Biology subjects

Zavala-Paez, M.

Publications and source records attributed to Zavala-Paez, M..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Genetic variation underlying plasticity in physiological traits mediates response to climate in a Populus hybrid zone

Phenotypic plasticity can buffer the potential fitness consequences of environmental change, yet limited understanding of its genetic basis constrains its application to predicting population response to future climates. Hybrid zones provide powerful systems to study the genetic basis of plasticity because admixture can create novel allele combinations that generate new reaction norms for selection to act upon. Here, we combine two clonally replicated common gardens of Populus trichocarpa x P. balsamifera genotypes with whole-genome resequencing to identify genetic variation underlying plasticity for physiological traits. Admixed genotypes exhibited broader, and in some cases novel, reaction norms relative to parental genotypes, particularly for key stomatal traits. Admixture mapping of genotype-specific reaction norms identified ten candidate genes on chromosome 15, including TWIST, associated with plasticity in adaxial stomatal occurrence and density. Using random forest models, we projected allele-specific responses to climate warming within the hybrid zone to link genetic variation in plasticity with predicted warming. Random forest models forecast that future climates would favor P. trichocarpa alleles at TWIST, while P. balsamifera alleles would be maintained in heterozygous genotypes. These results suggest that hybridization can expand reaction norms and maintain genetic variation that may facilitate rapid phenotypic response needed to adapt to climate change.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Phenotypic plasticity evolved for climate variability constrains performance under climate warming

Phenotypic plasticity allows plants to rapidly respond to changing environments without the need for evolutionary change or migration. While selection can create variation in plasticity across natural populations, these responses are not adaptive in all environments. To predict whether plasticity will be adaptive requires evaluation of its fitness effects across a range of environments, including novel ones. Here, we test how traits and their plasticity vary for genotypes collected across a natural hybrid zone between two tree species with contrasting climatic niches. Fast-growing Populus trichocarpa inhabits maritime environments with relatively warm and stable temperatures, while P. balsamifera inhabits continental environments with cold winters and large temperature variance throughout the year. We planted 44 clonally replicated genotypes into thirteen common gardens and measured vegetative phenology, leaf morphology, stomata morphology and conductance, and photochemistry. Overall, genotypes from colder, more continental environments exhibited higher plasticity. P. balsamifera ancestry was associated with increased plasticity in timing of fall phenology, stomatal conductance, and leaf mass per unit area. We assessed the effects of trait plasticity on fitness estimated as yearly growth across common gardens and found that the plasticity-fitness relationship was often garden-specific, indicating that the planting environment did not consistently mediate plasticity-fitness relationships. When the effects of trait plasticity on growth varied by garden temperature, higher plasticity generally had neutral or negative associations with growth in warmer environments. These results suggest that elevated plasticity evolved in a P. balsamifera genomic background as part of a climate generalist strategy to seasonal temperature variability, but that there is a trade-off between plasticity and growth in warmer environments. Consequently, less-plastic but warm-adapted P. trichocarpa genotypes are likely to have a fitness advantage under warming climates. These results demonstrate that plasticity may sometimes be maladaptive and will not be universally beneficial in a warming world.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

Variation in responses to temperature across admixed genotypes of Populus trichocarpa x P. balsamifera predict geographic shifts in regions where hybrids are favored

O_LIPlastic responses of plants to their environment vary as a result of genetic differentiation within and among species. To accurately predict rangewide responses to climate change, it is necessary to characterize genotype-specific reaction norms across the continuum of historic and future climate conditions comprising a species range. C_LIO_LIThe North American hybrid zone of Populus trichocarpa and P. balsamifera represents a natural system that has been shaped by climate, geography, and introgression. We leverage a dataset containing 45 clonal genotypes from this natural hybrid zone, planted across 17 replicated common garden experiments spanning a broad climatic range. Growth and mortality were measured over two years, enabling us to model reaction norms for each genotype across these tested environments. C_LIO_LISpecies ancestry and intraspecific genomic variation significantly influenced growth across environments, with genotypic variation in reaction norms reflecting a trade-off between cold tolerance and growth. Using modeled reaction norms for each genotype, we predicted that genotypes with more P. trichocarpa ancestry may gain an advantage under warmer climates. C_LIO_LISpatial shifts of the hybrid zone could facilitate the spread of beneficial alleles into novel climates. These results highlight that genotypic variation in responses to temperature will have landscape-level effects. C_LI

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

The role of cytonuclear interactions to plant adaptation across a Populus hybrid zone

Co-adaptation of cytoplasmic and nuclear genomes are critical to physiological function for many species. Despite this understanding, hybridization can disrupt co-adaptation leading to a mismatch between maternally-inherited cytoplasmic genomes and biparentally inherited nuclear genomes. Few studies have examined the consequences of cytonuclear interactions to physiological function across environments. Here, we quantify the degree of co-introgression between chloroplast and nuclear-chloroplast (N-cp) genes across repeated hybrid zones and its consequences to physiological function across environments. We use whole-genome resequencing and common garden experiments with clonally replicated genotypes sampled across the natural hybrid zone between Populus trichocarpa and P. balsamifera. We use geographic clines to test for co-introgression of the chloroplast genome with N-cp and non-interacting nuclear genes. Co-introgression of chloroplast and N-cp genes was limited although contact zone-specific patterns suggest that local environments may influence co-introgression. Combining ancestry estimates with phenotypic data across common gardens revealed that mismatches between chloroplast and nuclear ancestry can influence physiological performance, but the strength and direction of these effects vary depending on the environment. Overall, this study highlights the importance of cytonuclear interactions to adaptation, and the role of environment in modifying the effect of those interactions.

evolutionary biology↗