Biology subjects

Waade, P. T.

Publications and source records attributed to Waade, P. T..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Modelling Metacognition: A Joint Prediction-Confidence Model for Predictive Inference Task Data

Metacognition is the ability to reflect on and evaluate our own cognitive processes. It is often altered in psychopathology. Yet, the computational mechanisms underlying these alterations remain unclear. In this work, we extend Hierarchical Gaussian Filter (HGF) models to jointly fit trial-by-trial predictions and confidence ratings in a predictive inference task, providing an individualised characterisation on metacognitive processing. Applying our cognitive computational model to a large subclinical open dataset (N=430), we are able to achieve, on average, excellent fit of prediction responses [Formula] and a moderate to good fit of confidence ratings [Formula]. Analysis of experimental change-points revealed that our model accurately captures confidence self-reports dynamics around these change-points. Posterior parameter estimates reveal a negative effect of sensory input prediction errors and a positive effect of sensory input prediction precision on confidence ratings, respectively. In addition, we replicate state-of-the-art findings related to compulsivity as measured by a transdiagnostic factor score, such as inflated confidence and a decoupling of action updates (here, prediction errors) and confidence in compulsivity. These results demonstrate the robustness of our methodology and the potential of joint prediction-confidence modelling to uncover latent metacognitive alterations in psychopathology.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2026

Persisting perceptual abnormalities in psychedelic users are associated with conditioned hallucinations and impaired sensory processing

Serotonergic psychedelics (SP) are increasingly used in clinical research and naturalistic settings, but their psychotic-like side effects, including persisting perceptual abnormalities (PPAs), are poorly understood. Psychosis-associated hallucinations are associated with susceptibility to conditioned hallucinations and computationally-estimated overweighting of perceptual expectations, or priors. However, SPs are widely argued to reduce prior weighting. We surveyed 186 naturalistic SP users on prior SP use, SP-associated PPA history, and current PPAs. Participants completed the visual conditioned hallucinations (VCH) task, in which conditioning induces perception of absent stimuli. Behavioral data were used to fit parameters of a computational model to estimate latent states driving percepts and responses. Past and current PPAs were associated with younger age at first use and higher SP doses, lower visual thresholds, higher VCH rate and confidence, and reduced sensory discrimination. Among model parameters, however, only reduced decision precision tracked both measures and mediated the dose-PPA relationship; relative prior weighting rose equivocally, as expected when priors and sensory evidence gain precision together. SP-related PPAs may therefore arise from a noisy visual system biased toward detection, in which priors act as templates that convert sensory noise into expected percepts. These findings may point to a tractable model for how psychotic-like perception emerges.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2025

Neurochemical markers of uncertainty processing in humans

How individuals process and respond to uncertainty has important implications for cognition and mental health. Here we use computational phenotyping to examine individualised "uncertainty fingerprints" in relation to neurometabolites and trait anxiety in humans. We introduce a novel categorical state-transition extension of the Hierarchical Gaussian Filter (HGF) to capture implicit learning in a four-choice probabilistic sensorimotor reversal learning task by tracking beliefs about stimulus transitions. Using 7-Tesla Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy, we measured baseline neurotransmitter levels in the primary motor cortex (M1). Model-based results revealed dynamic belief updating in response to environmental changes. We further found region-specific relationships between M1 glutamate+ glutamine levels and prediction errors and volatility beliefs, revealing an important neural marker of probabilistic reversal learning in humans. High trait anxiety was associated with faster post-reversal responses. By integrating computational modelling with neurochemical assessments, this study provides novel insights into the neurocomputations that drive individual differences in processing uncertainty.

neuroscience↗