Biology subjects

Solano, P.

Publications and source records attributed to Solano, P..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Spatial distribution and habitat suitability of tsetse (Glossina spp.) in Cote dIvoire: An ensemble modeling approach to support targeted disease control

Background Tsetse are vectors of trypanosomes responsible for African animal trypanosomosis (AAT) and human African trypanosomiasis (HAT). While Cote dIvoire has successfully eliminated HAT as a public health problem and approaches elimination of transmission, AAT remains a major obstacle to agriculture and livestock production. Understanding the spatial distribution of tsetse is essential for prioritizing and sustaining disease control and elimination efforts. Methodology/Principal Findings Using 1,702 occurrence records from the national tsetse atlas we modeled the habitat suitability of the nine tsetse species present in Cote dIvoire. We identified suitable habitats in unsampled areas and quantified environmental constraints on tsetse distribution. Resampling the data to a 1km x 1km grid produced spatially explicit outputs at a resolution more relevant for operational planning. An ensemble modeling approach was employed integrating four algorithms--Random Forest, XGBoost, Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt), and Generalized Additive Models (GAM)-- with satellite-derived environmental and anthropogenic predictors--which achieved high predictive accuracy, area under the curve and True Skill Statistics 0.80 and 0.83, respectively. Distance to waterbodies, soil moisture, distance to protected areas, maximum land surface temperature, and sheep density were key drivers of habitat suitability. Importantly, the models identified suitable habitats in 11 administrative regions not covered by the atlas, providing an improved national tsetse risk profile. Conclusions/Significance These results provide a detailed assessment of the ecological suitability of tsetse across Cote dIvoire and their persistence in agroecological mosaics with high human and livestock densities. We offer a high-resolution blueprint for vector and disease control, particularly in areas where field data are currently lacking. We provide a robust framework for evidence-based decision-making within the Progressive Control Pathway (PCP) for AAT by enabling the identification of priority areas and resource allocation optimization to improve livestock productivity through more effective AAT control and reduce the risk of resurgence of HAT.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Modelling framework to demonstrate elimination of a vector population: tsetse elimination in Chad

Every year, over 700 000 people, particularly children under five, die from vector-borne diseases worldwide. Effectively controlling current endemics and preventing new outbreaks requires an integrated approach that can lead to the elimination of both vectors and diseases. In the last two decades, integrating medical interventions and vector control has significantly reduced the incidence of Gambian Human African Trypanosomiasis (gHAT), with the World Health Organization validating eight countries as having eliminated the disease as a public health problem. However, elimination of the tsetse vector has not been confirmed, leaving the possibility of re-emergence. We developed a five-step modelling framework to assess vector elimination by calculating: (i) the probability of vector capture; (ii) the probability of observing a series of zero catches, even without actual elimination; (iii) the probability of natural elimination; (iv) the probability of failing to detect a rebound; and (v) the reinvasion risk. Our case study is g-HAT in Mandoul, Chad and the elimination of G. fuscipes fuscipes. We used vector control from 2014 to 2025 with no tsetse detected since 2018. We cannot yet conclude, with more than 90% confidence, that tsetse has been eliminated from Mandoul, nor that any remnant population will be naturally eliminated. However, since vector control was stopped in April 2025, we estimate that with continued sampling over the next two years, and no tsetse detected, elimination could be demonstrated with 99% confidence. Our multi-step modelling framework can be applied to other vectors, providing policymakers with clear guidelines for ongoing and future efforts. Significance StatementThe World Health Organisation has set the elimination of transmission of several neglected tropical vector-borne diseases, including human African trypanosomiasis (sleeping sickness), as a target for 2030. We show that deliberate elimination of tsetse, the vector, is feasible and can be demonstrated. We draw on our large-scale intervention in Mandoul, Chad where 3000 insecticide-treated Tiny Targets were deployed between 2014 and 2025, with no tsetse detected since 2018. While small undetected remnant populations cannot be entirely excluded, they would rapidly rebound in the absence of control, rendering them detectable. If no tsetse are caught over the next two years, it will confirm elimination. This illustrates a pathway for assessing and achieving vector elimination as a cornerstone of disease eradication.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Larviposition site selection mediated by volatile semiochemicals of larval origin in Glossina palpalis gambiensis

