify synergistic key regulator targets in Philadelphia chromosome-like B-acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph-like B-ALL), a high-risk leukemia subtype associated with hyperactive signal transduction and chemoresistance. Integrated analysis of 1,046 childhood B-ALL cases identified 14 dysregulated network nodes in Ph-like ALL involved in aberrant JAK/STAT, Ras/MAPK, and apoptosis pathways and other critical processes. Consistent with network controllability theory, combination small molecule inhibitor therapy targeting a pair of key nodes shifted the transcriptomic state of Ph-like ALL cells to become less like kinase-activated BCR-ABL1-rearranged (Ph+) B-ALL and more similar to prognostically-favorable childhood B-ALL subtypes. Functional validation experiments further demonstrated enhanced anti-leukemia efficacy of combining the BCL-2 inhibitor venetoclax with tyrosine kinase inhibitors ruxolitinib or dasatinib in vitro in human Ph-like ALL cell lines and in vivo in multiple patient-derived xenograft models. Our study represents a broadly-applicable conceptual framework for combinatorial drug discovery, based on systematic interrogation of synergistic vulnerability pathways with pharmacologic targeted validation in sophisticated preclinical human leukemia models.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Single-cell and single-variant resolution analysis of clonal evolution in human liver cancer

Genetic heterogeneity of tumor is closely related to clonal evolution, phenotypic diversity and treatment resistance. Such heterogeneity has been characterized in liver cancer at single-cell sub-chromosomal scale, and a more precise single-variant resolution analysis is lacking. Here we employed a strategy to analyze both the single-cell genomic mutations and transcriptomic changes in 5 patients with liver cancer. Target sequencing was done for a total of 480 single cells in a patient-specific manner. DNA copy number status of point mutations was obtained from single-cell mutational profiling. The clonal structures of liver cancers were then uncovered at single-variant resolution, and mutation combinations in single cells enabled reconstruction of their evolutionary history. A common origin but independent evolutionary fate was revealed for primary liver tumor and intrahepatic metastatic portal vein tumor thrombus. The mutational signature suggested early evolutionary process may be related to specific etiology like aristolochic acids. By parallel single-cell RNA-Seq, the transcriptomic phenotype was found to be related with genetic heterogeneity in liver cancer. We reconstructed the single-cell and single-variant resolution clonal evolutionary history of liver cancer, and dissection of both genetic and phenotypic heterogeneity provides knowledge for mechanistic understanding of liver cancer initiation and progression.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Sequencing of clinical samples reveals that adaptation keeps establishing during H7N9 virus infection in humans

The H7 subtype avian influenza viruses (AIV) have a much longer history and their adaptation through evolution pose continuous threat to humans 1. Since 2013 March, the novel reasserted H7N9 subtype have transmitted to humans through their repeated assertion in the poultry market. Through repeated transmission, H7N9 gradually became the second AIV subtype posing greater public health risk after H5N1 2,3. After infection, how the virus tunes its genome to adapt and evolve in humans remains unknown. Through direct amplification of H7N9 and high throughput (HT) sequencing of full genomes from the swabs and lower respiratory tract samples collected from infected patients in Shenzhen, China, we have analyzed the in vivo H7N9 mutations at the level of whole genomes and have compared with the genomes derived by in vitro cultures. These comparisons and frequency analysis against the H7N9 genomes in the public database, 40 amino acids were identified that play potential roles in virus adaptation during H7N9 infection in humans. Various synonymous mutations were also identified that might be crucial to H7N9 adaptation in humans. The mechanism of these mutations occurred in a single infection are discussed in this study.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

Effects of climatic warming on spring phenology in subtropical trees: process-based modelling with experiments designed for model development

To project the effects of climatic warming on the timing of spring leafout and flowering in trees, process-based tree phenology models are often used nowadays. Unfortunately, the biological realism of the models is often compromised because the model development has often been based on various assumptions and indirect methods. We developed process-based tree phenology models for four subtropical tree species, and for the first time for these trees, we based the model development on explicit experimental work particularly designed to address the processes being modelled. For all the four species, a model of seedling leafout was developed, and for Torreya grandis, a model for female flowering in adult trees was additionally developed. The models generally showed reasonable accuracy when tested against two sources of independent data: observational phenological records and leafout data from a whole-tree chamber warming experiment. In scenario simulations, the models projected an advanced spring phenology under climatic warming for 2020 - 2100. For the leafout of seedlings, the advancing rates varied between 4.7 and 5.9 days per one {degrees}C warming, with no major differences found between the climatic scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. For Torreya flowering, less advancing was projected, and the projected advancing per one {degrees}C warming was less for RCP8.5 (0.9 days / {degrees}C) than for RCP4.5 (2.3 days / {degrees}C). The low advancing rates of Torreya flowering were caused by reduced chilling under the warming climate and by the particular temperature responses found for Torreya flowering. For instance, our results show that in Torreya flower buds, no rest break (endodormancy release) is seen at +15 {degrees}C, whereas in the seedlings of all four species, +15 {degrees}C has a clear rest-breaking effect. These findings highlight the need to base the model development on explicit experiments particularly designed to address the process being modelled.

ecology↗