Biology subjects

Visscher, P. M.

Publications and source records attributed to Visscher, P. M..

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

From Nagelkerke's R2 to Liability-Scale Variance Explained for Polygenic Scores

It is desirable to quantify the prediction accuracy of polygenic scores (PGS) for disease on the scale of liability and adjusted for case-control ascertainment in the test sample, because that allows comparison across prevalence and ascertainment. Previous expressions have focused in their derivation and implementation on linear regression on the observed 0-1 scale followed by a transformation of the coefficient of determination (R2) to the scale of liability, adjusted for ascertainment. Yet most statistical analyses with empirical data use logistic regression. The differences in scale have led to confusion and incorrect transformations in the literature. Here we provide a new derivation and simple equation, validated by simulation, that allows a direct transformation from the empirical results from logistic regression to the scale of liability.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2026

Quantifying annotation-stratified pleiotropy and co-polygenicity between complex traits

Understanding shared genetic architecture is essential to interpreting disease comorbidities and trait correlations. We introduce SBayesAPP, a Bayesian model that integrates GWAS summary statistics with functional annotations to jointly estimate annotation-stratified SNP effect-size correlation and pleiotropic variant proportion (co-polygenicity) between traits, dissecting genetic correlation and coheritability enrichment across annotations. Simulations and real data analyses show improved accuracy and interpretability over existing methods. In type 2 diabetes analyses with 15 traits, SBayesAPP reveals clear tissue- and cell-type-specific enrichment and distinguishes mechanisms driven by few large-effect variants versus many modest-effect variants. The analysis of smoking and lung cancer prioritizes lung and immune cells, and identifies cell-type-specific genetic correlations driven by either pleiotropic or lung-cancer-specific variants, consistent with a causal relationship model. For schizophrenia and educational attainment, despite near-zero genome-wide genetic correlation, cell-type-specific correlations range from -0.20 to 0.21, with strong (co)heritability enrichment and high co-polygenicity found in dopaminergic neurons and oligodendrocytes. These results highlight the ability of SBayesAPP to resolve annotation-specific genetic sharing and uncover biological mechanisms across complex traits.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Multi-ancestry conditional and joint analysis (Manc-COJO) applied to GWAS summary statistics

Conditional and joint (COJO) analysis of genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) independently associated with a trait is standard in post-GWAS pipelines. GWAS meta-analyses are increasingly conducted across multiple ancestry groups but how to perform COJO in a multi-ancestry context is not known. Here we introduce Manc-COJO, a method for multi-ancestry COJO analysis. Simulations and real-data analyses show that Manc-COJO improves the detection of independent association signals and reduces false positives compared to COJO and ad hoc adaptations for multi-ancestry use. We also introduce Manc-COJO:MDISA, a follow-up within ancestry algorithm to identify ancestry-specific associations after fitting Manc-COJO identified SNPs. The C++ implementation of Manc-COJO substantially improves on computational efficiency (for single ancestry >120 times faster than GCTA-COJO software) and supports linkage disequilibrium references derived either from individual-level genotype data or pre-computed matrices, facilitating analysis when data sharing is limited.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2026

Converging evidence of positive selection at height-associated loci in Europe

The contribution of natural selection to height differences across Europe remains elusive. Prior evidence of selection on height based on genome-wide association study (GWAS) data has been challenged because of residual confounding in earlier GWAS results. Here, we reassess this evidence using complementary approaches integrating multi-ancestry and within-family GWAS data with allele frequency estimates from 13 European ancestry populations. We detect signatures of positive selection at height-associated loci within and across populations, which remain significant after accounting for ancient admixture events and is largely driven by allele frequency differences between the Netherlands and other European ancestry populations. Altogether, our results provide new and converging evidence of polygenic adaptation on height in Europe.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

