Biology subjects

Yakob, L.

Publications and source records attributed to Yakob, L..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2018

Detection of a novel insect specific flavivirus across ecologically diverse populations of Aedes aegypti on the Caribbean Island of Saint Lucia

Outbreaks of mosquito-borne arboviral diseases including dengue virus (DENV), Zika virus (ZIKV), yellow fever virus (YFV) and chikungunya virus (CHIKV) have recently occurred in the Caribbean. The geographical range of the principle vectors responsible for transmission, Aedes (Ae.) aegypti and Ae. albopictus is increasing and greater mosquito surveillance is needed in the Caribbean given international tourism is so prominent. The island of Saint Lucia has seen outbreaks of DENV and CHIKV in the past five years but vector surveillance has been limited with the last studies dating back to the late 1970s. Natural disasters have changed the landscape of Saint Lucia and the island has gone through significant urbanisation. In this study, we conducted an entomological survey of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus distribution across the island and analysed environmental parameters associated with the presence of these species. Although we collected Ae. aegypti across a range of sites across the island, no Ae. albopictus were collected despite traps being placed in diverse ecological settings. The number of Ae. aegypti collected was significantly associated with higher elevation and semi-urban settings yielded female mosquito counts per trap-day that were 5-fold lower than urban settings. Screening for arboviruses revealed a high prevalence of a novel insect-specific flavivirus closely related to cell fusing agent virus (CFAV). We discuss the implications that natural disasters, water storage and lack of mosquito surveillance have on arboviral outbreaks in Saint Lucia and implications for insect only flaviviruses on surveillance and detection of pathogenic flaviviruses.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Malaria control dynamics may explain inconsistent outcomes from bednet trials: a modeling study

BACKGROUNDLong-lasting insecticidal bednets have unparalleled efficacy in reducing malaria burden. However, insecticidal resistance and bednet avoidance behaviors among the mosquito vectors are now widespread.\n\nMETHODSReviewing the relevant field and semi-field studies highlights the ubiquity of zoophagic and spatiotemporal (biting outdoors or at different times of day) plasticity among vectors in response to bednet deployment. Transmission models coupled with the population genetics of vectors are developed to assess the impact on malaria control caused by insecticide resistance and the avoidance behaviors of mosquitoes.\n\nRESULTSInteractions between physiological resistance and behavioral resilience among mosquito vectors can significantly impact malaria control efforts both in the short- and long-term. The possibility of misleading observations from injudiciously timed assessments of malaria control programs is demonstrated through simulation.\n\nCONCLUSIONSCurrently, there are no guidelines to inform when during a bednet trial its effectiveness should be measured. The importance of this oversight is described in the context of recent randomized controlled bednet trials.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Assessing the blood-host plasticity and dispersal rate of the malaria vector Anopheles coluzzii

Difficulties with observing the dispersal of insect vectors in the field have hampered understanding of several aspects of their behaviour linked to disease transmission. Here, a novel method based on detection of blood-meal sources is introduced to inform two critical and understudied mosquito behaviours: plasticity in the malaria vectors blood-host choice and vector dispersal. Strategically located collections of Anopheles coluzzii from a malaria-endemic village of southern Ghana showed statistically significant variation in host species composition of mosquito blood-meals. Trialling a new sampling approach gave the first estimates for the remarkably local spatial scale across which host choice is plastic. Using quantitative PCR, the blood-meal digestion was then quantified for field-caught mosquitoes and calibrated according to timed blood digestion in colony mosquitoes. We demonstrate how this new molecular Sella score approach can be used to estimate the dispersal rate of blood-feeding vectors caught in the field.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the human blood index of the major African malaria vectors

BACKGROUNDThe proportion of mosquito blood-meals that are of human origin, referred to as the human blood index or HBI, is a key determinant of malaria transmission. We conducted a systematic review of the HBI for the major African malaria vectors.\n\nRESULTSEvidence is presented for higher HBI among Anopheles gambiae (M/S forms and An. coluzzii/An. gambiae s.s. are not distinguished for most studies and therefore combined) as well as An. funestus when compared with An. arabiensis (prevalence odds ratio adjusted for collection location [i.e. indoor or outdoor]: 1.62; 95%CI 1.09-2.42; 1.84; 95%CI 1.35-2.52, respectively). This finding is keeping with the entomological literature which describes An. arabiensis to be more zoophagic than the other major African vectors. However, analysis also revealed that HBI was more associated with location of mosquito captures (R2=0.29) than with mosquito (sibling) species (R2=0.11).\n\nCONCLUSIONSOur findings call into question the appropriateness of current methods of assessing host preferences among disease vectors and have important implications for strategizing vector control.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis

Background Zika virus (ZIKV) emerged in Latin America & the Caribbean (LAC) region in 2013, and has had serious implications for population health in the region. In 2016, the World Health Organization declared the ZIKV outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern following a cluster of associated neurological disorders and neonatal malformations. In 2017, Zika cases declined, but future incidence in LAC remains uncertain due to gaps in our understanding, considerable variation in surveillance and a lack of a comprehensive collation of data from affected countries.\n\nMethods Our analysis combines information on confirmed and suspected Zika cases across LAC countries and a spatio-temporal dynamic transmission model for ZIKV infection to determine key transmission parameters and projected incidence in 91 major cities within 35 countries. Seasonality was determined by spatio-temporal estimates of Aedes aegypti vector capacity. We used country and state-level data from 2015 to mid-2017 to infer key model parameters, country-specific disease reporting rates, and the 2018 projected incidence. A 10-fold cross-validation approach was used to validate parameter estimates to out-of-sample epidemic trajectories.\n\nResults There was limited transmission in 2015, but in 2016 and 2017 there was sufficient opportunity for wide-spread ZIKV transmission in most cities, resulting in the depletion of susceptible individuals. We predict that the highest number of cases in 2018 within some Brazilian States (Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro), Colombia and French Guiana, but the estimated number of cases were no more than a few hundred. Model estimates of the timing of the peak in incidence were correlated (p<0.05) with the reported peak in incidence. The reporting rate varied across countries, with lower reporting rates for those with only confirmed cases compared to those who reported both confirmed and suspected cases.\n\nConclusions The findings suggest that the ZIKV epidemic is by and large over, with incidence projected to be low in most cities in LAC in 2018. Local low levels of transmission are probable but the estimated rate of infection suggests that most cities have a population with high levels of herd immunity.

epidemiology↗