Biology subjects

Tudor, E.

Publications and source records attributed to Tudor, E..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Climate change drives declines in seed germination potential, particularly in woody species and warmer, drier landscapes of a temperate bioregion

Climate change is accelerating species losses in ecosystems across the world. Seed germination is a critical, climate-dependent phase of the plant life cycle; however, the ecological determinants of germination climate niches within diverse landscapes and across functional types (FTs) are still not well understood. In this study, we characterized seed germination temperature and water availability niches for 28 species that represent different FTs (tree, shrub, grass, forb) and vegetation types (grassy woodland, dry and wet forests) within a temperate bioregion (Sydney, Australia). We tested whether ecological determinants, specifically species climate of origin, seed traits, FT and vegetation type explain germination niches and predicted spatial and temporal patterns of germination potential across the landscape under high and low emission scenarios. We found wide variation in thermal and hydric germination niches among species. Optimal germination temperature (thermal niche) was predicted by FT, climate of origin and seed traits, such that shrubs, cool-origin species, and species with large seeds had significantly cooler optimal temperatures for germination. We also quantified spatial and temporal changes in germination potential to identify vulnerable areas and FTs. We found strong species-specific seasonal patterns in germination potential with future climate shifts affecting FTs differently; germination of woody species declined more than forbs. Future germination potential was predicted by historical climatic conditions, with warmer and drier localities being more vulnerable. Overall, our findings demonstrate that species germination responses to climate change depend on FT, seed traits, and species climate of origin, with woody species and warmer, drier parts of the landscape emerging as being particularly vulnerable to declines in recruitment. Our study provides a mechanistic understanding of germination responses to temperature and water availability, enabling predictions of vulnerable species and areas for conservation under climate change, and inform large-scale ecosystem restoration approaches through improved species selection and sowing times.

plant biology↗

bioRxiv2020

Natural variation in autumn FLC levels, rather than epigenetic silencing, aligns vernalization to different climates

Plants monitor temperatures over long timescales to assess seasons and time developmental transitions. In Arabidopsis thaliana, winter is registered during vernalization through the temperature-dependent repression and epigenetic silencing of floral repressor FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC). Natural Arabidopsis accessions show considerable variation in vernalization, however which aspect of the FLC repression mechanism is most important for adaptation to different climates is not clear. By analyzing FLC silencing in natural variants throughout winter in three field sites, we find that FLC starting levels and early phases of silencing are the major variables underlying vernalization response, rather than establishment of epigenetic silencing. This results in an intricate interplay between promotion and delay of flowering to balance survival, and through a post-vernalization effect of FLC, reproductive effort via branch production. These data reveal how non-coding FLC variation aligns vernalization response to different climatic conditions and year-on-year fluctuations in natural temperature profiles. Impact StatementAlleles of the major floral repressor vary in their initial expression to underpin the ability of Arabidopsis to survive year-on-year climatic fluctuations.

molecular biology↗

bioRxiv2018

A ghost of dioecy past and the legacy of sexual dimorphism: low siring success of hermaphrodites after the breakdown of dioecy

Evolutionary transitions from dioecy to hermaphroditism must overcome the inertia of sexual dimorphism because modified males or females will express the opposite sexual function for which their phenotypes have been optimized. We tested this prediction by comparing the siring success of female-derived hermaphrodites of the plant Mercurialis annua with males and hermaphrodites that present a male-like inflorescence. We found that pollen dispersed by female-derived hermaphrodites was about a third poorer at siring outcross offspring than that from hermaphrodites with male-like inflorescences, illustrating the notion that a ghost of dioecy past compromises the fitness of derived hermaphrodites in outcrossing populations. We conclude that whereas dioecy might evolve from hermaphroditism by conferring upon individuals certain benefits of sexual specialization, reversals from dioecy to hermaphroditism must often be limited to situations in which outcrossing cannot be maintained and inbreeding is favored. Our study provides novel empirical support for evolutionary models for the breakdown of dioecy.

evolutionary biology↗