Ancient environmental DNA reveals the distinct fingerprints of whaling and climate change on Antarctic marine biodiversity
The Southern Ocean is a disproportionately large contributor to Earth system processes, playing a crucial role in the global transport of carbon, oxygen and heat. It also hosts enormous seasonal biological productivity that supports diverse endemic marine biodiversity. Industrial whaling in the first half of the 20th century and recent human-driven climate change have both profoundly altered Antarctic ecosystems, but ecological surveys of these impacts are limited to well-known taxa in the short period since monitoring began. Here, we analysed five sediment records to reconstruct more than two centuries of ecosystem change across the Western Antarctic Peninsula, spanning periods before and during major human impacts. Environmental DNA metabarcoding of these records revealed substantial biodiversity shifts, with change accelerating in recent decades. We find a significant role for both climate change and whaling in restructuring communities, identifying unique variance in whole-community change explained by each driver. Moreover, we find a negative association between whaling and metazoan families which feed from the water column, suggesting that pre-whaling ecosystems had greater pelagic productivity. Overall, our results reveal baseline Antarctic biodiversity from long before observational records and identify a distinct fingerprint of human drivers in this fragile, rapidly changing ecosystem.