Wohlwend, J. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2023

Improving influenza A vaccine strain selection through deep evolutionary models

Current vaccines provide limited protection against rapidly evolving viruses. For example, the flu vaccines effectiveness has averaged below 40% for the past five years. Today, clinical outcomes of vaccine effectiveness can only be assessed retrospectively. Since vaccine strains are selected at least six months ahead of flu season, prospective estimation of their effectiveness is crucial but remains under-explored. In this paper, we propose an in-silico method named VaxSeer that selects vaccine strains based on their coverage scores, which quantifies expected vaccine effectiveness in future seasons. This score considers both the future dominance of circulating viruses and antigenic profiles of vaccine candidates. Based on historical WHO data, our approach consistently selects superior strains than the annual recommendations. Finally, the prospective coverage score exhibits a strong correlation with retrospective vaccine effectiveness and reduced disease burden, highlighting the promise of this framework in driving the vaccine selection process.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2022

Annotating metabolite mass spectra with domain-inspired chemical formula transformers

Metabolomic studies have succeeded in identifying small molecule metabolites that mediate cell signaling, competition, and disease pathology in part due to large-scale community efforts to measure mass spectra for thousands of metabolite standards. Nevertheless, the vast majority of spectra observed in clinical samples cannot be unambiguously matched to known structures, suggesting powerful opportunities for further discoveries in the dark metabolome. Deep learning approaches to small molecule structure elucidation have surprisingly failed to rival classical statistical methods, which we hypothesize is due to the lack of in-domain knowledge incorporated into current neural network architectures. We introduce a new neural network driven workflow for untargeted metabolomics, Metabolite Inference with Spectrum Transformers (MIST), to annotate mass spectrometry peaks with chemical structures generalizing beyond known standards. Unlike other neural approaches, MIST incorporates domain insights into its architecture by forcing the network to more directly link peaks to physical atom representations, neutral losses, and chemical substructures. MIST outperforms both standard neural architectures and the state-of-the-art kernel method on fingerprint prediction from spectra for over 70% of metabolite standards and retrieves over 66% of metabolites with equal or improved accuracy, with 29% strictly better. We further demonstrate the utility of MIST in a prospective setting to identify new differentially abundant metabolite structures from an inflammatory bowel disease patient cohort and subsequently annotate dipeptides and alkaloid compounds without spectral standards.

bioinformatics↗