Large effect loci have a prominent role in Darwin's finch evolution

A fundamental goal in evolutionary biology is to understand the genetic architecture of adaptive traits and its evolutionary relevance. Using whole-genome data of 3,958 Darwins finches on the Galapagos Island of Daphne Major we identify six loci of large effect that explain 46% of the variation in beak size of Geospiza fortis, a key ecological trait. Allele frequency changes across 30 years at these loci affected beak morphology in two ways. An abrupt change in beak size occurred in Geospiza fortis as a result of natural selection associated with a drought, and a more gradual change occurred in G. scandens as a result of introgressive hybridization. This study demonstrates how large effect loci are a major contributor to the genetic architecture of rapid diversification during adaptive radiations. One Sentence SummaryAllele frequency change at six loci of large effect causes evolutionary change in key ecological traits.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Leveraging functional genomic annotations and genome coverage to improve polygenic prediction of complex traits within and between ancestries

We develop a new method, SBayesRC, that integrates GWAS summary statistics with functional genomic annotations to improve polygenic prediction of complex traits. Our method is scalable to whole-genome variant analysis and refines signals from functional annotations by allowing them to affect both causal variant probability and causal effect distribution. We analyse 28 traits in the UK Biobank using [~]7 million common SNPs and 96 annotations. SBayesRC improves prediction accuracy by 14% in European ancestry and by up to 33% in trans-ancestry prediction, compared to the baseline method SBayesR which does not use annotations, and outperforms state-of-the-art methods LDpred-funct, PolyPred-S and PRS-CSx by 12-15%. Investigation of factors affecting prediction accuracy identified a significant interaction between SNP density and annotation information, encouraging future use of whole-genome sequence variants for prediction. Functional partitioning analysis highlights a major contribution of evolutionary constrained regions to prediction accuracy and the largest per-SNP contribution from non-synonymous SNPs.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

mBAT-combo: a more powerful test to detect gene-trait associations from GWAS data

Gene-based association tests aggregate multiple SNP-trait associations into sets defined by gene boundaries. Since genes have a direct biological link to downstream function, gene-based test results are widely used in post-GWAS analysis. A common approach for gene-based tests is to combine SNPs associations by computing the sum of{chi} 2 statistics. However, this strategy ignores the directions of SNP effects, which could result in a loss of power for SNPs with masking effects (e.g., when the product of the effects of two SNPs and their linkage disequilibrium (LD) correlation is negative). Here, we introduce "mBAT-combo", a new set-based test that is better powered than other methods to detect multi-SNP associations in the context of masking effects. We validate the method through simulations and applications to real data. We find that of 35 blood and urine biomarker traits in the UK Biobank, 34 traits show evidence for masking effects in a total of 4,175 gene-trait pairs, indicating that masking effects in complex traits is common. We further validate the improved power of our method in height, body mass index and schizophrenia with different GWAS sample sizes and show that on average 95.7% of the genes detected only by mBAT-combo with smaller sample sizes can be identified by the single-SNP approach with larger sample sizes (average sample size increased by 1.7-fold). For instance, LRRC4B is significant only in our method for schizophrenia, which has been shown to play a role in presynaptic pathology using genetic fine-mapping and evidence-based synaptic annotations. As a more powerful gene-based method, mBAT-combo is expected to improve the downstream pathway analysis or tissue and cell-type enrichment analysis that takes genes identified from GWAS data as input to understand the biological mechanisms of the trait or disease. Despite our focus on genes in this study, the framework of mBAT-combo is general and can be applied to any set of SNPs to refine trait-association signals hidden in genomic regions with complex LD structures.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

Larger cerebral cortex is genetically correlated with greater frontal area and dorsal thickness

Human cortical expansion has occurred non-uniformly across the brain. We assessed the genetic architecture of cortical global expansion and regionalization by comparing two sets of genome-wide association studies of 24 cortical regions with and without adjustment for global measures (i.e. total surface area, mean cortical thickness) using a genetically-informed parcellation in 32,488 adults. We found 393 and 756 significant loci with and without adjusting for globals, respectively, among which 8% and 45% loci were associated with more than one region. Results from analyses without adjustment for globals recounted loci associated with global measures. Genetic factors that contribute to total surface area of the cortex particularly expand anterior/frontal regions, whereas those contributing to thicker cortex predominantly increase dorsal/frontal-parietal thickness. Interactome-based analyses revealed significant overlap of global and regional genetic modules, enriched for neurodevelopmental and immune system pathways. Consideration of global measures is important in understanding the genetic variants underlying cortical morphology.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2021

