Trimble, N. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2026

Scale- and genotype-dependent spatial concordance of Mycobacterium bovis in cattle and badgers

Mycobacterium bovis causes tuberculosis (TB) in cattle, badgers (Meles meles), other wildlife, and humans, posing major animal and public health challenges in Britain and Ireland. Shared genotypes between cattle and badgers have been reported at regional scales, but whether this concordance holds at finer spatial scales, where control interventions operate, and whether it varies by genotype combination, remains unknown. Resolving this is critical for interpreting cross-species transmission risk and designing targeted control measures. We analyzed 1,248 M. bovis isolates from cattle and badgers (Northern Ireland, 1986-2018), including samples from a small, densely sampled intervention research area, using Multi-Locus Variable Number of Tandem Repeats Analysis (MLVA) and kernel discriminant analysis (KDA) across multiple spatial scales (25-95% density contours). We identified 36 MLVA types with four shared between species and one (MLV06) endemic to the area. Spatial concordance varied by type combination and scale: MLVA004-MLVA297 showed strong, bidirectional, scale-robust concordance; MLVA006-MLVA297 was concordant only at fine spatial scales; MLVA004-MLVA006 showed weak, asymmetric concordance; and no concordance was detected when all three types were analysed together. Our findings reveal spatial concordance between shared M. bovis genotypes varied by genotype combination and scale, indicating genotype-specific dynamics within this multi-host system.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium bovis infection in sympatric badger and cattle populations in Northern Ireland.

BackgroundBovine tuberculosis (bTB) is a costly, epidemiologically complex, multi-host, endemic disease. Pathogen whole genome sequencing can improve the resolution of epidemiological tracing. We genome sequenced an exceptional data set of 619 Mycobacterium bovis isolates from badgers and cattle in a 100km2 bTB hotspot. Historical molecular subtyping data permitted the targeting of an endemic pathogen lineage, whose long-term persistence provided an opportunity to study genome epidemiology in detail. To assess whether badger population genetic structure was associated with the spatial distribution of pathogen genetic diversity, we microsatellite genotyped hair samples from 769 badgers trapped in this area. ResultsEight lineages of M. bovis were circulating in the study area, seven of which were likely non-endemic, and imported by animal movement. The endemic lineage exhibited low genetic diversity with an average inter-isolate genetic distance of 7.6 SNPs (s.d. {+/-} 4.0), consistent with contemporary transmission. Bayesian phylogenetic methods determined an evolutionary rate of 0.30 substitutions per genome per year for this lineage, estimating its emergence 40-50 years before present, while Bayesian Skyline analysis identified significant population expansion of the endemic lineage in the 1990s and again in 2011-2012. The phylogeny revealed distinct sub-lineages, all of which contained isolates from both cattle and badger hosts, indicative of the sharing of closely related strains and inter-species transmission. However, the presence of significant badger population genetic structure was not associated with the spatial distribution of M. bovis genetic diversity. ConclusionsOur data provided unparalleled detail on the evolutionary history of an endemic M. bovis lineage. Findings are consistent with ongoing interspecies transmission in the study area but suggest that badger intra-species transmission may not be a major driver of persistence in this area. In addition, the data collected permitted the tracking of incursions of novel pathogen lineages into the study area and means to determine if they were involved in disease transmission.

evolutionary biology↗