Tsetse flies (Diptera: Glossinidae) are the cyclical vectors of trypanosomes, the causative agents of African animal trypanosomosis or nagana in animals and human African trypanosomosis or sleeping sickness in humans. Tsetse flies are K-strategist species with the deposition of a single larva at 10 days intervals in specific sites. As larviposition site selection will strongly impact reproductive success, it is obvious that the selection of larviposition sites is not random and is under strong selective processes, probably mediated by specific cues as suggested by the existence of an aggregation factor in the Morsitans and Fusca groups. This study aimed to highlight the existence of an aggregation effect in the Palpalis group and to test for its chemical nature. We studied the larviposition site selection of Glossina palpalis gambiensis according to the presence of conspecific and heterospecific larvae buried in substrates in different settings. Three sets of experiments were performed with either individual or grouped (n = 50) gravid females, and with physical access to substrate or not. In both individual and grouped larviposition experiments, females selected significantly more often trays conditioned by larvae (P<0.005), either conspecific or heterospecific even in the absence of physical contact with the substrate. These results highlight the first evidence for larviposition site selection mediated by volatile semiochemicals of larval origin in Glossina palpalis gambiensis. However, these compounds seem not to be species-specific and therefore offer new avenues for the behavioural manipulation of these vectors and for the development of new vector control tools targeting gravid females.\n\nAuthor summaryLarviposition site selection in tsetse flies is govern by several biotic and abiotic factors that lead to an aggregation effect of larvae. Among those, larvae are suspected to produce chemicals that drive females to breeding site but little information is available. This study aimed to highlight the existence of an aggregation effect of larval origin in the Palpalis group and to test for its chemical nature. Through behavioural larviposition choice experiments, we showed that females of Glossina palpalis gambiensis deposit their larvae significantly more often in trays conditioned either by conspecific or heterospecific larvae, even in the absence of physical contact with the substrate. These results highlight the first evidence for aggregation effect in Glossina palpalis gambiensis mediated by volatile semiochemicals of larval origin. Isolation and identification of these chemicals should offer new avenues for the behavioural manipulation of these vectors and for the development of new vector control tools targeting gravid females.

animal behavior and cognition↗

bioRxiv2018

Ebola outbreak brings to light an unforeseen impact of tsetse control on sleeping sickness transmission in Guinea.

In addition to the thousands of deaths due the unprecedented ebola outbreak that stroke West Africa (2014-2016), national health systems in affected countries were deeply challenged impacting a number of diseases control programs. Here we describe the case of Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT), a deadly neglected tropical disease due to a trypanosome transmitted by tsetse flies for which no vaccine nor chemoprophylaxis exists. Data are presented for the disease focus of Boffa in Guinea where a pilot elimination project combining medical screening and vector control was launched in 2012. During ebola, HAT active screening activities were postponed and passive surveillance also was progressively impaired. However, tsetse control using small insecticide impregnated targets could be maintained. The over two years disruption of screening activities led to a dramatic increase of HAT prevalence, from 0.7% in 2013 (21/2885) to 2% (69/3448) in 2016, reaching epidemic levels (>5%) in some villages. In deep contrast, control levels reached in 2013 (0.1%; 7/6564) were maintained in areas covered with impregnated targets as no cases were found in 2016 (0/799). In Boffa, ebola has thus incidentally provided a unique framework to assess the impact of current HAT control strategies. A first lesson is that the \"screen and treat\" strategy is fragile as rapid bursts of the disease may occur in case of disruption. A second lesson is that vector control reducing human-tsetse contacts, even implemented alone, is effective in providing a good level of protection against infection. This advocates for a greater attention being paid to the combination of tsetse control together with medical activities in aiming to reach the HAT elimination objective in Africa.

epidemiology↗