Maximizing GWAS discovery and genomic prediction accuracy in Biobank data

Genetically informed and deep-phenotyped biobanks are an important research resource. The cost of phenotyping far outstrips that of genotyping, and therefore it is imperative that the most powerful, versatile and efficient analysis approaches are used. Here, we apply our recently developed Bayesian grouped mixture of regressions model (GMRM) in the UK and Estonian Biobanks and obtain the highest genomic prediction accuracy reported to date across 21 heritable traits. On average, GMRM accuracies were 15% (SE 7%) greater than prediction models run in the LDAK software with SNP annotation marker groups, 18% (SE 3%) greater than a baseline BayesR model without SNP markers grouped into MAF-LD-annotation categories, and 106% (SE 9%) greater than polygenic risk scores calculated from mixed-linear model association (MLMA) estimates. For height, the prediction accuracy R2 was 47% in a UK Biobank hold-out sample, which was 76% of the estimated [Formula]. We then extend our GMRM prediction model to provide MLMA SNP marker estimates for GWAS discovery, which increased the independent loci detected to 7,910 in unrelated UK Biobank individuals, as compared to 5,521 from BoltLMM and 5,727 from Regenie, a 43% and 38% increase respectively. The average{chi} 2 value of the leading markers was 34% (SE 5.11) higher for GMRM as compared to Regenie, and increased by 17% for every 1% increase in prediction accuracy gained over a baseline BayesR model across the traits. Thus, we show that modelling genetic associations accounting for MAF and LD differences among SNP markers, and incorporating prior knowledge of genomic function, is important for both genomic prediction and for discovery in large-scale individual-level biobank-scale studies.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2021

Local CpG density affects the trajectory of age-associated epigenetic changes

DNA methylation is an epigenetic mark associated with gene repression and genome stability. Its pattern in the genome is disrupted with age and these changes can be used to statistically predict age with epigenetic clocks. Rates of aging inferred from these clocks correlate with human health. However, the molecular mechanisms underpinning age-associated DNA methylation changes are unknown. Local DNA sequence plays a strong role in programming DNA methylation levels at individual loci independently of age, but its influence on age-associated DNA methylation changes is unknown. We analysed longitudinal human DNA methylation trajectories at 345,895 CpGs from 600 individuals aged between 67 and 80 to understand the factors responsible for age-associated epigenetic changes at individual CpGs in the genome. We show that changes in methylation with age are especially apparent at 8,322 low CpG density loci. Using SNP data from the same individuals we demonstrate that DNA methylation trajectories are affected by local sequence polymorphisms at 1,487 loci with low CpG density. More generally, we find that local CpG density is a strong determinant of a CpGs methylation trajectory and that CpGs located in low CpG density regions are particularly prone to change. Overall, our results demonstrate that local DNA sequence influences age-associated DNA methylation changes in humans in vivo. We suggest that this occurs because interactions between CpGs reinforce maintenance of methylation patterns in CpG dense regions.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

Resource Profile and User Guide of the Polygenic Index Repository

Polygenic indexes (PGIs) are DNA-based predictors. Their value for research in many scientific disciplines is rapidly growing. As a resource for researchers, we used a consistent methodology to construct PGIs for 47 phenotypes in 11 datasets. To maximize the PGIs prediction accuracies, we constructed them using genome-wide association studies--some of which are novel--from multiple data sources, including 23andMe and UK Biobank. We present a theoretical framework to help interpret analyses involving PGIs. A key insight is that a PGI can be understood as an unbiased but noisy measure of a latent variable we call the "additive SNP factor." Regressions in which the true regressor is the additive SNP factor but the PGI is used as its proxy therefore suffer from errors-in-variables bias. We derive an estimator that corrects for the bias, illustrate the correction, and make a Python tool for implementing it publicly available.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2021

Assortative Mating Biases Marker-based Heritability Estimators

Many complex traits are subject to assortative mating (AM), with recent molecular genetic findings confirming longstanding theoretical predictions that AM alters genetic architecture by inducing long range dependence across causal variants. However, all marker-based heritability estimators assume mating is random. We provide mathematical and simulation-based evidence demonstrating that both method-of-moments estimators and likelihood-based estimators produce biased estimates in the presence of AM and that common approaches to account for population structure fail to mitigate this bias. Then, examining height and educational attainment in the UK Biobank, we demonstrate that these biases affect real world traits. Finally, we derive corrected heritability estimators for traits under equilibrium AM.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

