Tran, T.-V.-T. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2025

Revealing the Drivers Underlying Distinct Evolutionary Trajectories in Lung Adenocarcinoma

Elucidating the evolution of cancers allows us to understand their key events, and the order in which they occur. To chart and interpret these evolutionary trajectories, we leverage whole-genome sequencing of lung tumours, including those from the largest cohort to date of lung cancers in subjects who have never smoked. Through ordering frequent genomic alterations, we discover three distinct evolutionary paths taken by lung adenocarcinomas; two dominated by tumours from people who have never smoked (NS-LUAD), and one followed by the vast majority of those who have smoked (S-LUAD). However, one in six NS-LUAD follow the smoking-dominant trajectory. These tumours, surprisingly, have fewer somatic alterations than the other NS-LUAD, and have shorter latency. They are strongly enriched for KRAS mutations. Our results suggest that gaining KRAS mutations allows these tumours to evolve more rapidly, acquiring a set of smoking-associated key alterations, with less need for genomic instability to progress. These tumours are three times more frequent in subjects of European vs. East Asian ancestry. These findings could shape clinical management strategies for lung adenocarcinoma patients, particularly for tumours driven by smoking-like evolutionary trajectories.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2025

Deep Learning for Molecular and Genomic Characterization of Lung Cancer in Never-Smokers Using Hematoxylin and Eosin-Stained Images

Despite promising results in using deep learning to infer genetic features from histological whole-slide images (WSIs), no prior studies have specifically applied these methods to lung adenocarcinomas from subjects who have never smoked tobacco (NS-LUAD) - a molecularly and histologically distinct subset of lung cancer. Existing models have focused on LUAD from predominantly smoker populations, with limited molecular scope and variable performance. Here, we propose a customized deep convolutional neural network based on ResNet50 architecture, optimized for multilabel classification for NS-LUAD, enabling simultaneous prediction of 16 molecular alterations from a single H&E-stained WSI. Key architectural modifications included a simplified two-layer residual block without bottleneck layers, selective shortcut connections, and a sigmoid-based classification head for independent prediction of each alteration, designed to reduce computational complexity while maintaining predictive accuracy. The model was trained and evaluated on 495 WSIs from the Sherlock-Lung study (70% training with 10% internal test set for 10-fold cross-validation, and 30% held-out validation set for final evaluation). For the held-out validation data, our model achieved high areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] values =0.84-0.93 for detecting 11 features: EGFR, KRAS, TP53, RBM10 mutations, MDM2 amplification, kataegis, CDKN2A deletion, ALK fusion, whole-genome doubling, and EGFR hotspot mutations (p.L858R and p.E746_A750del). Performance was low to moderate for tumor mutational burden (AUROC=0.67), APOBEC mutational signature (AUROC=0.57), and KRAS hotspot mutations (p.G12C: AUROC=0.74, p.G12V: AUROC=0.55, p.G12D: AUROC=0.43). Compared to results from established architectures such as Inception-v3 on the same WSIs, our model demonstrated significantly improved performance for most features. With further optimization, our model could support triaging for molecular testing and inform precision treatment strategies for NS-LUAD patients.

pathology↗