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Zaehle, S.

Publications and source records attributed to Zaehle, S..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Diagnosing linearity along the carbon cascade in terrestrial biosphere models

Elevated carbon dioxide (eCO2) fertilises photosynthesis, driving an increase in terrestrial gross primary production (GPP). However, it is unclear how effectively increased GPP propagates along the "carbon (C) cascade" to increase net primary production (NPP) and vegetation C stocks (Cveg) in different plant compartments. Vegetation models simulate divergent C cycle projections and have been criticised for being overly photosynthesis-driven (source-driven), neglecting processes that lead to non-linear behaviour in response to the GPP increase, which may attenuate (or amplify) changes in NPP and vegetation C stocks. Here, we introduce an analytical framework to diagnose linearity (L) of the land C cycle as the ratio of relative changes in linked fluxes and pools and apply it to outputs from 16 models of the TRENDY v11 ensemble. We found widely varying patterns in L across models and for the different links. Six models showed a clear dominance of larger relative changes in NPP than in GPP in global simulations (LNPP:GPP >1 for >60% of gridcells), indicating increased carbon use efficiency under eCO2. Only three models had LNPP:GPP < 1 for >60% of gridcells. Four models showed a clear dominance of larger relative changes in steady-state Cveg than in NPP, while five models showed an opposite pattern - in both cases with a large spread of LCveg*:NPP across gridcells within models. Three models showed a larger relative increase in root C than in Cveg, while two models showed a clear dominance of the opposite pattern. Widely differing distributions of L across models and links reveal a strong influence of alternative process representations (nonlinear behaviour) in individual models. However, for all links, L deviations from 1 were roughly balanced across the model ensemble, leading to an overall linear behaviour of terrestrial C cycle representations.

ecology↗

Long-term ecosystem nitrogen limitation from foliar δ15N data and a land surface model

The effect of nutrient availability on plant growth and the terrestrial carbon sink under climate change and elevated CO2 remains one of the main uncertainties of the terrestrial carbon cycle. This is partially due to the difficulty of assessing nutrient limitation at large scales over long periods of time. Consistent declines in leaf nitrogen (N) content and leaf {delta}15N have been used to suggest that nitrogen limitation has increased in recent decades, most likely due to the concurrent increase in atmospheric CO2. However, such datasets are often not straightforward to interpret due to the complex factors that contribute to the spatial and temporal variation in leaf N and isotope concentration. We use the land surface model QUINCY, which has the unique capacity to represent N isotopic processes, in conjunction with two large datasets of foliar N and N isotope content. We run the model with different scenarios to test whether foliar {delta}15N isotopic data can be used to infer large scale nitrogen limitation and if the observed trends are caused by increasing atmospheric CO2, changes in climate or changes in sources of anthropogenic N deposition. We show that while the model can capture the observed change in leaf N content and predicts widespread increases in N limitation, it does not capture the pronounced, but very spatially heterogeneous, decrease in foliar {delta}15N observed in the data across the globe. The addition of an observed temporal trend in isotopic composition of N deposition leads to a more pronounced decrease in simulated leaf {delta}15N. Our results show that leaf {delta}15N observations should not, on their own, be used to assess global scale N limitation and that using such a dataset in conjunction with a land surface model can reveal the drivers behind the observed patterns.

ecology↗

Whole-plant optimality predicts changes in leaf nitrogen under variable CO2 and nutrient availability

O_LIVegetation nutrient limitation is essential for understanding ecosystem responses to global change. In particular, leaf nitrogen (N) is known to be plastic under changed nutrient limitation. However, models can often not capture these observed changes, leading to erroneous predictions of whole-ecosystem stocks and fluxes.\nC_LIO_LIWe hypothesise that an optimality approach can improve representation of leaf N content compared to existing empirical approaches. Unlike previous optimality-based approaches, which adjust foliar N concentrations based on canopy carbon export, we use a maximisation criteria based on whole-plant growth and allow for a lagged response of foliar N to this maximisation criterion to account for the limited plasticity of this plant trait. We test these model variants at a range of Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) and N fertilisation experimental sites.\nC_LIO_LIWe show a model solely based on canopy carbon export fails to reproduce observed patterns and predicts decreasing leaf N content with increased N availability. However, an optimal model which maximises total plant growth can correctly reproduce the observed patterns.\nC_LIO_LIThe optimality model we present here is a whole-plant approach which reproduces biologically realistic changes in leaf N and can thereby improve ecosystem-level predictions under transient conditions.\nC_LI

ecology↗