A parsimonious model for mass-univariate vertex-wise analysis

2.Covariance between grey-matter measurements can reflect structural or functional brain networks though it has also been shown to be influenced by confounding factors (e.g. age, head size, scanner), which could lead to lower mapping precision (increased size of associated clusters) and create distal false positives associations in mass-univariate vertex-wise analyses. We evaluated this concern by performing state-of-the-art mass-univariate analyses (general linear model, GLM) on traits simulated from real vertex-wise grey matter data (including cortical and subcortical thickness and surface area). We contrasted the results with those from linear mixed models (LMMs), which have been shown to overcome similar issues in omics association studies. We showed that when performed on a large sample (N=8,662, UK Biobank), GLMs yielded large spatial clusters of significant vertices and greatly inflated false positive rate (Family Wise Error Rate: FWER=1, cluster false discovery rate: FDR>0.6). We showed that LMMs resulted in more parsimonious results: smaller clusters and reduced false positive rate (yet FWER>5% after Bonferroni correction) but at a cost of increased computation. In practice, the parsimony of LMMs results from controlling for the joint effect of all vertices, which prevents local and distal redundant associations from reaching significance. Next, we performed mass-univariate association analyses on five real UKB traits (age, sex, BMI, fluid intelligence and smoking status) and LMM yielded fewer and more localised associations. We identified 19 significant clusters displaying small associations with age, sex and BMI, which suggest a complex architecture of at least dozens of associated areas with those phenotypes.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2020

DNA methylation proxies for 16 plasma proteins predict the incidence of 7 leading causes of morbidity

Protein biomarkers have been identified across many age-related morbidities. However, characterising epigenetic influences could further inform disease predictions. Here, we leverage epigenome-wide data to study links between the DNAm signatures of the circulating proteome and incident diseases. Using data from four cohorts, we trained and tested epigenetic scores (EpiScores) for 953 plasma proteins, identifying 109 scores that explained between 1% and 58% of the variance in protein levels after adjusting for known protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) genetic effects. By projecting these EpiScores into an independent sample, (Generation Scotland; n=9,537) and relating them to incident morbidities over a follow-up of 14 years, we uncovered 137 EpiScore - disease associations. These associations were largely independent of immune cell proportions, common lifestyle and health factors and biological aging. Notably, we found that our diabetes-associated EpiScores highlighted previous top biomarker associations from proteome-wide assessments of diabetes. These EpiScores for protein levels can therefore be a valuable resource for disease prediction and risk stratification.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Estimation of non-additive genetic variance in human complex traits from a large sample of unrelated individuals

Non-additive genetic variance for complex traits is traditionally estimated from data on relatives. It is notoriously difficult to estimate without bias in non-laboratory species, including humans, because of possible confounding with environmental covariance among relatives. In principle, non-additive variance attributable to common DNA variants can be estimated from a random sample of unrelated individuals with genome-wide SNP data. Here, we jointly estimate the proportion of variance explained by additive [Formula], dominance [Formula] and additive-by-additive [Formula] genetic variance in a single analysis model. We first show by simulations that our model leads to unbiased estimates and provide new theory to predict standard errors estimated using either least squares or maximum likelihood. We then apply the model to 70 complex traits using 254,679 unrelated individuals from the UK Biobank and 1.1M genotyped and imputed SNPs. We found strong evidence for additive variance (average across traits [Formula]. In contrast, the average estimate of [Formula] across traits was 0.001, implying negligible dominance variance at causal variants tagged by common SNPs. The average epistatic variance [Formula] across the traits was 0.058, not significantly different from zero because of the large sampling variance. Our results provide new evidence that genetic variance for complex traits is predominantly additive, and that sample sizes of many millions of unrelated individuals are needed to estimate epistatic variance with sufficient precision.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Variation in VKORC1 is associated with vascular dementia

