Thornton, J. W. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2017

Pervasive contingency and entrenchment in a billion years of Hsp90 evolution

Although many potential mutations within proteins modulate each others effects1-4, the extent to which these epistatic interactions influenced the fitness effects of the sequence changes that actually occurred during historical evolution - and thus made molecular evolution contingent and irreversible - is controversial5-16. We addressed this question directly by precisely measuring the fitness effects in both extant and reconstructed ancestral sequence contexts of all historical amino acid substitutions that occurred during the billion-year evolutionary history of the heat shock protein 90 (Hsp90) ATPase domain beginning from a deep eukaryotic ancestor to modern Saccharomyces cerevisiae. We find a pervasive influence of epistasis on historical sequence evolution: the majority of the 98 derived states that evolved during history were deleterious at times before they happened, and the vast majority also became subsequently entrenched6, with the ancestral state becoming deleterious after its substitution. A few of these epistatic interactions were of massive fitness consequence, but the majority were of small but evolutionarily relevant effect size. We find that both the large- and small-effect epistasis were largely caused by specific interactions among sites rather than a general permissive or restrictive effect17. Our results highlight how epistasis continually opens and closes windows of mutational opportunity over evolutionary timescales, producing histories and biological states that reflect, in significant part, the transient internal constraints imposed by a proteins fleeting sequence states.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2017

Multinucleotide mutations cause false inferences of positive selection

Phylogenetic tests of adaptive evolution, which infer positive selection from an excess of nonsynonymous changes, assume that nucleotide substitutions occur singly and independently. But recent research has shown that multiple errors at adjacent sites often occur in single events during DNA replication. These multinucleotide mutations (MNMs) are overwhelmingly likely to be nonsynonymous. We therefore evaluated whether phylogenetic tests of adaptive evolution, such as the widely used branch-site test, might misinterpret sequence patterns produced by MNMs as false support for positive selection. We explored two genome-wide datasets comprising thousands of coding alignments - one from mammals and one from flies - and found that codons with multiple differences (CMDs) account for virtually all the support for lineage-specific positive selection inferred by the branch-site test. Simulations under genome-wide, empirically derived conditions without positive selection show that realistic rates of MNMs cause a strong and systematic bias in the branch-site and related tests; the bias is sufficient to produce false positive inferences approximately as often as the branch-site test infers positive selection from the empirical data. Our analysis indicates that genes may often be inferred to be under positive selection simply because they stochastically accumulated one or a few MNMs. Because these tests do not reliably distinguish sequence patterns produced by authentic positive selection from those caused by neutral fixation of MNMs, many published inferences of adaptive evolution using these techniques may therefore be artifacts of model violation caused by unincorporated neutral mutational processes. We develop an alternative model that incorporates MNMs and may be helpful in reducing this bias.

evolutionary biology↗