Genetic variation in VKORC1 is associated with differences in the coagulation of blood and consequentially with sensitivity to the drug warfarin. Variation in VKORC1 has also been linked to parental dementia. However, it is unclear whether the relationship persists for the diagnosis in patients themselves, whether the association holds only for certain forms of dementia, and if those taking warfarin are at greater risk. Here, we use data from 211,423 participants from UK Biobank to examine the relationship between VKORC1, risk of dementia, and the interplay with warfarin use. We find that the T-allele in rs9923231 confers a greater risk for vascular dementia (OR=1.28, p=0.0069), but not for general dementia (OR=1.04, p=0.21) or Alzheimer dementia (OR=1.05, p=0.35), and that the risk of vascular dementia is not affected by warfarin use in carriers of the T-allele. Our study reports for the first time an association between rs9923231 and vascular dementia, but further research is warranted to explore potential mechanisms and specify the relationship between rs9923231 and features of vascular dementia.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Using prior information from humans to prioritize genes and gene-associated variants for complex traits in livestock

Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) in large human cohorts have identified thousands of loci associated with complex traits and diseases. For identifying the genes and gene-associated variants that underlie complex traits in livestock, especially where sample sizes are limiting, it may help to integrate the results of GWAS for equivalent traits in humans as prior information. In this study, we sought to investigate the usefulness of results from a GWAS on human height as prior information for identifying the genes and gene-associated variants that affect stature in cattle, using GWAS summary data on samples sizes of 700,000 and 58,265 for humans and cattle, respectively. Using Fishers exact test, we observed a significant proportion of cattle stature-associated genes (30/77) that are also associated with human height (odds ratio = 5.1, p = 3.1e-10). Result of randomized sampling tests showed that cattle orthologs of human height-associated genes, hereafter referred to as candidate genes (C-genes), were more enriched for cattle stature GWAS signals than random samples of genes in the cattle genome (p=0.01). Randomly sampled SNPs within the C-genes also tend to explain more genetic variance for cattle stature (up to 13.2%) than randomly sampled SNPs within random cattle genes (p=0.09). The most significant SNPs from a cattle GWAS for stature within the C-genes did not explain more genetic variance for cattle stature than the most significant SNPs within random cattle genes (p=0.87). Altogether, our findings support previous studies that suggest a similarity in the genetic regulation of height across mammalian species. However, with the availability of a powerful GWAS for stature that combined data from 8 cattle breeds, prior information from human-height GWAS does not seem to provide any additional benefit with respect to the identification of genes and gene-associated variants that affect stature in cattle. Author SummaryProvided that there is a similarity in the biological control of complex traits in different species, the results of genome-wide association study for a given trait in a model species can be utilized as prior information to identify genes and gene-associated variants that affect the same trait in a non-model species. Here we report that the number of genes found to be affecting height in both humans and cattle is more than can be expected by chance, suggesting a similarity in the biology of height in both species. In addition, genes that are associated with height in humans were found to be highly enriched with variants that are strongly associated with height in cattle. Using height as a model trait, we demonstrated that across-species prior information cannot compete with a within-species prior information, with respect to the identification of genes and the gene-associated variants that affect a complex trait. Across-species prior information can be useful, however, when within-species prior information is either unavailable or poor.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Rare Genetic Variants Underlie Outlying levels of DNA Methylation and Gene-Expression

Testing the effect of rare variants on phenotypic variation is difficult due to the need for extremely large cohorts to identify associated variants given expected effect sizes. An alternative approach is to investigate the effect of rare genetic variants on low-level genomic traits, such as gene expression or DNA methylation (DNAm), as effect sizes are expected to be larger for low-level compared to higher-order complex traits. Here, we investigate DNAm in healthy ageing populations - the Lothian Birth cohorts of 1921 and 1936 and identify both transient and stable outlying DNAm levels across the genome. We find an enrichment of rare genetic variants within 1kb of DNAm sites in individuals with stable outlying DNAm, implying genetic control of this extreme variation. Using a family-based cohort, the Brisbane Systems Genetics Study, we observed increased sharing of DNAm outliers among more closely related individuals, consistent with these outliers being driven by rare genetic variation. We demonstrated that outlying DNAm levels have a functional consequence on gene expression levels, with extreme levels of DNAm being associated with gene expression levels towards the tails of the population distribution. Overall, this study demonstrates the role of rare variants in the phenotypic variation of low-level genomic traits, and the effect of extreme levels of DNAm on gene expression.

genetics↗